August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
516 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

TXZ195>198-211-212-132300-
GRIMES TX-AUSTIN TX-BURLESON TX-WALLER TX-WASHINGTON TX-BRAZOS TX-
516 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN BURLESON...EASTERN
WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN WALLER...SOUTH CENTRAL GRIMES...SOUTHERN
BRAZOS AND NORTH CENTRAL AUSTIN COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

AT 514 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THE PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL
CLOUD IN A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF WASHINGTON...OR 9
MILES NORTHEAST OF BRENHAM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDEPENDENCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN LEAGUE CITY.
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#H ... 32211/0100

Time: 2016-08-13T22:11:00Z UTC
Event: FUNNEL CLOUD
Source: 911 CALL CENTER
Remark: FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED BY EMERGENCY PERSONNEL FROM HWY 6 NEAR COLLEGE STATION

Image
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Last edited by unome on Sat Aug 13, 2016 5:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/ ... 1608132225

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
532 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

TXC407-471-140130-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0159.160813T2232Z-160814T0130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WALKER TX-SAN JACINTO TX-
532 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
EAST CENTRAL WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 531 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NORTHEASTERN HUNTSVILLE AND OAKHURST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1703
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC245-361-132330-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0081.160813T2227Z-160813T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
527 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 527 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE...NEDERLAND...GROVES...
PORT NECHES...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...WEST ORANGE...
CENTRAL GARDENS...BEVIL OAKS...ROSE CITY...PINE FOREST...
ORANGEFIELD...PORT ACRES AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS REGIONAL AIRPORT.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3017 9428 3019 9418 3016 9411 3020 9409
3021 9410 3021 9372 3014 9369 3007 9371
3000 9377 2999 9386 2997 9384 2993 9386
2986 9393 2984 9392 2984 9395 2983 9392
2981 9395 2977 9393 3002 9428 3012 9430

$$

LANDRENEAU
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
cperk
Posts: 770
Joined: Sun Aug 19, 2012 12:09 pm
Location: Richmond
Contact:

Pouring down here in Richmond.1 inch in about 20 minutes. :D
Ounce
Posts: 470
Joined: Sat Apr 17, 2010 10:18 pm
Location: Houston
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Thick line of storms exploding on 242 between the Woodlands and Splendora.
mckinne63
Posts: 553
Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:50 pm
Location: Stafford, TX
Contact:

Had a very brief shower in Stafford. Looks like we are in a dry pocket. Showers all around us according to the radar in my husband's vehicle. Home now, just cloudy and overcast.
Skyguy

Good news folks: SPC no longer has SE Tx in a marginal severe wx risk.
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
714 PM CDT Sat Aug 13 2016

.AVIATION...
A large cluster of strong thunderstorms is descending over SETX this evening. The next few hours will see TEMPO IFR visibilities in heavy rain at the Houston terminals. The thunderstorm activity should decrease in intensity and coverage after sunset with isolated light showers possible over night.

scattered showers and thunderstorms should resume again tomorrow morning and continue throughout the afternoon.

winds in the vicinity of thunderstorms are gusting to 25 knots...however prevailing winds are southwesterly near 10 knots.
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Katdaddy
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Posts: 2502
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
Location: League City, Tx
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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
EASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 714 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BAYTOWN...HUMBLE...BEACH CITY...BARRETT...CHANNELVIEW...
HIGHLANDS...CLOVERLEAF...CROSBY...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...OLD
RIVER-WINFREE...COVE...SHELDON...EAST LITTLE YORK / HOMESTEAD...
EAST HOUSTON...BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...EL DORADO / OATES
PRAIRIE...SETTEGAST...HUNTERWOOD AND HOUSTON GARDENS.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. THIS
ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL MAKE MINOR FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED...OR
PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT.
Cromagnum
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Contact:

Skyguy wrote:Good news folks: SPC no longer has SE Tx in a marginal severe wx risk.
I would rather be in the risk area. Badly need the rain. Looks like we arent getting any over here in Rosharon again.
ticka1
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Location: Baytown/Mont Belvieu
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Skyguy wrote:Good news folks: SPC no longer has SE Tx in a marginal severe wx risk.
getting hammered here in baytown
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StormOne
Posts: 99
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Location: Lincoln, NE
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote:
Skyguy wrote:Good news folks: SPC no longer has SE Tx in a marginal severe wx risk.
I would rather be in the risk area. Badly need the rain. Looks like we arent getting any over here in Rosharon again.
We can still get a good amount of rain without being in a severe risk area. Look at the rainfall totals over Harris County tonight. Don't need severe weather to get a good amount of rain ;)

My concern is that this may have saturated our grounds, so that any rain that falls tomorrow and Monday in today's affected areas would have a higher flooding risk.
A transplant from Houston to Lincoln, Nebraska.
houstonia
Posts: 138
Joined: Sun Jun 14, 2015 6:51 pm
Location: Houston, Texas (Southwest side; Sharpstown)
Contact:

Thunder and light rain in southwest Houston. The sky has a weird, almost wintertime look, so I'm thinking the front is moving through?
Cold fronts in the summer are always strange to me. The clouds look like November, but the temperatures are all summer!
Cromagnum
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Contact:

Well, radar is showing that all of this is going to slide East right past us again. Southern counties just arent getting any relief.
BlueJay
Posts: 938
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Location: Alden Bridge-The Woodlands, Texas
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Liquid gold at our house!
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/m ... 64&yr=2016

Image


MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0564...CORRECTED
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
906 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

CORRECTED FOR TYPO IN HEADER

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEASTERN TX...SOUTHWESTERN LA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 140100Z - 140700Z

SUMMARY...HEAVY RAINS TO CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN TX OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. HEAVY RAIN THREAT MAY RETURN TO SOUTHWESTERN LA
OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FIRE AND SETTLE
SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH AS ENHANCED CONVERGENCE NEAR A LOW LEVEL
CENTER INTERACTS WITH THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE THAT IS IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION. THE LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS PWS OF 2.4-2.5
INCHES POOLING NEAR THIS LOW LEVEL CENTER. FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS -- WHILE DIFFERING ON THE
DETAILS...THE LATEST HI-RES GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE 23 UTC
OPERATIONAL AND PARALLEL RUNS OF THE HRRR...SHOWS LOCALLY HEAVY
AMOUNTS CENTERED ACROSS THE UPPER TX COAST COUNTIES. MEANWHILE
SOME LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS MAY ALSO STRETCH FURTHER TO THE
NORTHEAST ALONG AN AXIS ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXTENDING
BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW AND ANOTHER LOW FURTHER TO THE
NORTH OVER NORTHERN LA. ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN LA...MOST OF THE
HI-RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A RELATIVE LULL IN THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT
UNTIL LATER IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS (AROUND 6 UTC) AS THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW AMPLIFIES ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN LA...ONCE AGAIN RAISING THE
THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY AMOUNTS/FLASH FLOODING ACROSS AREAS
ALREADY INUNDATED WITH HISTORIC AMOUNTS.

PEREIRA

ATTN...WFO...HGX...LCH...SHV...

ATTN...RFC...LMRFC...WGRFC...

LAT...LON 31619305 31199237 30069229 29629252 29619314
29719367 29549430 29069528 29849513 30479371
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

https://www.facebook.com/NWSWPC/videos/ ... =2&theater

GOES 14 Super Rapid Scan of the Louisiana heavy rain event
This is an animation of GOES 14 Super Rapid Scan showing the tropical downpours associated with a low pressure system that have brought prolific amounts of rain into southern Louisiana where totals of 20 to 30 inches have been reported in the past couple of days. More heavy rain of 2 to 5 inches is expected to fall from western Louisiana into eastern Texas through Sunday evening. Although the rain is expected to be less heavy than in previous days, flash flooding remains a serious concern. Check the latest WPC Storm Summary for additional details.

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html
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Rip76
Posts: 1789
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Location: The Woodlands
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Coming down in Pearland.
ticka1
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Location: Baytown/Mont Belvieu
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will there be more rain tonight - looks like line weaken and moving southward.
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