June 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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tireman4
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Excessive Rain Outlook
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote: Thu Jun 11, 2026 10:41 am Excessive Rain Outlook
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DoctorMu
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biggerbyte wrote: Wed Jun 10, 2026 6:52 pm Indeed. We are seeing some good support for it now. Having said that, everyone should really pay attention come Saturday. If this does not change by then... We also need to watch for a sit and spin.
I don't have as many sensations of a potential bust. Could go the other way. We'll see.
Stratton20
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CMC again has the front stalling right at the coast with heavy rain for all of se texas, hour 156 it yet again is spinning up a weak low near brownsville and slowly drifting it Northward
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djmike
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Our luck, it will be too far off the coast and we get more 93 degree weather. 🤮🤮🤮
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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DoctorMu
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70-90% chance of rain in CLL Sunday and Monday.

80% chance Sunday through Tuesday in Houston.

GFS is backing away, but the Euro is doubling down on rain. CMC has coast riding + the low ejecting NE.

I'll go with the reverse GFS mojo and heavy rain, especially south of Hwy 1*5. We'll see.
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Last edited by DoctorMu on Thu Jun 11, 2026 1:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
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12z Euro is starting to hint at what the CMC is showing… Very impressive rainfall totals. Weak low forms off of brownsville before slowly drifting north and moving in land just west of matagorda bay, and very slowly moving up through central texas, moves inland next thursday and is only in north texas by saturday , thats 3 days of potentially heavy rains across our region
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