June 2026

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... suedby=HGX

[tireman4]

Excessive Rain Outlook

[DoctorMu]

Excessive Rain Outlook

Welcome to the party!

[DoctorMu]

Indeed. We are seeing some good support for it now. Having said that, everyone should really pay attention come Saturday. If this does not change by then... We also need to watch for a sit and spin.

I don't have as many sensations of a potential bust. Could go the other way. We'll see.

[Stratton20]

CMC again has the front stalling right at the coast with heavy rain for all of se texas, hour 156 it yet again is spinning up a weak low near brownsville and slowly drifting it Northward

[djmike]

Our luck, it will be too far off the coast and we get more 93 degree weather.

[DoctorMu]

70-90% chance of rain in CLL Sunday and Monday.

80% chance Sunday through Tuesday in Houston.

GFS is backing away, but the Euro is doubling down on rain. CMC has coast riding + the low ejecting NE.

I'll go with the reverse GFS mojo and heavy rain, especially south of Hwy 1*5. We'll see.

[Stratton20]

12z Euro is starting to hint at what the CMC is showing… Very impressive rainfall totals. Weak low forms off of brownsville before slowly drifting north and moving in land just west of matagorda bay, and very slowly moving up through central texas, moves inland next thursday and is only in north texas by saturday , thats 3 days of potentially heavy rains across our region

[Cpv17]

The WPC has increased totals across the area to 4-6” widespread.

[Stratton20]

WTF EURO!! Late next weekend it develops a weak low that moves slowly and i mean slowly through central texas, with a 42 inch bullseye maxima near austin

[tireman4]

Today and laterr this weekend

[jasons2k]

Oops on the excessive rainfall graphic. Someone didn’t proofread before hitting “Save”

[Cpv17]

WPC overnight has pulled back on the totals. Back to 2-4” now. We’ll see what the next update shows at 1pm.

[Rip76]

WPC overnight has pulled back on the totals. Back to 2-4” now. We’ll see what the next update shows at 1pm.

Is it out yet?

[Stratton20]

Development odds just increased to 20% per NHC, weak broad area of low pressure has developed, euro is continuing. to get my attention with some really significant rainfall totals

[TexasBreeze]

I remember once upon a day this week today was supposed to be dry, but it has been stormy around the area!

[biggerbyte]

Yup. This system looks to stall just onshore then get back over water. That coast rider we have been talking about still looks valid. 20% may be conservative. We will see.

[djmike]

Isnt that what Harvey did? Stall on the coast then back out to water and towards us?

[Stratton20]

Harvey went all the way inpand to around victoria or so before coming back se over the water, this one has no chance of becoming a hurricane, but i wouldn’t be surprised if we get Arthur out of this one. Steering pattern is a bit tricky here though lol

[Cpv17]

WPC overnight has pulled back on the totals. Back to 2-4” now. We’ll see what the next update shows at 1pm.

Is it out yet?

Yes, it shows 3-4”.