March 2026

[DoctorMu]

That line developing near Wichita Falls bears watching as it continues to lengthen and migrates SE. Hope Don is secure.

[tireman4]

Today

[tireman4]

From Jeff Lindner on Facebook

3-7-26 645am

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will move into and develop across the region this afternoon into tonight as a slow moving cold front stalls over the area.

A few of the severe may become severe with large hail and damaging winds. This will be especially true for any discrete cells that could form this afternoon ahead of the front.

Heavy rainfall of 1-2 inches is also possible. Front looks to stall between I-10 and the coast into Sunday morning where repeated cell training could yield rainfall amounts upwards of 4 inches. Given dry grounds no significant flooding is expected.

Timing of activity is a bit tough as not sure if/when storms will develop ahead of the front…if so could be as early as midday with more likely into the evening and overnight hours.

[DoctorMu]

As expected, the showers are degrading to more streamer types. Maybe the second wave?

Mesos are mostly Hold or Sell south of Hwy 1*5.

Late Tuesday/Wednesday FROPA remains more of a Buy for me still on rain.

[Cromagnum]

We had all these warnings about severe weather and hail today, but it barely even rained. We'll see how the Houston area does later.

[DoctorMu]

We had all these warnings about severe weather and hail today, but it barely even rained. We'll see how the Houston area does later.

Less that a 1/10 of an inch so far from the weak streamer showers. Maybe a line forms later around Hwy 1*5. We'll see.

The only strong line of showers is from Greenville, MS to Nashville.

[don]

Tuesday is looking more and more interesting.

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 AM CST Sat Mar 07 2026

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...Days 4-5/Tue-Wed...

An active pattern with severe thunderstorm potential is expected
Tuesday and Wednesday from the southern Plains to the Mid/Lower MS
and OH Valleys. Medium range guidance is in fairly good agreement
during this time. Starting on Tuesday, an upper low over northern
Mexico will shift east/northeast, becoming an open wave as it begins
to merge with a northern stream upper trough developing southeast
across the northern/central Plains through early Wednesday. A belt
of strong southwesterly deep-layer flow will overspread a large warm
sector on Tuesday. Lee cyclogenesis is forecast across the
central/southern High Plains, along with a second surface low
developing over IA as the northern stream upper trough approaches.
This setup will allow for a sharpening dryline/Pacific front across
the southern Plains, while a cold front develops southeast into the
MO/Mid-MS Valley overnight. Strong ascent should focus thunderstorm
development across the warm sector ahead of these surface boundaries
within a strongly sheared environment, and potentially widespread
severe thunderstorm activity is possible.

[DoctorMu]

Yeah - Tuesday into Wednesday could be interesting, even in CLL. It depends how far northward the Mexican low ejects.

For now, SETX continues to redefine “broken line of showers.”

[tireman4]

Jeff Lindner on Facebook

3-7-26 300pm

Front slowly moving into the area with uptick in storm coverage and intensity. So far no severe weather, and think the threat remains isolated into the evening hours.

Much needed rain falling across areas NW of the metro area

[MH5]

Let's see how this afternoon and evening develops, but looks like WPC thinks we could get a good soaking.. Nothing but blips off to the north so far

[Stratton20]

Its laughable, the line is breaking up right on my door step, its literally going around me, just sad at this point, but also predictable

[tireman4]

Radar

[suprdav2]

Getting pretty good downpours and lightning here in Cypress

[DoctorMu]

There's some action near the Woodlands. The show is over up here. We got lucky with a cell that dumped a little over half an inch. It's something in the expected range. Not a complete bust.

[Brazoriatx979]

So nothing on the south side im guesing?

[suprdav2]

And now pea sized hail

[Stratton20]

This line is going to be a big nothing burger for most areas south of i-10, most of the activity is north of houston, just embarrassing

[tireman4]

Lots of noise in the neighborhood in Humble.....from Jeff Lindner on Facebook

3-7-26 540pm

Strong storms with very heavy rainfall, gusty winds, small hail and frequent lightning moving eastward.

A few locations have recorded 1 inch of rain in 15 minutes so some street flooding is likely with those type of rates