July: Week of 25th - Don Near S TX/ Hot & Dry

[biggerbyte]

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+12

Clearly shows the ULL, as well as all the other activity across the Gulf, parts of the Pacific, the Atlantic, as well as the Caribbean.

Very nice.. Don't try on a weak computer. Graphic intensive

[unome]

awesome loop biggerbyte, tks

regardless if we catch any showers here, the cloud cover at the moment is heavenly

http://www.khou.com/weather/interactive ... APID=12465

[weatherguy425]

Had a few showers this morning, but I'm really suprised to see that nothing's really popping yet... hopefully those showers offshore can move inland. Maybe a surge of higher moisture?

[ticka1]

No rain out there tonight. Looks like no rain for this round! Dry keep getting drier.

[sleetstorm]

Needless to say, the threat of wildfires will keep increasing with each passing day with little to no rain.

I take it that the reason Southeast Texas did not receive any rain, or at least very little today, was due to arid air being siphoned into the region.

[Katdaddy]

Ready to head back home from a family vacation in Montana. An awesome vacation for both weather and family. I took over 400 photos of weather images. Amazing sheared storms and the cool March Texas weather in July. Now its time to focus back on the tropics.

[Portastorm]

FYI, we've had 27 days now of triple digit high temperatures already at the Camp Mabry (KATT) in Austin. The heat goes on ...

[srainhoutx]

The bad news/good news from the morning HPC update:

ANY RECORD HIGHS SET DURING THE SUMMER OF 1980
SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THREATENED DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD.
WHILE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA/KANSAS
SHOULD BE HARD TO COME BY...
DISTURBANCES IN INCREASINGLY DEEP EASTERLY FLOW UNDER THE BASE OF
THE RIDGE COULD LEAD TO THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS LATE
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

[Katdaddy]

Just recieved 0.02" and good CG followed by a loud clap of thunder.

[wxman57]

Just received 0.02" and good CG followed by a loud clap of thunder.

"Back in the day", we considered .02" a typical morning dew...

[srainhoutx]

For what it's worth, the NAM/WRF has been rather insistent on spinning up a spurious area of low pressure near Southern Louisiana and shifting that feature W under the Ridge. We will see...

[srainhoutx]

Whoopee. Some thunder and approaching rain for my yard...

[srainhoutx]

The models are converging on a solution that depicts an expansive heat wave across much of the eastern 2/3 of the US. While the Ridge will be a player in some warm temperatures locally for the remainder of the week, shower/storms do look to increase as we get toward the weekend and early next week. It appears disturbances will be caught up in the deep easterly flow beneath the Ridge for our area bringing better chances of badly need rain for our drought parched region. NWS Brownsville offers a hint of where the deep tropical moisture may add to those rain chances...

THE FORMATION OF AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE...COMBINED WITH THE INFLUX OF DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE
...MAY PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

[srainhoutx]

Another snip from NWS New Orleans concerning rain chances for the weekend/early next week...

THERE IS MORE UNCERTAINTY GOING INTO THE WEEKEND. SEVERAL MODELS
INDICATE THAT SOME KIND OF WEAK HYBRID SURFACE LOW MAY DEVELOP
ON THE TAIL END OF A DISSIPATING SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER THE
NORTHEAST GULF OR SOUTHEAST CONUS BY SATURDAY. DEPENDING ON THE
MODEL...A COUPLE OF THE MODELS DRIFT THIS LOW ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH IT.
THE LOCATION OF ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WOULD DEPEND GREATLY ON THE ACTUAL LOCATION OF THE LOW. DUE
TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST AND THE EVENTUAL
PLACEMENT OF THE LOW...WILL LIMIT THE POP FORECAST AT 30 TO 40
PERCENT FOR THE TIME BEING BEYOND SATURDAY. HOWEVER...THESE POPS WILL
LIKELY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED IN ONE DIRECTION OR THE OTHER DEPENDING
ON HOW THE SITUATION PANS OUT.

[unome]

we had a nice shower Tuesday http://www.harriscountyfws.org/ hoping for more today or tomorrow

check out those temps http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/imageoftheday.php

high res at: http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/images/high_re ... atwave.jpg

[srainhoutx]

The NAM/WRF continue to advertise an area of low pressure developing near Southern Louisiana along the tail end of a boundary. Deep tropical moisture should begin to head N from the Western Caribbean which continues to be active, convective wise, due to the monsoonal trough lifting N. We will need to watch for any disturbances rotating W under the Heat Ridge as we head into the weekend and early next week. There are even hints of a stronger tropical system developing in the NW Caribbean as we head toward the weekend.

[srainhoutx]

Local HGX radar seems funky right now.

NOUS64 KHGX 131436
FTMHGX

MESSAGE DATE: JUL 13 2011 14:34:00

KHGX RADAR IS NOW OPERATIONAL.

RV

[srainhoutx]

Local HGX radar seems funky right now.

NOUS64 KHGX 131436
FTMHGX

MESSAGE DATE: JUL 13 2011 14:34:00

KHGX RADAR IS NOW OPERATIONAL.

RV

If they insist.

New update:

NOUS64 KHGX 131633
FTMHGX

MESSAGE DATE: JUL 13 2011 16:32:00

KHGX RADAR IS NOW OPERATIONAL BUT TESTING OF SATELLITE RECEPTION MAY
LEAD TO PERIODIC OUTAGES THROUGH 20Z.

KP

[unome]

do you suppose that big 'ol swath of moisture might just make it to the Houston metro area today???

http://tinyurl.com/68qgqup

[srainhoutx]

For our neighbors to the E, from NWS New Orleans...

This waterspout formed near Boothville over the Mississipi River around midday today. Thanks to our local media for passing along several pictures from viewers! If you have your own pics of waterspouts/funnel clouds/severe weather from around SE LA and S MS, feel free to post them on our page