Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB

[desiredwxgd]

29.57 inches Strengthening by the minute. Looks like it has good rotation and good outflow. T.S. tonight. (My opinion)

[Mr. T]

The entire new GFS runs is comical/insane or whatever word you want to use, new or not. Almost as if someone with a delusional mind programmed it just to go ha ha.

At least it actually shows a storm. The OP GFS has been garbage for a while now...

Now, about that track... Yes. A little on the funny, wtf side of things

[Paul]

I would call it Alex...or should be tonight.....models split in 2 camps MEX then LA...NHC is just splitting the difference right now......what will be key is the trof dropping down in the NE...look for hints in the NE NWS AFD....

also the EURO tonight should be interesting....it should have the recon data in it as well as the GFS at 10:30...

[Scott747]

The entire new GFS runs is comical/insane or whatever word you want to use, new or not. Almost as if someone with a delusional mind programmed it just to go ha ha.

At least it actually shows a storm. The OP GFS has been garbage for a while now...

Now, about that track... Yes. A little on the funny, wtf side of things

Still crazy to see such a wide difference between the op and new one. I figure the 18z HWRF/GFDL will still trend towards the NGOM and we won't get a decent run until 0z.

[Bluefalcon]

Here's a super Hi-res of the gulf. Bookmark the link: http://www.tceq.state.tx.us/assets/publ ... atest.jpeg

[Scott747]

Oy. Never mind.

[Hardcoreweather]

I wouldn't be shocked if we see some RI overnight

[Mr. T]

...

Euro ftw?

[srainhoutx]

Here's a super Hi-res of the gulf. Bookmark the link: http://www.tceq.state.tx.us/assets/publ ... atest.jpeg

Awesome image. Thanks for sharing!

[Mr. T]

Oy. Never mind.

btw, Scott, I've been meaning to ask

Where do you get these images from?

[Paul]

HWRF moved about 500 miles south in line with the EURO, NOGAPS and new GFS.....the new GFDL still showing LA....

[Scott747]

Oy. Never mind.

btw, Scott, I've been meaning to ask

Where do you get these images from?

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/weather/

[Mr. T]

http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/weather/

thx very much

I've been using another site, but it's slower with updates

[Paul]

only about 12 people on here....??? watch after the 10pm news. We should see a rise in viewers...

[srainhoutx]

only about 12 people on here....??? watch after the 10pm news. We should see a rise in viewers...

In total there are 20 users online :: 6 registered, 2 hidden and 12 guests (based on users active over the past 5 minutes)

[Mr. T]

The HWRF definitely looks like the Euro now. The GFDL shifted westward too, though not as extreme, showing a Central LA landfall.

[don]

the 0z runs should be interesting...

[Mr. T]

the 0z runs should be interesting...

Indeed...

[Andrew]

The storm has just blown up! This is amazing to witness:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html

[SusieinLP]

I have been keeping an eye on TD1 since it was a little blob and I did not even think it would form into anything....It still has to cross over the Yucatan so......

It will be interesting to see what the models do now that recon has collected data...