jasons wrote:Some of the trends today are concerning. The MLC appears to be moving very slowly NNW. The latest Euro dumps the most rain roughly between the Houston & Austin areas and back down to the coast, with a few pockets of 12"+ over the next 48 hours.
At this point, it's not much different than a decaying tropical cyclone trapped over land.
Jason,
From a purely amateur point of view ( mine), that "can" be a dangerous situation. I said, can...just my opinion....
Looking at GOES IR it appears convective bursts are working their way from SW to NE into Harris county. Additionally I believe the band that has been tormenting Beaumont has been robbing moisture inflow into our area and has been part of the reason we have remained relatively dry in the metro area. As that band slides off to the east and weakens a bit it opens the door for some more moist inflow into our area. Based on that and radar trends it looks like this may finally be the turning point where we start to get wet. Well see if this lasts or if it fades again.
Cromagnum wrote:Stick a fork in it for areas south and Southwest of Houston. Looks like I'll be dragging out the GD water hose for yet another weekend.
Be careful what you wish for and this event is far from over...stay tuned...
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Cromagnum wrote:Stick a fork in it for areas south and Southwest of Houston. Looks like I'll be dragging out the GD water hose for yet another weekend.
I'd glady drag out the GD hose than be in the Golden Triangle taking on water. Surprising how insensitive some are after most of us went through Harvey.
srainhoutx wrote:We're getting pounded in NW Harris County. Easily 2 inch per hour rainfall rates.
we just had a crazy heavy rain here & radar didn't even look all that bad - is this because the atmosphere is saturated in the upper levels? looking for your expert opinion
it really surprised me, I guess that "one cell" above us can just bottom out, just have not seen this in a while. we had over 30 inches in Harvey & never flooded (lucky) yet an incompetent plumber managed to flood 2 rooms earlier this year
the craziest hail I've ever seen was when I lived in CO, outside Denver - like grapefruit sized hail. On the up-side, I hope the fires around Durango were helped by their rain today, not sure if it got some?
well said, Stu: https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/1008800323333476353 @StuOstro Jun 18
The distinction between this and a tropical cyclone is academic: Lack of well-defined center of circulation at surface (is one aloft) & well-developed warm core. But o/w like a slow-moving TD: Torrential rain w/#flood threat, gusty squalls, choppy seas & rip currents. #txwx #lawx
I'm seeing rainfall reports across Harris County ranging from a bit under an inch over the past 2 days to near 4.5 inches. I've measured about 1.5 inches since last Friday in SW Houston (Westbury - just south of Brays Bayou near Hillcroft). More rain coming the rest of this week.
Cromagnum wrote:Stick a fork in it for areas south and Southwest of Houston. Looks like I'll be dragging out the GD water hose for yet another weekend.
I'd glady drag out the GD hose than be in the Golden Triangle taking on water. Surprising how insensitive some are after most of us went through Harvey.
Hoping for 6-7" of rain over a 3-4 day spread is completely different than hoping for a flood. Nobody was hoping for 10+ in a day like Beaumont and the surrounding area just received, at least that's not how I'm reading it. Droughts can be extremely dangerous and this system has potential to stave that off for the time being.
Up around my area we are on track for those 3-5 inch totals. Concerning over the Katy and Beaumont areas where training has and continue to occur. Should see rain chances last until late this week when weak ridging tries to take control.
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Cromagnum wrote:Stick a fork in it for areas south and Southwest of Houston. Looks like I'll be dragging out the GD water hose for yet another weekend.
I'd glady drag out the GD hose than be in the Golden Triangle taking on water. Surprising how insensitive some are after most of us went through Harvey.
This is hardly a Harvey situation for one. Secondly, my area has not had meaningful rain since early April, save for a bad storm that blew everyone's fence down. It's not fun to have clay soil pulled 1-2 inches from your foundation, fences leaning because the soil shriveled from it, and trees and lawn all trying to die.
