February: Calm Weather To End The Month

[Paul]

I am counting stars here in Pearland...nice and cool...clear sky. Saw a shooting star....how nice...

[Katdaddy]

0.10" for the day.....a non-event so far....beginning to wonder was my reply to Ticka on Facebook.

[Ted]

0.10" for the day.....a non-event so far....beginning to wonder was my reply to Ticka on Facebook.

What do you mean about FB?

[ticka1]

Everything seems to be going north of us by looking at the radar!

[Katdaddy]

Ted, several of us on the board have known each other many years and Facebook is another means of discussion as well as Twitter. Currently hear thunder in the distance from the cells approaching N Brazoria County.

[ajurcat]

As much as I would love to have major rain here in the Houston area, I love, love, love seeing all the rain in the hill country. Those lakes need it. I'm not going to be greedy - the whole state needs rain.

[texoz]

Healthy cells firing up near Piedras Negras. Keep an eye on those and any other forming southeastward toward Laredo. That's the area to look for storms for the San Antonio/Austin/Corpus/Houston destination.

That area from Piedras to San Antonio is about to get a couple of inches of rain, at least.

[Ptarmigan]

I noticed the storms are moving northwest over West Texas. I am thinking the ones that form southwest of Houston could be the problem.

[wxman666]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC015-089-157-185-201-339-473-477-181030-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0031.120218T0957Z-120218T1030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
357 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 430 AM CST

* AT 353 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF BELLVILLE TO
16 MILES WEST OF SEALY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BRENHAM TO 8 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO WALLER...TOMBALL...PRAIRIE VIEW...PINEHURST...
MAGNOLIA...KATY...JERSEY VILLAGE...HEMPSTEAD AND BROOKSHIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OR DAMAGE
BUILDINGS. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3048 9563 2978 9552 2960 9648 3017 9633
TIME...MOT...LOC 0957Z 243DEG 55KT 3013 9624 2974 9635

$$

[bigjim350]

AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.


wow those are moving fast

[ticka1]

Storms coming. Most of the the heavy rain to the north of us. Everyone stay safe out there.

[srainhoutx]

From Jeff:

Severe line of thunderstorms capable of large hail and winds to 60mph moving rapidly E across the area. Warning is in effect for this line for Montgomery, Harris, Waller, Austin, and northern Fort Bend Counties.

Surface warm front has moved inland to along a line from Victoria to Sugar Land to just south of Hobby Airport with a surface low noted just west of Victoria. Line of strong storms with very heavy rainfall (1-2 inches per hour) will sweep across much of the area in the next 1-3 hours. Watching the southern end of the line very closely near and SW of Victoria to near Wharton as radar trends suggest the line is slowing and may start training greatly raising the flood threat along the US 59 corridor. Storms may intensify as they cross over the warm front into the warm sector in the next hour or so.

[srainhoutx]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0123
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0435 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 181035Z - 181130Z

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SERN TX AND EVENTUALLY SWRN LA LATER
THIS MORNING. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR.

STORMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED ACROSS SERN TX ON SURGING OUTFLOW/COLD
FRONT COMPOSITE BOUNDARY. AHEAD OF THIS LINE...WARM ADVECTION
CONVECTION WAS SHIFTING NWD OVER SERN TX INTO WRN LA. THIS
CONVECTION IS A GOOD PROXY FOR THE WARM FRONT...WHICH MAY BE
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S
S OF THIS BOUNDARY...WITH SIMILAR DEWPOINTS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT DESPITE COOL TEMPERATURES...LITTLE CAPPING
EXISTS...ESPECIALLY IN VICINITY OF THE FORCED LINE OF STORMS.
FURTHER...THERE MAY BE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER AND
WITH LONG HODOGRAPHS IN PLACE...THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST FOR
SEVERAL HOURS. GIVEN THE MARGINAL BOUNDARY LAYER THOUGH...SEVERE
THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD.

OTHER CELLS WERE DEVELOPING FARTHER S AS WELL ALONG THE COLD FRONT.
CAPPING IS A PROBLEM FROM CRP TO BRO...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT DEEP
FORCING ALONG THE FRONT COULD EVENTUALLY OVERCOME THE
INVERSION...WITH A FEW STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST BEFORE
QUICKLY MOVING OFFSHORE. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL IF THEY
REMAIN CELLULAR.

..JEWELL.. 02/18/2012


ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...

[srainhoutx]

Severe Thurnderstorm Warning for Austin, Colorado, Ft Bend, Harris, Montgomery, San Jacinto & Waller Counites

[srainhoutx]

Code: Select all

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 27 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-239-245-291-321-339-361-407-481-
181500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0027.120218T1050Z-120218T1500Z/

TX
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRAZORIA             CHAMBERS            FORT BEND
GALVESTON            HARDIN              HARRIS
JACKSON              JEFFERSON           LIBERTY
MATAGORDA            MONTGOMERY          ORANGE
SAN JACINTO          WHARTON

[srainhoutx]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
417 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW OVER WEST TEXAS AND MOVING EAST WITH STRONG DIFFLUENCE
ONGOING ACROSS SETX. LINE OF STORMS COALESCED JUST WEST OF
COLORADO COUNTY AND CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES EAST. VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL STILL ON TAP TODAY WITH THE LINE OF STORMS MOVING
THROUGH AND MORE FORMING AND MOVING EAST. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
GOING ON WELL NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES
WITH EMBEDDED HEAVIER SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE OVERSPREAD THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES. EXPECTING THAT AS THE STRENGTHENING FLOW
DEVELOPS THE INTENSITY OF RAINFALL WILL INCREASE. EXPECTING FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS. EXTENDED THE FLOOD
WATCH UNTIL 3 PM. ALSO AM EXPECTING SOME DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS
BACK UNDERNEATH THE UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. MORNING COMMUTE WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME BIG ISSUES WITH
THE STREET FLOODING.

SEVERE THREAT ALSO ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WARM FRONT OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION WHERE WIND AND HAIL THREAT WILL
EXIST. SOME SLIGHT RISK FOR SMALL HAIL ACROSS THE NORTH AREAS BUT
MAY BE A LOT OF PEA SIZED HAIL THERE.

RAINS SHOULD BE ENDING BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN THE
NORTHEAST AS THE UPPER LOW DEPARTS. WESTERLY FLOW WRAPPING AROUND
THE SYSTEM MAY WARRANT A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES
WHERE WINDS STACKED OFF THE DECK TO 925 MB PROGGED TO INCREASE TO
35 TO 45 KNOTS.

[srainhoutx]

HGX issues Areal Flood Advisory for Austin, Brazoria, Ft Bend, Harris, Montgomery, San Jacinto, Walker, Waller & Wharton Counties

[srainhoutx]

Jeff reports rainfall rates of 1.04 inches in 15 minutes...Willow Creek and SH 249

[srainhoutx]

Folks in Ft Bend, S Harris & Brazoria Counties heads up. Bowing structure noted on radar heading E @ 60 mph

[srainhoutx]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Chambers, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, Polk & San Jacinto Counties