February Ends Warm and Dry

[srainhoutx]

I wouldn't be surprise to see a new watch issued shortly for the D/FW area and points N and E. Keeping an eye on the Brownwood area as well.

[wxman666]

I wouldn't be surprise to see a new watch issued shortly for the D/FW area and points N and E. Keeping an eye on the Brownwood area as well.

Watching Brownwood VERY closely today, myself. If storms go tornadic there, I will be placing a call to my family up there.

[srainhoutx]

About to get interesting for NE TX/E OK/W AR/NW LA...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1034 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN OK/TX...WRN AR AND NWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241634Z - 241730Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN BOTH AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY WITHIN BROADER WARM CONVEYOR FROM THE I-35 CORRIDOR SOUTH
OF THE DFW METROPLEX...NWD INTO OK. THIS ACTIVITY IS EVOLVING
WITHIN A VERY STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT THAT IS EXPECTED TO ONLY
STRENGTHEN INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS LLJ INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO
DEEPENING CYCLONE. ALTHOUGH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS IS OBSERVED
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR IT APPEARS LARGE SCALE ASCENT/COOLING WILL
GRADUALLY STEEPEN LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT ENABLING NEAR-SFC BASED
CONVECTION TO ROOT INTO MORE BUOYANT BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS.
SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS CONVECTION SPREADS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

..DARROW.. 02/24/2011


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

[rnmm]

Are we finally going to see rain? Anyone know how severe it is supposed to get here at the coast? I have some errands to run tonight, and was curious...Thanks all!!

[srainhoutx]

Hopefully some will get rain, rnmm. As far as severe wetahr goes in our area, the best chance still looks well N into NE TX and points E. It is interesting to see breaks in the clouds and we will need to watch how things unfold to our W. I have noticed that showers are increasing along and just ahead of the dryline. We will see...

[wxman57]

RUC soundings indicate very little moisture available across Houston this afternoon. It's looking like a line of showers will move across the city prior to 6pm. Rainfall most likely will average less than 1/4 inch.

[rnmm]

Thank you

[srainhoutx]

Tornado Watch issued for NE TX/E OK/AR/NW LA...



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 13
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA
PASTS OF SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1125 AM UNTIL
600 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SHREVEPORT
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN NUMBER ACROSS ERN OK
INTO NERN TX AHEAD OF STRONG S/WV TROUGH AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW.
WITH AIR MASS NOW FAVORABLY UNSTABLE AND NEARLY
UNCAPPED...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS
WILL INCREASE EWD ACROSS THE WATCH THRU THE AFTERNOON. E/W WARM
FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL AR WILL BE AN AREA FOR ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
SHEAR/SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. TORNADOS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...HALES

[srainhoutx]

It's getting very close to the end of the month. Perhaps someone would like to start a March Discussion thread?

[weatherguy425]

Done!

[srainhoutx]

Keeping eye out near Centerville. Perhaps the beginnings of some discrete activity ahead of the dryline?

[redneckweather]

I put my taters in the ground last week. I moderate/heavy 15 minute rain would be freakin great right about now. Crossing fingers.

[Ptarmigan]

Good news/bad news in the lawn department. We're capped. Good news, there is some insolation...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanaly ... 8573610046

http://aviationweather.gov/adds/data/sa ... US_vis.jpg


Time sensitive hotlinks, but nothing worth playing around in Paint on the office computer to save for posterity.

A hook echo or something, ok, that I'd shrink and attach.

The Cockroach Cap strikes again!

[srainhoutx]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0127
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN OK...NERN TX...MUCH OF AR...NRN LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...

VALID 242039Z - 242145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.

STRONGER FORCING IS GRADUALLY SPREADING INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND
THIS APPEARS TO BE AIDING UPWARD GROWTH TO ONGOING CONVECTIVE LINE
THAT STRETCHES FROM NRN AR...SWWD INTO TX BEYOND THE CURRENT TORNADO
WATCH...ALBEIT MUCH WEAKER ALONG TRAILING SWRN FLANK. THIS FORCED
LINE IS SAGGING ESEWD AT ROUGHLY 15-20KT AND WILL SOON PROGRESS INTO
A REGION OF STEEPER SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES THAT COULD ENHANCE UPDRAFT
INTENSITY. ADDITIONALLY...LLJ IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY WITH
SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 70KT INTO THE MS DELTA REGION NEAR MEM BY 00Z.
SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES AHEAD OF AFOREMENTIONED LINE.

..DARROW.. 02/24/2011


ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

[wxman57]

I put my taters in the ground last week. I moderate/heavy 15 minute rain would be freakin great right about now. Crossing fingers.

I put MY taters in the fridge last night.

Current radar would have me lower my precip amounts to generally less than 1/10" across Houston. Looks like all the "action" will be to our north.

[sleetstorm]

I put my taters in the ground last week. I moderate/heavy 15 minute rain would be freakin great right about now. Crossing fingers.

What type of potatoes did you plant, redneckweather, red, white, golden yellow, brown, or blue? And were they from Burpee? I am just curious.

[mwbwhorton]

Anyone paying attention to the severe possibilities this weekend? Looks serous and if it plays out ill be up late for it,like about 4 chat forums at once and radars too....LOL.......

[srainhoutx]

What a beautiful morning. A cool 50F with clear skies. A great day for the Trail Riders to head into town.

[wxman57]

Not much rain yesterday. Amounts ranged from none to less than 0.1":

http://www.hcoem.org/HCRainfall.aspx

[srainhoutx]

Anyone paying attention to the severe possibilities this weekend? Looks serous and if it plays out ill be up late for it,like about 4 chat forums at once and radars too....LOL.......

The 12Z WRF suggests the storm system may be too far N across KS/OK for any action this far S. It looks like cloudy skies and maybe some very light showers are ahead with this fast moving disturbance.