January 2017 -Warming Trend To End The Month

[DoctorMu]

Haven't we hit teens here within the past 4 years? I've been in Grimes County since 2012 and remember seeing a morning low in the mid-low teens on my weather station several winters ago. Piled hay around the water well for a couple days.


College Station hit a low of 17°F this morning - coldest in decades. Checking to see if it actually dipped to 16°F...


The cold was in place, but the low didn't get cranked up robustly enough for significant winter precip. Insect smashing cold last night though.

[/quote]


March 4, 2002 was the last night College Station reached 17°F per KBTX. Usually a few degrees colder in Grimes Co...urban heat island and such.

[srainhoutx]

Looks like Cleveland, Conroe and Crockett are near or below freezing at 6:00 PM.

[DoctorMu]

Just looked up some whether history.

College Station has about 20 nights that were the coldest monthly temps, colder than 17°F (source: Weather Warehouse)



16°F - 1996
16°F - 1990
16°F - 1970
16°F - 1964
15°F - 1985
15°F - 1976
15°F - 1963
15°F - 1958
14°F - 1989
14°F - 1977
14°F - 1962
13°F - 1979
11°F - 1983
9°F - 1982
7°F - 1973
4°F - 1971
2°F - 1989



So there are no doubt > 17 nights less than 17°F, but probably not much more...the last in 1996.

In February 2011 - College Station recorded a low of 19°F

Again, Grimes Co Records could have quite a few more days colder that 16-17°F.

[ronyan]

I've reached 32F here, about 2.5 hours earlier than last night.

[srainhoutx]

Another very chilly morning across Texas as the Arctic High Pressure cell settled over the Piney Woods of East Texas overnight and will begin to shift E bringing warmer weather as a Pacific flow dominates the Western and Central United States. Out West, at least two major storm systems will impact California bringing flooding rains at lower elevations and higher elevation snowfall measured by the yardstick.

01082017 7 Day QPF p168i.gif

01082017 00Z ps_08.png

Attention turns toward the late week timeframe when a strong storm drops SE out of the Gulf of Alaska into California and wraps up into a Winter Storm over New Mexico into the Panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma with both warm and cold sector weather worries for the Lone Star State. In the cold sector, modified Arctic air associated with a cold upper trough and strong High Pressure cell over the Great Lakes extends back SW to the Southern Rockies. Shallow cold air drainage into the Panhandle and possibly portions of N Texas could create a myriad of winter weather worries, mainly in the form of freezing rain and sleet. In the warm sector along and ahead of the organizing Pacific Front, round of heavy rain and possibly thunderstorms may be possible. The storm track on this next weather system is a bit further South than the last one, but is Pacific in nature versus what we experience last Thursday into Friday where its origin was out of Canada. Typically there is a lot of volatility with these Southern tracking Storms leading to some uncertainty in the sensible weather forecast.

01082017 00Z ECMWF 168 f168.gif

01082017 00Z GFS 168 f168.gif

Note: Radar at Dickinson will be down for most of the week as life extending new technology is added to the WSR- 88D. This important Upgrade is part of a National Plan to upgrade all WSR-88D systems. Read more...

http://www.weather.gov/media/hgx/RadarUpgrade.pdf

[cperk]

Low of 21.2 degrees at my home this morning.

[ticka1]

i didnt get as cold my low was 25 degrees. now sadly the heatwave begins!

[Ptarmigan]

Just looked up some whether history.

College Station has about 20 nights that were the coldest monthly temps, colder than 17°F (source: Weather Warehouse)



16°F - 1996
16°F - 1990
16°F - 1970
16°F - 1964
15°F - 1985
15°F - 1976
15°F - 1963
15°F - 1958
14°F - 1989
14°F - 1977
14°F - 1962
13°F - 1979
11°F - 1983
9°F - 1982
7°F - 1973
4°F - 1971
2°F - 1989



So there are no doubt > 17 nights less than 17°F, but probably not much more...the last in 1996.

In February 2011 - College Station recorded a low of 19°F

Again, Grimes Co Records could have quite a few more days colder that 16-17°F.

Lowest temperature recorded in College Station -3°F on January 31, 1949.

College Station Normals/Means/Extremes - January
http://w2.weather.gov/hgx/climate_cll_normals_jan

[Cromagnum]

I know we are reverting back to warm and wet this week, but any ideas on the next cold blast?

[jasons2k]

Put the plants back out but I've already reached my forecast low! Hope we don't bust!

[srainhoutx]

I know we are reverting back to warm and wet this week, but any ideas on the next cold blast?

Looks like we will have to wait a couple of weeks or so before any appreciable colder air makes it this far South. The pattern is dominated by a Pacific flow and could be rather wet and possibly stormy.

[srainhoutx]

Monday morning briefing from Jeff:

The great warm up will commence this week after a bitter cold weekend…one of the coldest in the last 5 years

Arctic high pressure dome that brought the very cold temperatures Friday-Sunday is shifting eastward allowing winds to turn ESE this morning. Low temperatures were reached early in the evening Sunday and have been climbing overnight as both clouds and ESE winds off the “warmer” Gulf of Mexico have spread inland. SE and S wind will be in place all week with a gradual warming trend that by Wednesday and Thursday will features highs near 80. Warmth will continue into at least the first half of next weekend.

Main weather items of interest over the next 4 days will be how warm will temperatures rises and when will sea fog form. Warm air advection pattern will be in place for the next several days with highs in the low to mid 60’s today rising into the mid 70’s Tuesday-Saturday. Nearshore water temperatures have cooled into the upper 40’s and as dewpoints rise into the mid to upper 60’s by the end of the week sea fog will become likely.

Next weather change will be another arctic frontal boundary and strong Pacific storm system which will approach TX Friday-Saturday. Moisture profiles will be excessive over TX by Friday into Saturday as the arctic front begins to bleed southward. Boundary is expected to stall this weekend over C and N TX with a prolonged widespread rainfall event across much of the state Saturday-Monday. For now will keep the cold air NW of SE TX at least for the first part of the weekend, but suspect that models are not handling the very shallow air mass well nor the potential for convective cold pooling to push the boundary a bit faster southward than forecast. The period looks potentially very wet with both slow moving upper air and surface features and copious moisture with PWS of 1.6 inches in mid January.



Saturday Morning Lows:

BUSH IAH: 22
Hobby: 25
Galveston: 31
Sugar Land: 20
Crockett: 16
Huntsville: 18
College Station: 18
Cleveland: 21
Conroe: 19
Tomball: 21
Brenham: 20
Victoria: 22
Wharton: 20
Freeport: 25
Angleton: 25
Palacios: 23
Bay City: 22
Pearland: 27
Corpus Christi: 27
Austin: 20
Rockport: 25

Other
Canadian: -8
Muleshoe: -4
Amarillo: 0
Childress: 2
Wichita Falls: 6
Denton: 8
Abilene: 11
Dallas: 14
Waco: 14
Longview: 15
Temple: 16

Sunday Morning Lows:

BUSH IAH: 23
Hobby: 26
College Station: 24
Conroe: 18
Brenham: 19
Madisonville: 15
Cleveland: 21
Galveston: 35
Huntsville: 22
Pearland: 28
Angleton: 22
Freeport: 24
Wharton: 22
Sugar Land: 22
Palacios: 24
Tomball: 23
Victoria: 20
Austin: 21
Rockport: 26
Corpus Christi: 26

[jasons2k]

I'm so glad the miserable cold is over and that temps warmed some overnight. I've had my taste of winter now; cannot wait for spring!!

[Montgomery]

I'm so glad the miserable cold is over and that temps warmed some overnight. I've had my taste of winter now; cannot wait for spring!!

You will get it in 2-3 days!

[Heat Miser]

Bring forth Spring-like temps.
All weekend was miserable, I mean outside and in. That cold just seeps into me bones lads.
Who likes or loves miserable cold weather, it's just, well it's miserable?
I wonder about people, especially the older I get.
I'll take a Robust Cumulus, exploding into an anvil, popping with flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder in the late afternoon any day.
Sure more pleasant than shivering around outside and in, yuck.

[TexasBreeze]

A dry cold or one with 34 and rain is completely useless cold!

[srainhoutx]

Marathon runners, the weather looks warm, humid and possibly stormy depending on the eventual track and ejection of a strong Storm System moving out of Northern Mexico into Texas.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I'll take 40 over 80 every day. It's more refreshing, I run better and work better outdoors in colder weather.

I can't stand late spring and summer here.

**Just letting you Hear Misers know there are people like me, albeit much less than your type. I went for my first below zero run two weeks ago in Montana, and thanks to my Sitka thermals, it was enjoyable.

[ticka1]

I'll take 40 over 80 every day. It's more refreshing, I run better and work better outdoors in colder weather.

I can't stand late spring and summer here.

**Just letting you Hear Misers know there are people like me, albeit much less than your type. I went for my first below zero run two weeks ago in Montana, and thanks to my Sitka thermals, it was enjoyable.

i am with you. colder weather is so much more refreshing and enjoyable!

[wxman57]

Weather for the marathon looks fine. I don't think there will be any threat of thunderstorms until Sunday night. Temperatures look warm for the marathon, though. Around 64-65 for the start of the marathon and upper 60s by 11am. Should be two good cycling days this weekend, too. Highs in the 70s and only a few sprinkles around during the day Saturday & Sunday.