June 2026

[DoctorMu]

My Wunderground has rain every day except Wednesday.

[DoctorMu]

Lemonade on the way this week.

[Stratton20]

00z UKMET my god. Large swath of 18 inches of rain just east of houston with a max bullseye of close to 30 inches…..

[tireman4]

From Jeff Lindner

6-14-26 755am

Heavy rainfall threat will increase into mid week as a weak tropical disturbance now over eastern MX and a stalling front combine over the region.

Rounds of thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be possible from later today-mid week.

Stay tuned to forecasts.

[DoctorMu]

Seabreeze is cranking up.

[Stratton20]

12z GFS joining the crazy train with 10-16 inches of rain in the heart of down town

[Brazoriatx979]

Looking forward to the rain..Just not alot lol its always fest or famine around here

[Stratton20]

bullseyes are going to keep shifting around, but 12z Euro has a max bullseye of nearly 30 inches just barely off shore…. Just saying. Also nhc increased development odds to 30% now

[jasons2k]

Time to fertilize.

[Cpv17]

Latest WPC map has about 5-8” now widespread over the next 7 days.

[Brazoriatx979]

Why are the odds of development increasing?

[djmike]

Beaumont seems to stay in the 7”-12” range per latest qpf. Someone unfortunately will be getting a bullseye. Hope its not the Golden Triangle. Hopefully all this rain doesn’t fall at once.

[Cpv17]

Beaumont seems to stay in the 7”-12” range per latest qpf. Someone unfortunately will be getting a bullseye. Hope its not the Golden Triangle. Hopefully all this rain doesn’t fall at once.

WPC has Beaumont getting around 6-7”.

[vci_guy2003]

Beaumont always seems to be the bullseye lol

[Scott747]

Why are the odds of development increasing?

Globals including AI strengthen the vorticity in South Texas but most keep it inland. If it peeks out enough in the NW Gulf it could have a brief shot at spinning up.

Likelihood it gets picked up. If not then some of those crazy precip totals might be in play though currently that's still unlikely.

Still could see some pretty impressive totals in swaths, There will be batches of storms with some really intense rainfall rates....

[Stratton20]

I am concerned about slow movement of the low, looking at the broad upper air pattern as a whole, the trough thats supposed to pick this up and move it quickly NE over east texas, well its not a deep trough, its not digging down into the gulf coast which would really pick this disturbance up quickly and be in and out. The trough/ Jet Stream is more flat, could be pretty slow to move out, some EPS members show the low still in central texas even on saturday

[Cpv17]

I am concerned about slow movement of the low, looking at the broad upper air pattern as a whole, the trough thats supposed to pick this up and move it quickly NE over east texas, well its not a deep trough, its not digging down into the gulf coast which would really pick this disturbance up quickly and be in and out. The trough/ Jet Stream is more flat, could be pretty slow to move out, some EPS members show the low still in central texas even on saturday

If the low goes towards central TX, we’re in trouble. If it just rides the coast, not so much, but LA would get a lot.