For folks that look for percentage numbers I usually refer them to this NHC product -kellybell4770 wrote:Good morning! First let me say how much I appreciate all the knowledge on this board - keep up the very valuable work! Second - I know this is simplifing this a lot, but if you were to give a Houston/Galveston hit a percentage what would it be? You know, like when they give us a 20% chance of rain? thanks!
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0854.shtml?
Keep in mind this isn't a percentage for the center of any given storm (like you are wondering) but for the selected areas to see the wind values. Most get confused and think it's a landfall projection.