July 2026

[Ptarmigan]

I wonder about that low pressure system over the Hill Country. I saw forecast models of 30 inches of rain west of San Antonio.

[DoctorMu]

.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1

[Cromagnum]

Feet of rain west of San Antonio. Not even an inch of rain in Austin. Feast or famine.

[Cpv17]

El Campo is under water. Several streets flooded.

[tireman4]

Radar

[captainbarbossa19]

Enjoy the cooler weather everyone because next week is going to feature above-average temps with a 594-597 dm ridge building over the state. Looking like highs will be in the mid to upper 90s by mid next week with some triple digits pretty likely.

[Pas_Bon]

Enjoy the cooler weather everyone because next week is going to feature above-average temps with a 594-597 dm ridge building over the state. Looking like highs will be in the mid to upper 90s by mid next week with some triple digits pretty likely.

[Cpv17]

The southern part of Wharton County has received 10-15” over the past two days. Only 2.7” here.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Kerr County back under a Flash Flood Emergency just a year later

[tireman4]

Man oh man...

[tireman4]

Flash Flood Emergency

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1

[Cromagnum]

Its bad out in the hill country. Several rivers are flooded.

[tireman4]

TXC171-161706-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Evacuation Immediate
TX City of Fredericksburg/Gillespie County Emergency Management
Relayed by National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
906 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

...Pedernales River Flooding Evacuation...

The following message is transmitted at the request of TX,
Fredericksburg, TX.

The Pedernales River is rising quickly and will flood over its
banks affecting areas near the river. Property will flood and
people could drown or be swept away in moving water. Move away
from the river to higher ground to avoid rising water.
Fredericksburg/Gillespie County Emergency Management.

&&

LAT...LON 3023 9890 3026 9860 3023 9859 3020 9890

$$

AS-TX-693703d1-ac64-44f1-891b-bad9d36ae3d0/AlertSense

[tireman4]

Pedernales River at Fredricksburg

[tireman4]

https://theeyewall.substack.com/p/anoth ... dium=email

[tireman4]

Let me add this for the Hill Country. First, mid level troughs are hard to predict. Second, when they are interacting with a decaying front and tropical moisture, they are even harder to predict. Prayers for those out west. Eventually, the trough will move westward into New Mexico. Until then, high PWATS, lift and low convective temperatures will spark more thunderstorms/showers. These are efficient rainmakers, so 1-3 ( and even 10-15) hour rainfalls will be common.