Tropical Depression Isaac:

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Rip76
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Rip76 wrote:This may not mean tons, but it's something.

Image
The Met on the Weather Channel explained this image.
Explained why it may stay west.
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wxman666
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TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
Ready for severe weather season!!
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wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
If the ridge is already blocking it to the north what is going to make him go north
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Belmer
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Rip76 wrote:
Rip76 wrote:This may not mean tons, but it's something.

Image
The Met on the Weather Channel explained this image.
Explained why it may stay west.
For those not watching TWC, if you are going to post this, it would be helpful for you to tell us what they said so other members aren't confused by this picture. ;)
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Alvin Girl
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ticka1 wrote:hearing the wsw motion has been maintained for close to an hour now and no signs to north or stopping - is that what ya'll are seeing too?

No GFS runs yet?
Been watching radar for past few hours with hubby, we see movement to the wsw, with a jog to the south in the last few frames :shock:
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wxman666
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sau27 wrote:
wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
If the ridge is already blocking it to the north what is going to make him go north
Personally, I haven't detected a true N movement for the past several hours. It's all been some variation of west it seems. It will be interesting to see if this trend keeps up.
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wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
So is it temporary or will the ridge have a weakness in it tomorrow and Isaac will turn north? Honestly nothing this storm does surprises me....
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wxman666
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ticka1 wrote:
wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
So is it temporary or will the ridge have a weakness in it tomorrow and Isaac will turn north? Honestly nothing this storm does surprises me....
Same here. Heck if I know. :lol:
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wxman666
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Alvin Girl wrote:
ticka1 wrote:hearing the wsw motion has been maintained for close to an hour now and no signs to north or stopping - is that what ya'll are seeing too?

No GFS runs yet?
Been watching radar for past few hours with hubby, we see movement to the wsw, with a jog to the south in the last few frames :shock:
Watching it now. Very evident. More so than I've seen thus far.
Ready for severe weather season!!
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Belmer
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The 'circle' or 'eye' of Isaac is now completley off land. So I would have to agree there was a slight South to SW motion as of the past hour.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes
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wxman666 wrote:
Alvin Girl wrote:
ticka1 wrote:hearing the wsw motion has been maintained for close to an hour now and no signs to north or stopping - is that what ya'll are seeing too?

No GFS runs yet?
Been watching radar for past few hours with hubby, we see movement to the wsw, with a jog to the south in the last few frames :shock:
Watching it now. Very evident. More so than I've seen thus far.
Could be trying to get back under the heavier convection to the south:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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words of advice. no matter what, nature always wins.
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wxman666
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Looks like it's just spinning now...almost stationary. Does anyone else see that?
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wxman666 wrote:Looks like it's just spinning now...almost stationary. Does anyone else see that?

I was just thinking that. Looks nearly stationary and maybe the eye is tightening in just a bit
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Belmer
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Looks like the eye is starting to get smaller.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Strengthening?
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wxman666
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NHC changes it to WNW finally.
Ready for severe weather season!!
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Belmer
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NEW ADVISORY:
80mph
WNW 7mph
969mb

So finally a WNW motion from NHC instead of NW.
Pressure went up by one mb.

EDIT TO ADD...

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 90.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.61 INCHES
Last edited by Belmer on Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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wxman666
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TS Warning now extends right down to Cameron, LA to our border and the waters offshore east of High Island. The TS Watch continues for Jefferson and Orange counties.

Edit to add: High Island eastward has NOT been upgraded to a warning. Those are the offshore waters.
Last edited by wxman666 on Wed Aug 29, 2012 12:08 am, edited 4 times in total.
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djmike
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Cameron now under a TS Warning.....Next in line, Beaumont, Port Arthur and Sabine Pass!
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