ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.7ºC
Niño 3.4 3.0ºC
Niño 3 3.0ºC
Niño 1+2 2.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1 cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 are in record territory! Region 4 has remained the same.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -8.91
Average for last 90 days -15.80
Daily contribution to SOI calculation 3.43

SOI has risen.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 0.80

ESPI decreased.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.8ºC
Niño 3.4 3.1ºC
Niño 3 3.0ºC
Niño 1+2 2.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions have warmed, except for Region 3, which is constant. El Nino is picking up into record territory.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -5.83
Average for last 90 days -14.37
Daily contribution to SOI calculation 11.96

SOI has risen. I expect it will drop again.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 0.58

ESPI decreased. Like SOI, I think ESPI will rise.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.8ºC
Niño 3.4 3.0ºC
Niño 3 3.0ºC
Niño 1+2 2.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 warmed. Region 3.4 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remain the same. We are getting closer to the peak of El Nino.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -3.23
Average for last 90 days -13.81
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -16.10

SOI dropped.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 0.88

ESPI decreased. Like SOI, I think ESPI will rise.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.7ºC
Niño 3.4 2.9ºC
Niño 3 2.9ºC
Niño 1+2 2.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

No change in Region 1+2. Cooled in the rest of the region.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -7.19
Average for last 90 days -15.25
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -12.92

SOI has risen. I expect it will drop again.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 1.35

ESPI decreased. Like SOI, I think ESPI will rise.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.7ºC
Niño 3.4 2.8ºC
Niño 3 2.9ºC
Niño 1+2 2.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3.4 has cooled. No change in Region 3 and 4.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -10.23
Average for last 90 days -14.16
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -4.83

SOI has risen.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 1.10

ESPI decreased.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.7ºC
Niño 3.4 2.9ºC
Niño 3 2.9ºC
Niño 1+2 2.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3.4 warmed. No change in Region 3 and 4.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -10.98
Average for last 90 days -13.42
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -0.94

SOI has risen.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 1.45

ESPI increased.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.6ºC
Niño 3.4 2.7ºC
Niño 3 2.7ºC
Niño 1+2 2.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -9.08
Average for last 90 days -11.19
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -23.25

SOI has dropped.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 1.74

ESPI increased.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.5ºC
Niño 3.4 2.7ºC
Niño 3 2.6ºC
Niño 1+2 1.6ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled except Region 3.4.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -9.82
Average for last 90 days -11.06
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -30.66

SOI has dropped despite water cooling.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 1.94

ESPI increased.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 2.6ºC
Niño 3 2.7ºC
Niño 1+2 1.8ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 and 4 cooled.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -12.62
Average for last 90 days -11.53
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -21.76

SOI has increased.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 2.33

ESPI increased.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.3ºC
Niño 3.4 2.6ºC
Niño 3 2.8ºC
Niño 1+2 1.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled, while Region 3 and 4 warmed. Region 3.4 is the same.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4273
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -16.80
Average for last 90 days -12.03
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -19.92

SOI has increased slightly.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is 2.26

ESPI decreased.
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