February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?

[Ptarmigan]

4 >2" Snowfall=Every 135,895.5 years

Ok so I say this is the year for 4>2''. Seems like it is around that time again since the last time it happened.

Having 4 +2" snowfall in one winter in Houston has never happened. In fact, I have never heard of 2 +2" snowfall in Houston.

[Kludge]

Wx-Man-Fifty-Seven is sleeping right now. But he will likely scroll back to all these pro-snow posts when he awakes, and will pile a layer of dooky on anyone hoping for a white wednesday morning.

But hasn't tonight been fun without naysayers??? If no Happiness happens, wasn't it fun to frolic in wishcasting heaven tonight, without experts telling us that southeast Texas snow is unlikely?

[TexasMetBlake]

Wx-Man-Fifty-Seven is sleeping right now. But he will likely scroll back to all these pro-snow posts when he awakes, and will pile a layer of dooky on anyone hoping for a white wednesday morning.

But hasn't tonight been fun without naysayers??? If no Happiness happens, wasn't it fun to frolic in wishcasting heaven tonight, without experts telling us that southeast Texas snow is unlikely?

Here Here! And if it doesn't, I'm likely to become an alcoholic.

[Ptarmigan]

The NWS has increased the chance of rain for Tuesday night to 50%.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=152

Overnight: Areas of dense fog before 3am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 47. North wind around 10 mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. North wind around 10 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. North wind around 10 mph.

Tuesday: Rain likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 48. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday Night: A chance of rain and snow, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.

[Mr. T]

Wx-Man-Fifty-Seven is sleeping right now. But he will likely scroll back to all these pro-snow posts when he awakes, and will pile a layer of dooky on anyone hoping for a white wednesday morning.

But hasn't tonight been fun without naysayers??? If no Happiness happens, wasn't it fun to frolic in wishcasting heaven tonight, without experts telling us that southeast Texas snow is unlikely?

I'm not wishcasting, though. Wxman57 is allowed to have his opinion, as am I. With the data I'm seeing in front of me, I can say we will definitely see some snow. Accumulation? Less likely, but I think we could see a dusting or maybe just above that (up to inch in spots that see the heaviest). Further north, I could see areas like CLL and UTS possibly picking up greater than 4" if the forecasted heavy snow band sets up in that area.

[Mr. T]

The NWS has increased the chance of rain for Tuesday night to 50%.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=152

Overnight: Areas of dense fog before 3am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 47. North wind around 10 mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. North wind around 10 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. North wind around 10 mph.

Tuesday: Rain likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 48. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday Night: A chance of rain and snow, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.

That is what it was before, at least for my area.

[Mr. T]

Almost sounds like Fran Drescher.

I grew up thinking all maids in Europe had the same ear-jarring laugh, until I realised it's just Fran Drescher

I watched her in an interview once, and she had the same laugh as she did on the show. I should just mute her anytime she's on the TV. It doesn't help that Nick@Nite plays her show, now

[txsnowmaker]

I just keep thinking about how off the forecasters were for the Dallas area's recent snowfall, as well as srain's admonition that at 48 hrs out, forecasts are far from set in stone. I like that the Houston/Galveston NWS referred to the winter weather "headache." Will be happy with anything, but the possibilities are certainly still alive for some surprises locally.

[wxdata]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
940 PM CST SUN FEB 21 2010

...WINTRY WEATHER TUESDAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER UTAH WILL DIP INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES
AND A CHANCE OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION AS AN OVERRUNNING PATTERN
DEVELOPS. THE INITIAL PRECIPITATION TYPE TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE
RAIN...BUT WILL MIX WITH AND TURN OVER TO SNOW BY THE AFTERNOON
AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD REACHING ITS SOUTHERN MOST EXTENT NEAR
HIGHWAY 90 BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ONLY RAIN IS EXPECTED SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 90.

ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN LLANO...BURNET AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES. ACCUMULATIONS WILL DECREASE SOUTHWARD FROM AN
INCH POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN TRAVIS COUNTY TO ONE-HALF INCH OVER
NORTHWEST BEXAR COUNTY. PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
QUICKLY MOVES EASTWARD.


---------------------------------------------------------

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1147 PM CST SUN FEB 21 2010

1147 PM CST SUN FEB 21 2010

...WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...

COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT
WITH AREAS OF SNOW DEVELOPING LATE MONDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW AND TRAVEL IMPACTS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
END LATE TUESDAY.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM CISCO...TO WAXAHACHIE...TO ATHENS. NORTH OF THE WATCH
AREA...LESSER AMOUNTS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW MAY ALSO IMPACT
TRAVEL. AT THIS TIME...SNOWFALL TOTALS OUTSIDE THE WATCH AREA ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 2 INCHES.

ANY CHANGES TO THE TRACK OR STRENGTH OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL
GREATLY AFFECT THE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND AREAS IMPACTED. RESIDENTS
AND TRAVELERS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH.

[SCSLAND]

I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"?

C'mon folks.

While the majority of the public is ready for spring/warmth....why is it the majority of the people here want snow and ice?

I understand about the "excitement" and all, but really.....do you think because you want it, it will happen?

According to EVERY station/meteorologist on local TV there is not much of a chance for Houston to receive snow.

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

[TexasMetBlake]

I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"?

C'mon folks.

While the majority of the public is ready for spring/warmth....why is it the majority of the people here want snow and ice?

I understand about the "excitement" and all, but really.....do you think because you want it, it will happen?

According to EVERY station/meteorologist on local TV there is not much of a chance for Houston to receive snow.

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

Last post and then bedtime...

First of all, a lot of tv mets don't take the time to review every shred of data--a lot of times the time to compare the 18z to the 12z to the 0z just isn't there. They have a show that has to be ready by a certain time. They rely on the expertise of the weather service a lot of times.

Second, they can't just get up there and spout WINTER STORM! First of all, if they blow it, they have their reputation and credability on the line.

Third, by spouting WINTER STORM, you could cost the city and business millions of dollars in preparations. That is why you don't see tv mets going crazy.

I have seen many a tv weather guys miss it big in my day including myself. It's the nature of the business. This is not necessarily a clear cut case of definite snowfall for everybody. Every tv station has mentioned snow was possible. Their viewing area is more than just harris and montgomery counties. There are many who lie in the southern zones who may not see much at all.

Finally, there are some who just don't care. They are there for a paycheck.

[TexasMetBlake]

WOW! Snowfall accumulation foreacast per the gfs has moved considerably further south!

http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overla ... TIONID=HGX

[Mr. T]

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

Probably all of the stuff that's been posted throughout this thread, but who knows...

Do you still not think we are going to see any freezing rain?

[Mr. T]

I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"?

C'mon folks.

While the majority of the public is ready for spring/warmth....why is it the majority of the people here want snow and ice?

I understand about the "excitement" and all, but really.....do you think because you want it, it will happen?

According to EVERY station/meteorologist on local TV there is not much of a chance for Houston to receive snow.

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

BTW, I can play this game, too:


I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"?

C'mon folks.

While the majority of the public would love to see more snow around the Houston area....why is it the majority want to see spring/warmth and no snow?

I understand about the dreary weather we've had recently and all, but really.....do you think because you want it, it will happen?

According to EVERY global model on Earth there is a good chance for Houston to recieve snow.

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

[Mr. T]

The 0z UKMET and 0z CMC are both slightly colder than the operational GFS, and show a band of precip right over the Houston area around 0z Wednesday (tuesday evening)

Ukie:


CMC:

[Andrew]

I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"?

C'mon folks.

While the majority of the public is ready for spring/warmth....why is it the majority of the people here want snow and ice?

I understand about the "excitement" and all, but really.....do you think because you want it, it will happen?

According to EVERY station/meteorologist on local TV there is not much of a chance for Houston to receive snow.

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

BTW, I can play this game, too:


I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"?

C'mon folks.

While the majority of the public would love to see more snow around the Houston area....why is it the majority want to see spring/warmth and no snow?

I understand about the dreary weather we've had recently and all, but really.....do you think because you want it, it will happen?

According to EVERY global model on Earth there is a good chance for Houston to recieve snow.

Where are you guys getting your "data"?

Haha Mr. T is on fire!

[txsnowmaker]

LOL. SCSLAND, I think the trends are mighty stacked against you, my friend.

[Mr. T]

Haha Mr. T is on fire!

If we don't see one single snowflake tuesday evening/night, I'll gladly eat crow or whatever and make a "beat up Mr. T here" thread. I'm not wishcasting. I just firmly believe the odds are stacked against another all rain event.

I don't believe the arguement was whether or not we'd see accumulations. That is another lion to tame. We could certainly not see any, but I just don't see how we do not see any snow at all.

Oh, and no hard feelings towards anyone tonight. I apologize if it seemed rather hurtful. I'm just having fun, that's all. I'm sure plenty of people got a few laughs out of this thread tonight. I'm sure we got some positive results out of it. Like I said, I'll gladly admit I was wrong when the time comes. I probably will be after making such a big deal out of everything.

Also, I'm pretty sure Steve and Dan would just wish I'd shut up already, but what would be the fun in that?

[wxdata]

Also, I'm pretty sure Steve and Dan would just wish I'd shut up already, but what would be the fun in that?


Now Tyler, we love you sooooo much!

[Andrew]

Haha Mr. T is on fire!

If we don't see one single snowflake tuesday evening/night, I'll gladly eat crow or whatever and make a "beat up Mr. T here" thread. I'm not wishcasting. I just firmly believe the odds are stacked against another all rain event.

I don't believe the arguement was whether or not we'd see accumulations. That is another lion to tame. We could certainly not see any, but I just don't see how we do not see any snow at all.

Oh, and no hard feelings towards anyone tonight. I apologize if it seemed rather hurtful. I'm just having fun, that's all. I'm sure plenty of people got a few laughs out of this thread tonight. I'm sure we got some positive results out of it. Like I said, I'll gladly admit I was wrong when the time comes. I probably will be after making such a big deal out of everything.

Also, I'm pretty sure Steve and Dan would just wish I'd shut up already, but what would be the fun in that?

Haha no I am with you I have been in the same situation especially during Hurricane season. I do agree with you that we will see snow I just hope it is like December 4th for me.