It is our "wintry weather" maker and closer it gets more moisture we can get.
How much farther south is it trekking vs. Euro/GFS/NAM projections?[/quote]
It is around the same area as the models but seems to be moving south still. One thing everyone needs to keep in mind is that models have a lot of trouble with these lows and it could make the biggest difference.
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rnmm wrote:Not trying to go "off topic" just thought I would post in case someone needs to know and has not heard that Texas City ISD and La Marque ISD have now canceled school for tomorrow.
That's definitely not an off topic comment ...... any updates that help others coming here for information concerning this weather event are well received on this board. Thanks rnmm
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
•3 cups brown sugar
•1/2 cup unsalted butter
•3 Tbsp honey
•1 Tbsp rum extract
•1 Tbsp vanilla extract
•1 tsp ground nutmeg
•1 tsp ground allspice
•1 tsp ground cinnamon
Preparation:
To Make Hot Buttered Rum Mix:
1.Mix the ingredients using a beater until everything is blended together.
2.Store in a well sealed jar in the refrigerator until needed.
To Make a Hot Buttered Rum drink:
1.Pour 1 1/2 ounces of light or dark rum into an Irish coffee glass or mug.
2.Add a heaping spoonful of the hot buttered rum mix.
3.Fill with hot water (not boiling).
4.Stir well.
A good bit of what looks like graupel (kind of like melted and re-frozen snowflakes) falling near I-45 and Beltway 8 on the south side. This would indicate a thin layer of above-freezing air aloft. It's not solid enough to call it sleet. Starting to wet the ground. Should bring surface temps down fairly quickly if it persists.
HRRR is very interesting. Has what appears to be a pretty solid (couple of breaks in it) 3-4 inch swath Austin (and a little ways north) then cutting back due east through northern Montgomery County on the south side. Wonder if that will be the trek of ull as it turns out? Guess we will see!!!
jdman wrote:HRRR is very interesting. Has what appears to be a pretty solid (couple of breaks in it) 3-4 inch swath Austin (and a little ways north) then cutting back due east through northern Montgomery County on the south side. Wonder if that will be the trek of ull as it turns out? Guess we will see!!!
HRRR was not really a good run to me. It shows no moisture on the gulf for the next 12h when we already have moisture down there.
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Just an FYI: jcarr has created a Topic that is pinned at the top of the page. It was made prior to your thread, djjordan, so I merged the two Topics together. Thanks for the information folks.
Thanks .... later on down the line when the event is unfolding we should think about making a thread depicting emergency information as we do with Hurricane events.
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CST THU FEB 03 2011
VALID 032000Z - 041200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
REDUCED THUNDER COVERAGE ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND NRN FL BUT KEPT
WRN AREA OVER TX/LA/SRN AR AHEAD OF EJECTING UPPER TROUGH OVERNIGHT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW HIGHLY ELEVATED PARCELS ORIGINATING NEAR 600
MB. EVEN SO...MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 100-200 J/KG IS
FORECAST..RESULTING IN BURSTS OF THUNDERSLEET AND THUNDERSNOW GIVEN
COLD THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES.
..JEWELL.. 02/03/2011
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
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Someone tell me different! Looks like all the moisture has moved along towards HGX 
