December: Warm Days & Cool-Foggy Nights To End 2011

[Katdaddy]

No snow in League City this morning. Just a cold drizzle. Merry Christmas everyone!!!! Onward to 2012.

[jasons2k]

I had .77" from this last round. Merry Christmas to all!

[JackCruz]

Merry Christmas.

[JackCruz]

I want bitter cold and snow. Am i like AR.....

[Snowman]

So Ed is right that low seems to be moving northwest.... that wasn't so suppose to happen... so dare i say

Now What?

[weatherag]

Taking a look at the TXDOT cameras, looks like a pretty good blanket of snow on the ground in Amarillo....especially along I-40 where the heaviest snow bands have set up this afternoon. Enhanced lift to the north of the mid-level low plus good saturation in the dendritic growth zone = a nice treat for our friends in the Panhandle.

[Ptarmigan]

So far no rain. Santa Claus has held off the rain for us.

[wxman57]

So Ed is right that low seems to be moving northwest.... that wasn't so suppose to happen... so dare i say

Now What?

The loop is rather short, but the 12Z GFS has the low making a counter-clockwise loop, moving NW this morning then south then off to the northeast tomorrow. It's behaving just as forecast. It doesn't look like there will be enough lift to produce anything more than some very light rain/drizzle until the upper low axis passes tomorrow afternoon.

[srainhoutx]

FDW is mentioning thunder as the U/L approaches overnight into tomorrow morning. Now the chances for those elevated storms are for Eastern areas of their CWA, so with the uncertainty of just how the U/L will track E, I think it would be prudent to continue to mention at least some chance of heavier showers and just perhaps a rumble of thunder mainly N of the Houston Metro. This storm system has not exactly behaved as some guidance has suggested after all.

[biggerbyte]

Exactly! The NWS is just picking a scenario and going with it. They have to forecast something, one way, or the other. Then we have folks trying to follow guidance, flip flopping around. The truth is exactly how you put it. Final outcome is currently to be debated.

[Ptarmigan]

FDW is mentioning thunder as the U/L approaches overnight into tomorrow morning. Now the chances for those elevated storms are for Eastern areas of their CWA, so with the uncertainty of just how the U/L will track E, I think it would be prudent to continue to mention at least some chance of heavier showers and just perhaps a rumble of thunder mainly N of the Houston Metro. This storm system has not exactly behaved as some guidance has suggested after all.

Thunder on Christmas is unheard of. I cannot recall thunder on Christmas. The closest was on December 23, 2002.

[wxman57]

FDW is mentioning thunder as the U/L approaches overnight into tomorrow morning. Now the chances for those elevated storms are for Eastern areas of their CWA, so with the uncertainty of just how the U/L will track E, I think it would be prudent to continue to mention at least some chance of heavier showers and just perhaps a rumble of thunder mainly N of the Houston Metro. This storm system has not exactly behaved as some guidance has suggested after all.

Definitely, there's a good bit of lifting up north ahead of the upper low (enough to produce a thunderstorm) but not down here.

[wxman57]

Radar indicates a band of light to moderate showers moving in from the west. The rain should impact Houston until early in the afternoon then move off to the east. I'd estimate that average rainfall across Houston today will range from 0.1" to 0.5".

[wxman57]

Looks like rainfall was quite light, between a trace and .05" today. Gradual warming now through New Year's Day. Should be a real nice weekend next weekend. Warm, at least.

[srainhoutx]

We had some frost this morning in NW Harris County. I wouldn't be surprised to see a repeat for tomorrow morning as well for northern areas.

[JackCruz]

I don't get it....Fox predicting a low of nearly 40 degress..Khou says 37...and ABC predicts 34..with the suburbs hitting the freezing mark

I hope we hit that 32 degrees. and also next Tuesday also

[biggerbyte]

They are all wrong. It is a science. You take the highest number predicted and check the difference between the lowest number, which in this case is 8, divide that number by two, add that number back back to the lowest temp predicted, which brings us to a grand total of 36.

There you have it. 36 at the airport. Slightly cooler north. Slightly warmer south into downtown. LOL!

[wxman57]

I don't get it....Fox predicting a low of nearly 40 degress..Khou says 37...and ABC predicts 34..with the suburbs hitting the freezing mark

I hope we hit that 32 degrees. and also next Tuesday also

They were all right. Houston is a very large city. Temperatures last night ranged from 30 at Conroe to 34 at Hooks, 36 at Bush, 38 at Hobby, 37 at Ellington. 32 at Houston Southwest Airport west of Friendswood, and 46 downtown. There is no one low for Houston. For Jersey Village, look to Hooks or Bush as representative of your temps.

[biggerbyte]

Huh? LOL Forgive me, wxman, but they were not all right. Our local weather stations, Kprc, Khou, Ktrk, etc., all report forecasted temps for IAH. Each station had something different. That was the point JackCruz was trying to make. I'm sure everyone knows the temps will vary across the area. That has nothing to do with the official forecasts.

At any rate, I see my scientific means of retrieving the low for IAH last night strangely came to fruition. That was actually an attempt at humor.. Hmmm! Maybe I'm onto something. LOL

[wxman57]

Huh? LOL Forgive me, wxman, but they were not all right. Our local weather stations, Kprc, Khou, Ktrk, etc., all report forecasted temps for IAH. Each station had something different. That was the point JackCruz was trying to make. I'm sure everyone knows the temps will vary across the area. That has nothing to do with the official forecasts.

At any rate, I see my scientific means of retrieving the low for IAH last night strangely came to fruition. That was actually an attempt at humor.. Hmmm! Maybe I'm onto something. LOL

How do you really know where they are forecasting for? My point was that they are broadcasting to an area that covers more than just the center of Houston, even more than is covered by Harris County. Therefore, any temperature they forecast is going to be right "somewhere" in the viewing area. I don't think I've watched the local weather forecast on TV in the past 10-15 years. Certainly not intentionally.