June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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Saturday morning Update from Jeff:

Flash Flood Warning for NE Harris County around Lake Houston until 1100am.

Isolated excessive rainfall occurring across portions of Harris County this morning. Lake Houston Dam has recorded 5.96 inches of rainfall in the last 3-4 hours from slow moving to at times stationary storms. Influx of deep Gulf moisture is combining with an approaching frontal boundary from the north to produce widespread showers and thunderstorms. Storm motions at times have been extremely slow to nearly stationary and rainfall rates in the strongest cells have averaged 1.5-3.0 inches per hour. Activity will continue to slowly sag southward and the atmosphere will gradually stabilize by late morning likely leading to decreasing coverage of storms.

Main threats this morning will be street flooding where intense localized rainfall develops.

Another active day on Sunday with similar conditions in place.
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srainhoutx
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Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
948 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

Liberty TX-
948 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Southeastern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1245 PM CDT.

* At 942 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. Rainfall rates up to 2 inches per hours could cause
minor flooding in the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Eastern Liberty, Ames, Daisetta, Hardin and Devers.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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DoctorMu
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srainhoutx wrote:Conditions continue to deteriorate as boundary collisions are occurring along the HWY 105 area. Getting a bit concerned that flooding issues may increase across potions of Waller/Montgomery/Harris/Austin/Fort Bend/Liberty Counties as rainfall rates of near 2 inch per hour are increasing. I would not be surprise to see additional Flood Warnings/Advisories coming shortly.

Image
Hope they move, instead of stall out. Like North! 8-)

We're caught in no man's land between the Hwy 105 and south sea breeze showers and the DFW MCV. CLL would use some rain after Cindy teased us and moved on...

We're right along the front...yet nothing. :x
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srainhoutx
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Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1018 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

Colorado TX-Wharton TX-Austin TX-Waller TX-
1018 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Colorado County in southeastern Texas...
North central Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
Central Austin County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Waller County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1215 PM CDT.

* At 1016 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated slow moving showers and
thunderstorms producing some localized heavy rainfall. Radar
estimates 1 to 2.5 inches has already fallen in the advisory area
with moderate to occasionally heavy rain continuing. This will
cause minor flooding in the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Sealy, Columbus, Eagle Lake, Weimar, San Felipe, Egypt, New Ulm,
Cat Spring, Hungerford, Sheridan, Altair, Frelsburg, Garwood and
Rock Island.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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mckinne63
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I's been raining most of the morning here in Stafford. Currently a light rain, hearing some thunder here and there.
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Already much more rain than from Cindy! The ghost of week ago Bret absorbed within the upper low to the south moving nw should keep things busy tonight and tomorrow!
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jasons2k
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So far I've had 2.93".

Also - I had a high of 101 yesterday.
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DoctorMu
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jasons wrote:So far I've had 2.93".

Also - I had a high of 101 yesterday.
Liquid Gold.



Everyone stay safe. Beltway 8 and 610 are flooded. Shopping center parking lots are flooded on the westside. Stay home if you can!
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Texaspirate11
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Not a drop by the bay.
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Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
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srainhoutx
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DoctorMu wrote:
jasons wrote:So far I've had 2.93".

Also - I had a high of 101 yesterday.
Liquid Gold.



Everyone stay safe. Beltway 8 and 610 are flooded. Shopping center parking lots are flooded on the westside. Stay home if you can!

HGX believes you folks in the Bryan/College Station area may see development before long. Convective temperatures are in the low 80's and with breaks in the clouds across your Region, thunderstorm activity may blossom before long. Fingers crossed!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1118 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

Colorado TX-Wharton TX-Jackson TX-
1118 AM CDT SAT JUN 24 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
South central Colorado County in southeastern Texas...
Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Jackson County in south central Texas...

* Until 1215 PM CDT.

* At 1116 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
the advisory area. One to three inches of rain have fallen, and
storms are continuing to develop over this region.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
El Campo, Wharton, Ganado, Pierce, Boling-Iago, Cordele, Nada,
Egypt, Louise and Hungerford.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Texaspirate11
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High Water reported at these locations
Turnarounddontdrown

Last updated: 11:06 a.m. Saturday, June 24, 2017

IH-69 Southbound At FM-762/THOMPSON RD in Fort Bend County (exit ramp)

IH-610 EAST LOOP Northbound At IH-10 EAST (entrance ramp)

IH-610 NORTH LOOP Westbound At IH-45 NORTH (entrance ramp)

BELTWAY 8-EAST Northbound After SPENCER HWY (3 frontage road lanes)

BELTWAY 8-EAST Southbound Before SPENCER HWY

EAST SAM HOUSTON TOLLWAY Northbound After SPENCER HWY (all mainlanes)

EAST SAM HOUSTON TOLLWAY Southbound At SPENCER HWY (all mainlanes)

IH-10 EAST Westbound At HOLLAND AVE/JOHN RALSTON RD
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mckinne63
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DoctorMu wrote:
jasons wrote:So far I've had 2.93".

Also - I had a high of 101 yesterday.
Liquid Gold.



Everyone stay safe. Beltway 8 and 610 are flooded. Shopping center parking lots are flooded on the westside. Stay home if you can!
Guess we better stay on our side of town. Have some errands to run.
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Katdaddy
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The highest rainfall total so far is 6.28” at Lake Houston.
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DoctorMu
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Accumulations are mounting:

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?pro ... x&loop=yes


A line from Huntsville is expanding east, we may as Srain alluded get a piece of the pie soon.
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Just a curious question. What are the odds of this stalled front drifting into GOM and causing a problem? Like an Alicia thing?
No rain, no rainbows.
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srainhoutx
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cisa wrote:Just a curious question. What are the odds of this stalled front drifting into GOM and causing a problem? Like an Alicia thing?
Doesn't look like any tropical mischief...for now. Hemispheric Patterns may be a bit more conducive for tropical development just beyond the 4th of July Holiday timeframe. But is for a different Topic.
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srainhoutx
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06242017 mcd0394.gif
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0394
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
353 PM EDT SAT JUN 24 2017

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN LA...SOUTHWEST MS...SOUTHEAST TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 241952Z - 242352Z

SUMMARY...SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL RATES ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH
RAINFALL RATES ON THE ORDER OF TWO INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...RECENT IR SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS INDICATED EXPANDING
DEEP CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED OVERSHOOTING TOPS. THE CONVECTION
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SLOW SOUTHWARD ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT INTO
A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OUT AHEAD OF IT AND IS BEING
FOCUSED NEAR A DEVELOPING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT.
MIXED LAYER CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000 J/KG EXISTS JUST SOUTH OF
THE ONGOING CONVECTION, AND THIS UNSTABLE INFLOW TOWARDS THE FRONT
WILL SERVE TO ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES. THERE ARE ALSO INTERSECTING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER CONVECTION OVER THIS REGION.

A RIBBON OF HIGH PWS, ON THE ORDER OF 1.8 TO 2.2 INCHES PER THE
LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS, IS POOLED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THIS IS FACILITATING RATHER EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES FOR
HEAVIER RATES, WHICH MAY APPROACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON. THE LATEST HRRR EXPERIMENTAL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS SOME
IMPRESSIVELY HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN THE 20Z TO 00Z TIME
FRAME, WITH AMOUNTS LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES BY 00Z. THIS SEEMS TO
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE SITUATION THAN THE OPERATIONAL HRRR,
WHICH APPEARS TO BE UNDERDONE WITH ITS AMOUNTS. SOME FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THESE TYPES OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS,
ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED APPRECIABLE RAIN OVER THE
PAST FEW DAYS.

HAMRICK

ATTN...WFO...HGX...JAN...LCH...LIX...SHV...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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The afternoon Update 3 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast suggests and 1 to 2 inches may be possible into Tuesday. We'll need to watch Monday as a weak surface trough attempts to organize near Brownsville which may increase rainfall chances and that pesky frontal boundary as well as any meso/microoscale features that cannot be predicted beyond 3 to 5 hours pop up. I just emptied .92 of an inch out of the rain bucket which certainly beat the .38 of an inch I received for the Cindy 'event'. It is also 80F...I hit 100F yesterday, so the rainfall and cloud cover is appreciated.
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BlueJay
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No rain for us.
Zip. Zero. Zilch.
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