JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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Flooding in Beaumont....
FreeportTX35
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Are we going to get any of this rain? Seems to all be to the east of us..i know y'all say it should move back to the west but im Not seeing it if it is
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I’ve received exactly 1 inch since the rain began on Sunday. I would like to see 3-4 more.
Team #NeverSummer
BlueJay
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So sorry to hear and see what is happening in Beaumont, Port Arthur, Orange area! Y'all stay strong and safe.

We have gotten about the same amount of rain as MontgomeryCoWx and are getting a shower now.
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tireman4
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I am sure Srain will give his AFD later, but this is HGX and it might suffice for awhile. It is slowly moving our way. Be careful what you wish for...

00
FXUS64 KHGX 191717
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1217 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings are mostly prevailing across the region early this
afternoon. We could see some of these lift later today in between
areas of rainfall...esp closer to the coast. With daytime
heating, we`re starting to shra filling in on radar and expect
intermittent precip throughout the day. Bands are generally fast
moving and even the weaker shra can throw out some 20-30kt gusts.
Otherwise, kept TAFs short/generic and will amend as short term
trends are established. Model guidance, even the short term
guidance, hasn`t been of much help as of late so prefer not to
chase those. 47
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jasons2k
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I've had about 2.5" since Sunday morning. Kinda strange overnight and today how much of the Houston area has been in a dry zone. It may be a blessing after seeing what's happening over in the Beaumont area.

Tonight could be pretty dicey for us, especially if that eastern band ever moves off or collapses.
unome
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https://twitter.com/iembot_hgx

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
125 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

TXC157-192030-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0031.180619T1825Z-180619T2030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fort Bend TX-
125 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Northwestern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 330 PM CDT.

* At 125 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain that will cause
minor flooding in the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Rosenberg, Richmond, Fulshear, Pleak, Simonton, Beasley, Orchard,
Weston Lakes and Cumings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding
of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.
unome
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NWS Lake Charles has been very busy - my best wishes for anyone going through flooding issues

https://twitter.com/iembot_lch
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srainhoutx
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So the 12Z Euro suggests another 48 hours of heavy rain. Is anybody buying it?
Attachments
06192018 12Z ECMWF 48 hour qpf DgExRrkUEAM2p9p.jpg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
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FreeportTX35
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srainhoutx wrote:So the 12Z Euro suggests another 48 hours of heavy rain. Is anybody buying it?
Nope not from what I've been seeing
Waded
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Currently raining in the Clear Lake area, adding to the 1.5 inches we've received for this event so far. Looking at HGX it seems a whole lot more is own its way:

Image
FreeportTX35
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They've been saying that since Monday I don't think we're going to get what they say we are I just like to see more than 16 sprinkles on my windshield lol
davidiowx
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We are about to get some pretty intense rains here in Richmond!
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djmike
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Nope! Not watching qpf or any models any longer. They are on vacation during this system. Way way off. Have a feeling Beaumont was/is the bullseye so far for heaviest rains. Not one model has yet pin pointed that! We a nearing a foot of rain now in the golden triangle beaumont area. I threw the models out long time ago. Its all NOWcasting I think. Radar watching and watching the motion. Thats more accurate than any precip model imp at this point.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Katdaddy
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
152 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southeastern Austin County in southeastern Texas...
Northwestern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 345 PM CDT.

* At 151 PM CDT, local law enforcement reported closure of Loop 540
at US 59 in Beasley due to high water as a result of thunderstorms
producing heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is
occurring.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Rosenberg, Wallis, Fulshear, Pleak, Simonton, Beasley, Kendleton,
Orchard, Weston Lakes and Cumings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.
BlueJay
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Why doesn't this rain monster have a name?
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snowman65
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I gave it one....Harvey Jr.
BlueJay wrote:Why doesn't this rain monster have a name?
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tireman4
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Loop 540 at 59 in Beasley, Texas
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jasons2k
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Some of the trends today are concerning. The MLC appears to be moving very slowly NNW. The latest Euro dumps the most rain roughly between the Houston & Austin areas and back down to the coast, with a few pockets of 12"+ over the next 48 hours.

At this point, it's not much different than a decaying tropical cyclone trapped over land.
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jasons2k
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Finally some mercy for Beaumont...that band still keeps pressing slowly to the east.
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