August 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cromagnum
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Local mets calling for a chance of rain Wednesday. I know better though.

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Ptarmigan
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davidiowx wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 11:33 am
user:null wrote: Sat Aug 22, 2026 5:53 pm
mcheer23 wrote: Sat Aug 22, 2026 5:03 pm KSGR reporting 108
I think there needs to be in investigation, because none of the surrounding areas are even near that hot. KSGR also routinely reports higher dewpoints that surrounding areas. Maybe something is broken.
Nothing is broken, if you aren’t familiar with the area, KSGR is literally surrounded by marsh/swamp. It’s going to have a “wetter” surface climate. I’m in the Pecan Grove area it far away and I hit 105.6 with a dew point 77+ all day. Heat index was well into the 120s
I suspect the instruments at KSGR needs to be calibrated.
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Ptarmigan
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Aug 21, 2026 9:50 am
Cromagnum wrote: Fri Aug 21, 2026 9:40 am No fall (which is expected).

No rain either.

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Why are you posting a long range map that’s based off the CPC?

You’re posting literal trash to fit your pessimistic narrative.
I take long range forecast with a grain of salt.
Stratton20
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ABC13 has 20-40 % faily rain chances starting this weekend through the remainder of there 10 day outlook
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DoctorMu
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Just a little tease. Maybe on Thursday?

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standar ... 7694136963

In the meantime...
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captainbarbossa19
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I think we are finished with triple digit temps after tomorrow in the Houston metro. Ridge starts breaking down and rain chances come up. It's also getting more difficult to heat up as much due to the changing sun angle.
Stratton20
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I was just about to say, models are really going bye bye with the ridge, upper air pattern on the GFS would really draw in a lot of moisture into texas with a strong trough setting up over the western/ central US , ridge gets completely crushed
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DoctorMu
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Ridging wanes near the beginning of September, but some models/Ensemble show a comeback around September 8-10.

100s in early and mid September in College Station are possible can even common. 17 100°F days in 2023. Tied for our all-time high of 112.5°F with multiple days in 2023 is September 4, 2000.

Having said that I see mid to upper 90s after tomorrow as well. 20-40% change of rain from tomorrow-Saturday. Αt least this afternoon was cloudy.
Stratton20
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I can say this, whatever ridging enswmbles show in september, it looks very weak, ensemble mean is around 591 DM, our current heat ridge is progged at 597 DM. Im pretty optimistic we will start to see the demise of the heat ridge over the next couple of weeks, that and as captainbarbossa mentioned, sun angle is naturally decreasing as we head towards september , stoll 90’s ahead. But i dont see ridging of this magnitude returning after these next few days
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