East Coast High Impact Hurricane/Post Tropical Storm Sandy

[srainhoutx]

HURRICANE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
400 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...CENTER OF SANDY MOVING TOWARD CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY...
...LANDFALL EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.6N 74.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES

LATEST REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
AS WELL AS NOAA DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE THAT SANDY
IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY OR CENTRAL DELAWARE WITHIN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[srainhoutx]

10292012_2032_goes13_x_vis2km_18LSANDY_80kts-940mb-383N-731W_92pc.jpg

[srainhoutx]

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

SANDY IS MAINTAINING A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER...WITH BOTH AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA
AND VARIOUS MICROWAVE SATELLITE DATA INDICATING A 20 N MI DIAMETER
EYE HAS DEVELOPED SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. MAXIMUM 700 MB
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BEEN 94 KT IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT...AND
SFMR-ADJUSTED SURFACE WINDS OF 80-83 KT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT MORE THAN 90 N MI FROM THE CENTER. THE
AIRCRAFT DATA ALSO INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN A
LITTLE...TO ABOUT 943 MB. BASED ON THE LATEST RECONNAISSANCE
DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 80 KT.

RECONNAISSANCE CENTER FIXES INDICATE THAT SANDY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY
TURNING TO THE LEFT AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR ABOUT
330/16 KT. THE LATEST RECON FIXES HAVE BEEN FALLING ON THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST TRACK...AND SO HAVE THE LATEST 12Z NHC FORECAST MODELS.
THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE ADVISORY PREVIOUS TRACK
OR REASONING ARE REQUIRED. SANDY IS NOW LOCATED NORTH OF THE AXIS
OF A STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...AND THE
HURRICANE SHOULD TURN NORTHWESTWARD VERY SOON. LANDFALL ALONG OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
EVENING...AT WHICH TIME A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED.
AFTER MOVING INLAND OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED. BY 48 HOURS...THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL
NHC FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK...AND
LIES CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE CONSENSUS MODELS TV15 AND TVCN.

SANDY IS CURRENTLY TRAVERSING A NARROW RIDGE OF WARM SSTS AROUND
27C...WHICH ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF STREAM. THIS EXTRA
LOW-LEVEL HEAT INPUT HAS LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO THE RECENT INCREASE
IN CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE. HOWEVER...SANDY WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE NORTH WALL OF THE GULFSTREAM WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS...WHICH
WILL BRING A HALT TO ANY SIGNIFICANT INNER-CORE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE
OVERALL INTENSITY OR THE SIZE OF THE EXTREMELY LARGE WIND FIELD
THAT IS NOW MORE THAN 1000 N MI IN DIAMETER. AT THE MOMENT...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ONLY OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT...BUT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THESE COULD SPREAD INTO
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT WELL-DEFINED WARM AND COLD FRONTS LIE
VERY NEAR THE CENTER OF SANDY...AND THE COMBINATION OF COLDER OCEAN
WATER AND NEARBY FRONTAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE REACHES
THE COAST. HOWEVER...THIS TRANSFORMATION WILL NOT DIMINISH THE
OVERALL IMPACTS FROM WINDS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...LIFE-THREATENING
STORM SURGE... AND FLOODING RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DANGEROUS
WEATHER SYSTEM. BASED ON THE GLOBAL MODELS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD
WEAKEN FAIRLY RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL.

INTERESTS ARE REMINDED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE CENTER OR THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...SINCE STRONG WINDS COVER AN AREA
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ACROSS...AND THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL NOT
NECESSARILY BE NEAR THE CENTER...ESPECIALLY JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET
ABOVE THE GROUND.

AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...TO AVOID A HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE
CHANGE FROM TROPICAL TO NON-TROPICAL WARNINGS WHEN SANDY BECOMES
POST-TROPICAL...THE WIND HAZARD NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONVEYED THROUGH HIGH WIND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.





FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 38.8N 74.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 39.8N 76.6W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 30/1800Z 40.4N 78.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 31/0600Z 41.3N 78.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 31/1800Z 42.8N 77.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 01/1800Z 45.1N 75.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 02/1800Z 46.3N 72.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 03/1800Z 47.5N 65.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[srainhoutx]

Update from Jeff:

Storm surge overwashing the NJ, NY, Long IS, CT, RI, DE coasts. Surge has risen to 9.1ft at Kings Point at the western end of Long Island Sound.

Dunes and seawall protection is being breached on Long Island and along the NJ coast. Flooding is ongoing in/around NYC with sea water overtopping the seawall flooding the FDR and the seawall near Wall Street is being overtopped. Streets are starting to flood in lower Manhattan as the surge is moving into Raritan Bay, Hudson River, and western Long Island Sound. Battery Park is at 9.74ft and rising rapidly!

Officials report widespread deep inundation across much of Atlantic City, NJ as surge is overrunning the coast. Rescue operations on the barrier islands have been suspended until Tuesday.

Damaging winds spreading over a 1000 mile wide area. Numerous trees and power lines already downed with over 1 million now without power.

[srainhoutx]

Update from Jeff:

Massive storm surge overtaking the coast.

New York Battery sits new record surge height at 11.25 ft (11.2 old record). Surge is in a rapid rise and major flooding is in progress in NYC, flooding of subway is imminent! Surge reaches over 12.0ft at the western end of Long Is Sound.

85% of Atlantic City, NJ is under water with massive sections of the boardwalk destroyed.

[srainhoutx]

10292012_2330_US_ir.jpg

[Ptarmigan]

000
WTNT63 KNHC 300002
TCUAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
800 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 74.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM SW OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.93 INCHES

SURFACE...RADAR...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
DATA INDICATE THAT POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MADE LANDFALL NEAR
ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY AROUND 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH...130 KM/H.

NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGES HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED STORM
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 11.9 FEET AT KINGS POINT NEW YORK...8.4 FEET
AT THE BATTERY NEW YORK...AND 8.6 FEET AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY.

WITHIN THE PAST HOUR OR SO...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH WITH A GUST
TO 73 MPH WAS REPORTED AT JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN NEW YORK. A
WIND GUST TO 71 MPH WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED AT FARMINGDALE NEW YORK.

ANOTHER UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AT 900 PM EDT. NHC WILL ISSUE ITS LAST
ADVISORY ON SANDY AT 1100 PM EDT. THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...WILL BEGIN ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AT
500 AM EDT TUESDAY. HPC PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE
SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC ADVISORIES...AND WILL
ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0002.shtml

Sandy made landfall near Atlantic City.

[srainhoutx]

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
800 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 74.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM SW OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.93 INCHES

SURFACE...RADAR...AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
DATA INDICATE THAT POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY MADE LANDFALL NEAR
ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY AROUND 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH...130 KM/H.

NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGES HAVE RECENTLY REPORTED STORM
SURGE HEIGHTS OF 11.9 FEET AT KINGS POINT NEW YORK...8.4 FEET
AT THE BATTERY NEW YORK...AND 8.6 FEET AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY.

WITHIN THE PAST HOUR OR SO...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH WITH A GUST
TO 73 MPH WAS REPORTED AT JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN NEW YORK. A
WIND GUST TO 71 MPH WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED AT FARMINGDALE NEW YORK.

ANOTHER UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AT 900 PM EDT. NHC WILL ISSUE ITS LAST
ADVISORY ON SANDY AT 1100 PM EDT. THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...WILL BEGIN ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AT
500 AM EDT TUESDAY. HPC PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE
SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE NHC PUBLIC ADVISORIES...AND WILL
ALSO BE AVAILABLE VIA THE NHC WEBSITE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS

[Ptarmigan]

Tidal Gauge For The Battery
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/data_m ... ide%20Data

[srainhoutx]

Two updates from Jeff:


1.) Catastrophic flooding in progress in New York City.


FDNY can no longer respond to numerous 911 calls due to extensive flooding. FDNY requesting numerous boats to move personnel out of flooding fire stations.


Subway and tunnels are flooding and LaGuardia Airport is now completely inundated with sea water.


Con ED is cutting all power to all lower Manhattan.


Water levels now at 13.45ft and still rising at Battery Park. Water over car tops in East Village.


Water levels now 1-2.5 ft beyond previous records.



2.)Catastrophic flooding inundating NYC. All tunnels/subways filling with sea water. Entire Coney Is/E Village under 6-8’ water

[Ptarmigan]

Live Camera of Times Square in New York.
http://aws1.earthcam.com/?c=tsrobo3

You can see people and cars.

[Andrew]

Latest rainfall:

10-29-2012.png

Also BV is still showing 60+ knots for a lot of the area.

[Ptarmigan]

FDNY Fire Scanner
http://nycfire.net/fdny/communications/liveaudio/scan

[Ptarmigan]

Sandy Strikes City With Record Flooding, Power Outages
http://www.ny1.com/content/top_stories/ ... er-outages

[srainhoutx]

Morning update from Jeff:

Historic Sandy continues to battered much of the eastern US. Numerous weather records have fallen from lowest central pressures to highest storm surge heights (I will compile an e-mail on all Sandy’s records in the next few days once they are verified).

Thus far the death toll stands at 16 with potential damages estimate at over 25 billion dollars.

President Obama declares major disaster declaration for New York City and Long Island.

Incredible record 32.5 ft wave recorded in New York Harbor overnight surpassing the 26 foot record in Hurricane Irene!

7.5 million persons are without power in 11 states. Con Ed indicates significant damage has occurred to the NYC underground power system due to flooding. Back-up power generation at some NYC hospitals have failed due to flooding and this is requiring unprecedented evacuation of hundreds of patients similar to what happen at the Texas Medical center during TS Allison.

Levee failure in northern New Jersey has completely flooded three entire towns this morning with an estimated 1000 persons trapped in their attics and on rooftops.

In the 108 years of the New York City Massive Transit System: “ it has never faced a disaster as devastating as last night” 7 subway tunnels under the East River were flooded. 6 bus garages were flooded. Hugh Carey Tunnel is flooded end to end and the Queens Midtown Tunnel is flooded.

A massive fire has burned over 50 homes in Queens due to arcing power lines and strong winds.

Showing the size of this event: 60mph winds and 24 foot waves are expected near Chicago today!

12,500 airline flights have been cancelled and many major NE airports are closed and have taken either flooding or wind damage.

We have not fully grasped the scope and magnitude of this disaster, but based on sketchy reports from Long Island and the New Jersey coast, the damage is “incredible”! Sunrise this morning will reveal the full magnitude of the destruction.

Note: I strongly advise everyone in this day of instant media “twitter and facebook” to be wary of reports. While much of the reports last evening were real time, only about 20% were actually true.

Brooklyn

10302012 Jeff image001.jpg

10302012 Jeff image002.jpg

PATH Subway Flooding

10302012 Jeff image003.jpg

Entrance near Battery Tunnel

10302012 Jeff image004.jpg

Water entering WTC

10302012 Jeff image005.jpg

Southampton, NY

10302012 Jeff image009.jpg

Edgewater, NJ

10302012 Jeff image008.jpg

Atlantic City, NJ

10302012 Jeff image010.jpg

Del Coast

10302012 Jeff image006.jpg

Hoboken, NJ

10302012 Jeff image007.jpg

[txflagwaver]

http://www.myfoxny.com/story/19950007/l ... -evacuated

[jcarr]

http://www.khou.com/news/local/Space-Sh ... 27611.html

[unome]

the tropical life of Sandy

[srainhoutx]

Morning e-mail from Jeff:

Death toll stands at 55 in the US with 22 in New York City and damage estimates between 40-50 billion dollars.

8.2 million are without power and President Obama has ordered the resources of the federal govt. to help in power restoration where needed.

Gov of NJ: “The damage on the coast is unthinkable and far beyond what any of us expected”

Mayor Seaside Heights NJ: “We need all the help we can get. The city as is it was before Sandy will never be again.”

USGS will be flying coastal imaging aircraft over the next few days with before and after images.

Remains of the circulation of the system will be moving slowly into Canada over the next 48 hours with winds gradually subsiding over the entire region including the Great Lakes. Heavy snows will continue over WV, W MD, and OH for the next 24 hours.

I will be attempting to draft a report on all the wind, surge, rainfall, and snow reports, along with the numerous records the storm set, but much of this is still in the early stages.

[srainhoutx]

Code: Select all

REMNANTS OF SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
0500 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...REMNANTS OF SANDY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER PENNSYLVANIA...

SUMMARY OF 0500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
ALONG MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS.

FLOOD AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
MARYLAND...WEST VIRGINIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN
KENTUCKY...AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 0500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR THE REMNANTS OF SANDY.  SANDY HAS WEAKENED INTO A
SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.  


HAZARDS
-------
WIND...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND GREAT LAKES.

STORM SURGE...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE ALONG
THE COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE DAY.  IN
PORTIONS OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST
COULD STILL BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS AROUND THE TIME OF THE
NEXT HIGH TIDE. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND:

UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 2 FEET.

FRESHWATER FLOOD WATERS ORIGINATING IN THE UPPER POTOMAC FROM THE
RAINS OF SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE TIDAL
POTOMAC...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND ALSO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN
MARYLAND AND SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 04 AM EDT

...WASHINGTON DC...
WASHINGTON 5.1 NW                    5.83
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL                  4.84                    

...DELAWARE...
GEORGETOWN                          10.20
DOVER 6.4 WNW                        9.62
MILFORD                              9.55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES                   9.49
REHOBOTH BEACH                       9.37       
CLAYTON 6.6 W                        8.62
DOVER AFB                            8.47
DELANEY CORNER                       8.33
MILTON                               8.30            
SMYRNA 2.7 SSE                       8.30                     
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE                      8.27                     
FELTON 3.6 NE                        8.00
DOVER                                7.98
VIOLA                                7.84                   
GEORGETOWN 5.8 W                     7.76                     

...MASSACHUSETTS...
FITCHBURG                            3.85
NORTH ASHBURNHAM                     3.70
PEPPERELL                            3.30
ASHBURNHAM                           3.20
AYER                                 3.11
EAST MILTON                          3.03
LEOMINSTER 1.5 S                     2.92                     
NATICK 1.7 NNE                       2.85                     
NORTON 1.8 NNE                       2.80                     
ACTON 1.3 SW                         2.76
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD                2.40                     
MILLIS 0.6 SSE                       2.65                     
NORTHBOROUGH 0.6 SSE                 2.60                     
NORWOOD 1.3 NW                       2.59

...MARYLAND...
EASTON 0.7 NNW                      12.55
1 NNW EASTON                        12.49                     
GREENSBORO 1.4 ENE                  10.53
QUEENSTOWN 2.6 S                     9.89                     
TRAPPE 3.5 NE                        9.78                     
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E                    9.48                     
DENTON 5.8 WSW                       9.18                     
PRINCESS ANNE 4.4 WSW                8.81                     
PASADENA 2.6 ESE                     8.60
PATUXENT RIVER NAS                   8.32                     
LA PLATA 5.8 SE                      8.23
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  7.55
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 7.22
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER              7.18
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY         7.09                       
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT       6.67

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SALVO 0.9 NNE                        8.09                     
AVON 0.7 NE                          8.00                     
COROLLA 3.2 SSE                      7.66                     
DUCK 0.3 SE                          7.22                     
KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.5 NNW             6.47
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           6.26                      
COROLLA 11.7 NNW                     5.90                     
KITTY HAWK 4.0 NNW                   5.89                     
TRENT WOODS 1.3 SSE                  4.11                     
JAMESVILLE 6.1 SW                    3.84                     
JACKSONVILLE 2.0 E                   3.75                     
HOLLY RIDGE 4.8 ENE                  3.63                     
ELIZABETH CITY 10.5 NNW              3.56                     
MERRY HILL 3.8 E                     3.51
                                      
...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GORHAM 3.1 S                         4.85
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT                    4.78                     
CENTER SANDWICH 4.9 E                4.57                     
RANDOLPH 1.4 NE                      4.51
MT WASHINGTON                        4.05                     
NEWBURY 1.6 NW                       4.00
NASHUA                               3.53
EFFINGHAM 0.9 NNW                    3.35                     
NEWBURY 4.0 SE                       3.07                     
HILLSBOROUGH 2.1 NNW                 3.00                     
BROOKLINE 2.1 SW                     3.00                     
MADISON 1.7 SE                       2.99                     
GREENVILLE 1.1 ENE                   2.96                     
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW                   2.91                     
PETERBOROUGH                         2.98
                    
...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 0.6 NNE              11.91
GREEN CREEK                         11.40
NORTH WILDWOOD                      10.24
SEAVILLE                            10.06
RIO GRANDE                           9.51
WEST CAPE MAY                        9.37                     
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE                     8.41
ERMA                                 8.20
ATLANTIC CITY                        8.15
CAPE MAY                             8.10       
WOODBINE 0.8 NNW                     7.84                     
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE                     7.75                     
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE                  7.56                     
NEWPORT                              7.30                     
CAPE MAY 0.4 NNW                     7.28                     
VINELAND 2.6 WSW                     7.07
ESTELL MANOR                         7.06
CEDARVILLE                           7.00                    

                    
...NEW YORK...
WHITESVILLE                          4.83
1 S HAMBURG                          4.59
PERRYSBURG                           4.41
1 SW DUNKIRK                         4.09
BATAVIA GENESSEE                     3.80
3 ENE LOCKPORT                       3.63
SHERMAN 0.4 ENE                      3.42
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT              3.27
LOCKPORT 2.8 ENE                     3.31                    
LANCASTER 4.1 ENE                    3.26                     
ALCOTT CENTER                        3.25
ELMA CENTER 0.7 SE                   3.06                     
DANSVILLE 1.0 ENE                    3.06                     
LOCKPORT 0.8 NE                      3.05                     
WEST ALMOND 3.6 SW                   3.04                         
               
                                        

...OHIO...
KIRTLAND 0.9 SW                      5.69
CLEVELAND HOPKINS AIRPORT            5.14                     
MAYFIELD 0.2 NW                      5.10                     
NORTH RIDGEVILLE 2.8 SSW             5.06                     
PAINESVILLE 3.8 SSW                  5.02
LORAIN/ELYRIA                        4.98
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT                   4.83                    
ELYRIA 3.0 SE                        4.77
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT          4.56                      
BROADVIEW HEIGHTS 1.5 NW             4.44
AVON 1.6 SW                          4.14                     
BRUNSWICK 0.5 NE                     4.08                    
PARMA 1.9 NNW                        3.96                     
RICHMOND HEIGHTS 0.4 NNE             3.88
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE                      3.77                     
ELYRIA 0.4 SE                        3.70                     

                     
...PENNSYLVANIA...
HANOVER 5.4 S                        7.61                     
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW                  7.32                     
GLEN ROCK 2.2 ESE                    6.54                     
MALVERN 0.5 NNE                      6.32                     
LANDENBERG 1.8 ENE                   5.96                     
NEW SALEM 0.3 WSW                    5.92
2 ENE LANDEBERG                      5.90              
LITTLESTOWN 3.7 WNW                  5.84
WEST CHESTER                         5.78                     
LATROBE 0.6 NW                       5.76
EXTON                                5.59                    
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE                  5.54                     
HANOVER 3.0 WSW                      5.51                     
ABBOTTSTOWN 2.4 N                    5.43
                                          
...RHODE ISLAND...
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT      2.71
WOONSOCKET 1.3 ESE                   1.87
MANVILLE 0.2 NE                      1.76

...VIRGINIA...
REEDVILLE                            9.90
VIRGINIA BEACH                       9.58
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK                    9.57
CASHVILLE .01 S                      9.38                     
WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW                  8.96                     
GREENBACKVILLE 0.4 WNW               8.64                     
PORT HAYWOOD 1.0 SE                  8.59                     
ONLEY 0.6 SE                         8.47
WALLOPS ISLAND                       8.48                     
ONANCOCK 3.9 SW                      8.39                     
VIRGINIA BEACH 1.7 NE                7.99
PURCELLVILLE                         7.89
5 S MAYSVILLE                        7.75                       
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE                      7.73                     
NEWPORT NEWS 5.8 NE                  7.63
                                          
...WEST VIRGINIA...
SHENANDOAH JUNCTION                  4.46                     
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW                4.36                     
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE                   3.99
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD                3.67                     
MCMECHEN 6.0 E                       3.56                     
CHARLES TOWN 2.5 NE                  3.15                     
BUNKER HILL 0.8 WNW                  3.06                     
SPRINGFIELD 2.3 ESE                  3.04
HUNTINGTON                           2.88                       
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE                   2.83                     
                                          

SNOWFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 04 AM EDT

..KENTUCKY...
PAYNE GAP                            14.0
LYNCH 3S                             12.0
ELKO 1NW                              9.0
BENHAM 3S                             6.0
VIPER                                 6.0

...MARYLAND...
REDHOUSE                             29.0
FINZEL                               24.0
OAKLAND                              24.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE                      20.0
4 SE CHAMPOIN                        13.0
GRANTSVILLE                          12.0
FROSTBURG                             6.0

...NORTH CAROLINA...
COVE CREEK 10NW                      24.0
FAUST                                24.0
NEWFOUND GAP                         22.0
ELK PARK                             14.0
BULADEAN                             12.0
BAKERSVILLE 5N                       11.0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE                  10.0
FLAT SPRINGS                          9.8
ASHLAND                               9.0
LANSING                               8.0
FLAT SPRINGS 1E                       7.0

...OHIO...
BELLEFONTAINE                         4.5
BELLEFONTAINE 2N                      3.0
WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE                3.0 
MANSFIELD                             2.5

...PENNSYLVANIA...
CHAMPION 4SE                         13.0
LAUREL SUMMIT                        10.0
MOUNT DAVIS                           9.0
FARMINGTON                            8.8
LAUREL SUMMIT                         9.6

...TENNESSEE...
GATLINBURG 7SE                       22.0
ROAN MOUNTAIN                        19.0
NEWFOUND GAP                         18.0
MOUNT LECONTE                        17.0

...VIRGINIA...
NORTON 2S                            24.0
TAZEWELL 2N                          15.0
WISE 6E                              14.0
LEBANON                              12.0
BURKES GARDEN                         8.4
RICHLANDS                             8.0
HONAKER                               8.0
MOUTH OF WILSON                       8.0

...WEST VIRGINIA...
5 WSW HUTTONSVILLE                   28.0
DAVIS                                28.0
FLAT TOP                             28.0
CRAIGSVILLE                          26.0
ALEXANDER                            24.0
QUINWOOD                             24.0
NETTIE                               24.0
TERRA ALTA                           24.0
KITZMILLER                           24.0
BEVERLY                              21.0
BAYARD                               21.5
HUTTONSVILLE                         18.0
BEAVER                               18.0
1 E MACARTHUR                        18.0
WEBSTER SPINGS                       17.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E                     15.0
ELKINS                               14.0


WIND GUSTS
-----------
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR FROM EARLIER IN THE
EVENT

...CONNECTICUT...
MADISON                                85
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT                     76
GROTON                                 76
GREENWICH                              70

...MAINE...
BATH                                   76
PORTLAND JETPORT                       63
KENNEBUNK 2NE                          62

...MARYLAND...
LAYTONSVILLE 1ESE                      76
OCEAN CITY                             74
CROCHERON 2SSE                         70
ANNAPOLIS                              69
ARBUTUS                                68
FREDRICK 1NE                           62

...MASSACHUSETTS...
CUTTYHUNK                              83
WELLFLEET                              81
BARNSTABLE                             79
WRENTHAM                               77

...MICHIGAN...
FORT GRATIOT                           74
TOLEDO HARBOR                          66
PORT SANILAC                           65
SOUTH BASS ISLAND                      63
SOUTH HAVEN 1W                         60                  

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
GOSHEN                                 70
LONDONDERRY                            62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP                   60

...NEW JERSEY...
TOMPKINSVILLE 2N                       90
SURF CITY                              89
TUCKERTON                              88
MONTCLAIR 1N                           88
NEWPORT                                87
SANDY HOOK NOS BUOY                    87
DENNISVILLE                            81
CLIFTON                                80
NEWARK                                 78 
ATLANTIC CITY                          77
BAYONNE 1ENE                           77

...NEW YORK...
ISLIP                                  90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE                      85
SYOSSET                                82
POINT LOOKOUT 1E                       80
JFK                                    79

..OHIO...
BURKE LAKEFRONT ARPT                   67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT                 63
SOUTH BASS ISLAND                      62

...PENNSYLVANIA...
ALLENTOWN                              81
BENSALEM                               76
BUSHKILL CENTER                        70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT                 68
MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT                   66
MOUNT AETNA                            64
WIND GAP                               62

...RHODE ISLAND...
WESTERLY                               86
WARREN                                 73

...VERMONT...
STOWE 8NW                              72
LYNDON CENTER                          61
UNDERHILL                              60

...VIRGINIA...
CHESTER GAP 3NNE                       79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW                       72
WALLOPS ISLAND                         68
MELFA/ACCOMACK ARPT                    62
HACKSHECK 1NW                          60

...WEST VIRGINIA...
RANSON 1 NNW                           65
KEYSER 2 SSW                           64
MARTINSBURG ARPT                       60


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

PETERSEN/ORRISON/TERRY

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/0900Z  NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION