August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later

[TxLady]

Saw a tweet from someone that they are ok.

[MRG93415]

Awe thank goodness. Thanks

[Katdaddy]

Rockport, TX entering the eye of Harvey.

[Katdaddy]

...EYE OF CATEGORY 4 HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL BETWEEN PORT ARANSAS AND
PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS...
...CATASTROPHIC FLOODING EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND STORM
SURGE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 97.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SW OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES

[dac]

Jeff P's feed is up again:
https://www.pscp.tv/w/1BdxYWPqQvAGX

[CAK]

Any new ensemble forecasts running? Wondering if models have a consensus on an eastward track?

[Texaspirate11]

We started to feel the affects of Harvey early this morning down here near Kemah.
Constant lightning and on and off torrential rains.
Tonight, the winds are gusting about 11 mph and again rain bands are heavy.
We are under the Tornado warning and had several sightings of funnel clouds today.
We have 11 cities in Galveston county that are under voluntary evacuation.
One shelter open so far.

Some of our areas down here are without power. This is going to be the long haul.

Stay safe everyone!

[Texaspirate11]

Hurricane Harvey 10 p.m. track
still the same - will come here as a ts

[MRG93415]

HARVEY UPDATE (FRI 10 PM)
Catastrophic hurricane event in progress along the mid TX coast.
USAF place shows pressure continues to fall with pressure down to 938mb. CRP radar is showing 135-155 kts at 2500-3500 ft off the ground and some of this wind energy is being brought to the surface.
Harvey is making landfall as the strongest hurricane to hit the TX coast since Hurricane Carla (1961) nearly in the same area.
Reports into NWS Corpus Christi:
2 ENE Port Aransas: gust 125mph
2 ENE Port Aransas: 110g 131
Rockport: 125mph (numerous structures collapsing, air filled with flying debris)
Rockport: buildings collapsed, law enforcement officers trapped inside squad car with broken windows,
Rockport: well build 4 story hotel walls separating….concrete stairwells shaking
Storm Surge:
Port Lavaca: 5.45
Port Aransas: 6.5 (currently in eye)
Jeff Lindner
Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist
Harris County Flood Control District

[don]

Im starting to get a little concern about tomorrow... The HRRR has been consistently for at least the last 7 runs showing upwards of 8-12 inches of rain across portions of Harris county tomorrow.Something to watch...

[Ounce]

I just hope it doesn't make people non-reactive when a SERIOUS couplet forms and it's a real, big tornado... It's scary night for folks who don't know this stuff is radar-indicated and could be a funnel cloud. It's obviously impossible to say if a twister is going to be bad, but many of these are waterspouts coming ashore... so far.

I don't think y'all have any choice but to report the tornadoes.

Some people are going to be thinking that we (SE Texas) are out of the problem now and thinking all of this has been a bust on forecasting. So maybe use a football analogy that we're just in the 1st quarter of this event, etc.

Get some sleep and I hope you brought enough hair spray or whatever you stick on your hair.

[Cromagnum]

What do you guys think about all these tornado warnings?

Broad-based question... Only one verified damage report of a McD's sign down on Galveston at Broadway and Seawall.

Daylight will probably reveal more damage inland, but ...

Extremely annoying. My house alarm panel has showed a new "tornado" every 5 minutes and will not shut up. I have had to silence it a couple of dozen times already. Not looking forward to sleeping since there is no way to silence it.

[Rip76]

Seeing some transformers pop in Pearland with that last little wave of storms.

[DoctorMu]

Does anyone know if that Jeff guy doing the video in Rockport is ok?

Jeff Piotrowski is OK and in the eye. They are preparing for the backside eyewall. Unfortunately, there are some Rockport residents that remained and suffered injuries. A lot of devastation - houses, elementary? or high school collapsed.

[Belmer]

I know we're all watching live coverage of Harvey, but fresh 00z model runs are coming in so I'll just post brief descriptions on some of them -

NAM: moves inland near SE San Antonio, back south across Rockport into the Gulf on Monday strengthening about 150 or so south/southwest of Galveston. Brings about 10-20 inches of rain south of I-10 in Harris Co. and 6-10 inches north of I-10 through Tuesday.

NAM 3km: somewhat similar to NAM, moves inland near SE San Antonio, back south heading toward Corpus as a remnant low - looks to be heading back into Gulf. Gives most of Harris Co. area 15-20 inches of rain through early Tuesday.

GFS: moves Harvey only about 60-80 or so miles inland before dropping back south, crossing back near Rockport on Monday, briefly interacts with the coastline and looks to be heading back north into central/central eastern TX through hour 130. Rainfall through that time 10-15 inches in most of Harris Co. over 20 in northern and western counties.

See if Euro follows suit with GFS...

[ticka1]

I know we're all watching live coverage of Harvey, but fresh 00z model runs are coming in so I'll just post brief descriptions on some of them -

NAM: moves inland near SE San Antonio, back south across Rockport into the Gulf on Monday strengthening about 150 or so south/southwest of Galveston. Brings about 10-20 inches of rain south of I-10 in Harris Co. and 6-10 inches north of I-10 through Tuesday.

NAM 3km: somewhat similar to NAM, moves inland near SE San Antonio, back south in heading toward Corpus as a remnant low - looks to be heading back into Gulf. Gives most of Harris Co. area 15-20 inches of rain through early Tuesday.

GFS: moves Harvey only about 60-80 or so miles inland before dropping back south, crossing back near Rockport on Monday, briefly interacts with the coastline and looks to be heading back north into central/central eastern TX through hour 130. Rainfall through that time 10-15 inches in most of Harris Co. over 20 in northern and western counties.

See what Euro follows suit with GFS...

thank you for this.

[Ptarmigan]

Hurricane Harvey broke the 11 years, 10 months, 1 day or 4323 days streak of no major hurricane landfall. The last major hurricane to make landfall is Hurricane Wilma.

[Rip76]

Not a fan of that Northward movement.

[Ptarmigan]

Not a fan of that Northward movement.

I am seeing a northward movement too. I wonder if it is a wobble.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_l ... P&loop=yes

[Belmer]

00z GFS about finished, shows the circulation of Harvey not getting out of the state of TX until Monday, September 4th as it exits near Wichita Falls into Oklahoma. Just bounces around central TX for a week. Which of course you can imagine the rainfall totals...