January-Foggy Mornings/Cool & Cloudy To The Month

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tx_kingwood32
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so I have a question y Wendy Houston national weather office issued a winter weather statement they include most cities that are expected not to get any freezing rain why do they list all those cities above when there's no chance of getting it
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brooksgarner
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Good question. The region is within a few degrees of freezing after the rain starts falling, north of Houston. Houston's low probably around 33°-34°... Conroe cooler than that.

Now, easy to get excited about dew points being so low and the wet bulbing potential, but dew points are actually starting to moisten, which may significantly reduce any chance for temperatures to dip below freezing, unless you're 60 miles NW of Houston.
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tx_kingwood32
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Ok I'm in new caney..so would I be worried about wet bulbing and getting freezing rain here?
cperk
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I live in one of the cities listed in that special weather statement saying that it is possible we could get some freezing rain.My question is when will this be included in their forecast.
harpman
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What about the reinforcing shot of cold air coming? Wouldn't that act to lower the dewpoints?
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srainhoutx
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tx_kingwood32 wrote:Ok I'm in new caney..so would I be worried about wet bulbing and getting freezing rain here?
You folks in the NE side are like we are in the Katy Prairie portion of NW Harris County. We tend to be a a few degrees colder than DW Hooks or IAH. I'm at about 140 feet above sea level up here, so we tend to be borderline in these type events. You are a bit closer the the San Jacinto River and perhaps a lot more natural Pines than we have NW. It's going to be a close call. Stay Tuned!
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tx_kingwood32
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so what do natural pine trees have to do with it
ticka1
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if frozen precip falls it will be exciting...if it doesnt well i am just glad we are having cold weather and winter!
cperk
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ticka1 wrote:if frozen precip falls it will be exciting...if it doesnt well i am just glad we are having cold weather and winter!
I like your attitude. :)
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srainhoutx
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Getting some light sleet pellets in NW Harris County at this time.
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tx_kingwood32
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Was that forecasted for you're area srainhoutx
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srainhoutx
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tx_kingwood32 wrote:Was that forecasted for you're area srainhoutx

No. I have no frozen precip in my forecast throughout this event currently. Temperatures busted about 3-4 degrees too warm up here for highs, Also reports of sleet coming in again from the Austin area.
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tx_kingwood32
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I'm getting some very light sprinkles or mist or something here in Kingwood
tx_kingwood32
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don't know if this means anything but my WeatherBug just updated and now it has freezing rain in my forecast area of Kingwood tonight tomorrow and Saturday


Edit: now it has gone back to just plain rain
Last edited by tx_kingwood32 on Thu Jan 08, 2015 6:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Ptarmigan
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srainhoutx wrote:Getting some light sleet pellets in NW Harris County at this time.
Interesting.
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I'm at 36 now dew point 20. Right on the Medina river in Bandera, Tx. Really excited to watch things unfold out here. I will be running for roughly 13 or 14 hours on Saturday. Can't wait. Bet those trails get treacherous
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tx_kingwood32 wrote:Ok I'm in new caney..so would I be worried about wet bulbing and getting freezing rain here?
I doubt you will have any impacts either morning. Could drop to 32 for a short period of time...but think any precip will be very light.

Note: I encountered about 3 ice pellets and maybe 25 rain drops on the way home this afternoon about 345 at the Beltway and Westpark Toll Rd.
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brooksgarner wrote:Just got a report of snow flurries on St. Simons Island, Georgia! Ocean effect... first memory of that since 1989...

Okay, so what do you guys think about this wet bulbing potential. With 40°F with an 11° dew point, if it starts raining we're talking about a roughly 8-10° temperature drop potential... pretty close.
Wet bulb temperature for N Harris County is right at 32 and warms south of that. Gonna need more QPF than the models are showing to really wet bulb it down.
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Surface warm air advection is in progress over SE TX...note wind direction is from the south. Td at Palacios is up to 32...Td's will rise tonight even with no precip. Expect the temps. to only cool maybe 2-3 degrees. South winds usually do not promote much if any temp fall especially with thickening mid level deck
tx_kingwood32
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jeff wrote:
tx_kingwood32 wrote:Ok I'm in new caney..so would I be worried about wet bulbing and getting freezing rain here?
I doubt you will have any impacts either morning. Could drop to 32 for a short period of time...but think any precip will be very light.

Note: I encountered about 3 ice pellets and maybe 25 rain drops on the way home this afternoon about 345 at the Beltway and Westpark Toll Rd.

Ha! And they said houston wouldn't see any frozen precip! 3 ice pellets baby! :lol:
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