January 2026

[Stormlover2020]

Gfs isn’t budging

[Cpv17]

Quite a bit of freezing rain in the Houston area per the 18z GFS. If that verifies a lot of us won’t be going to work on Monday.

[Stratton20]

Lol. GFS has some snow in houston on the 30th haha, wont go into sny specifics other than that

[Cpv17]

As suspected by my earlier post, 18z models came in more interesting.

[txsnowmaker]

From Jeff Linder...

1-22-26 330pm

Busy with briefings and calls this afternoon so a brief update to say not a lot has changed today with the upcoming winter storm.

Looking at some of the incoming afternoon guidance suggests ice accumulation of .01-.05 will likely need to be extended down to the coast….and the coastal counties may be out in a winter weather advisory for icy bridges tomorrow morning .

Ice accumulation across the metro of .05-.20 of an inch with most bridges having issues by Sunday morning

Suggest most people in the metro area plan to be where you will be for the duration of this event by 900pm Saturday to be in the safe side.

No change to temperatures although will probably need to take a hard look at Monday AM forecast lows depending on ice amounts.

More later

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17

[Cpv17]

From Jeff Linder...

1-22-26 330pm

Busy with briefings and calls this afternoon so a brief update to say not a lot has changed today with the upcoming winter storm.

Looking at some of the incoming afternoon guidance suggests ice accumulation of .01-.05 will likely need to be extended down to the coast….and the coastal counties may be out in a winter weather advisory for icy bridges tomorrow morning .

Ice accumulation across the metro of .05-.20 of an inch with most bridges having issues by Sunday morning

Suggest most people in the metro area plan to be where you will be for the duration of this event by 900pm Saturday to be in the safe side.

No change to temperatures although will probably need to take a hard look at Monday AM forecast lows depending on ice amounts.

More later

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17

It’s still kinda early in the ballgame though to be honest.

Also, not sure about where you are, but I’m still under a winter weather watch in Wharton County.

[Brazoriatx979]

From Jeff Linder...

1-22-26 330pm

Busy with briefings and calls this afternoon so a brief update to say not a lot has changed today with the upcoming winter storm.

Looking at some of the incoming afternoon guidance suggests ice accumulation of .01-.05 will likely need to be extended down to the coast….and the coastal counties may be out in a winter weather advisory for icy bridges tomorrow morning .

Ice accumulation across the metro of .05-.20 of an inch with most bridges having issues by Sunday morning

Suggest most people in the metro area plan to be where you will be for the duration of this event by 900pm Saturday to be in the safe side.

No change to temperatures although will probably need to take a hard look at Monday AM forecast lows depending on ice amounts.

More later

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17

Don't shoot the messenger lol

[MontgomeryCoWx]

From Jeff Linder...

1-22-26 330pm

Busy with briefings and calls this afternoon so a brief update to say not a lot has changed today with the upcoming winter storm.

Looking at some of the incoming afternoon guidance suggests ice accumulation of .01-.05 will likely need to be extended down to the coast….and the coastal counties may be out in a winter weather advisory for icy bridges tomorrow morning .

Ice accumulation across the metro of .05-.20 of an inch with most bridges having issues by Sunday morning

Suggest most people in the metro area plan to be where you will be for the duration of this event by 900pm Saturday to be in the safe side.

No change to temperatures although will probably need to take a hard look at Monday AM forecast lows depending on ice amounts.

More later

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17

It’s still kinda early in the ballgame though to be honest.

Also, not sure about where you are, but I’m still under a winter weather watch in Wharton County.

You can tell who is a veteran at these events and who isn’t. I have to tell certain customers,who come to this board and the other so they can schedule manufacturing or installation based on weather, which posters to ignore and which ones to pay attention to….

[Scott747]

As usual with these winter weather events we're walking a fine line between a significant event and a 'glancing blow' so to speak.

Odds are increasing that the Houston metro will see some type of icing. Moisture will be there weather it's coming down in the form of freezing rain, or it's the roads freezing over afterwards. Sunday into Monday will not be fun.

[txsnowmaker]

From Jeff Linder...

1-22-26 330pm

Busy with briefings and calls this afternoon so a brief update to say not a lot has changed today with the upcoming winter storm.

Looking at some of the incoming afternoon guidance suggests ice accumulation of .01-.05 will likely need to be extended down to the coast….and the coastal counties may be out in a winter weather advisory for icy bridges tomorrow morning .

Ice accumulation across the metro of .05-.20 of an inch with most bridges having issues by Sunday morning

Suggest most people in the metro area plan to be where you will be for the duration of this event by 900pm Saturday to be in the safe side.

No change to temperatures although will probably need to take a hard look at Monday AM forecast lows depending on ice amounts.

More later

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17

It’s still kinda early in the ballgame though to be honest.

Also, not sure about where you are, but I’m still under a winter weather watch in Wharton County.

I’m smack dab in the city of Houston. NWS doesn’t have us hitting freezing until Sunday night.

[txsnowmaker]

As usual with these winter weather events we're walking a fine line between a significant event and a 'glancing blow' so to speak.

Odds are increasing that the Houston metro will see some type of icing. Moisture will be there weather it's coming down in the form of freezing rain, or it's the roads freezing over afterwards. Sunday into Monday will not be fun.

Whatever freezes over on the roads in Houston should start melting by late Monday morning according to NWS forecast temps.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Lol. Metro Houston isn’t getting 0.2 inches of ice accumulation. NWS has all rain through Monday.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... adDay.y=17

It’s still kinda early in the ballgame though to be honest.

Also, not sure about where you are, but I’m still under a winter weather watch in Wharton County.

I’m smack dab in the city of Houston. NWS doesn’t have us hitting freezing until Sunday night.

They’ve also changed the forecast 3 times in the last 36 hours. Use your deductive reasoning to understand the NWS doesn’t know yet either. They put out data based on the model(s) that makes the most sense to them. Unfortunately, we still don’t have agreement amongst mesos and Globals on freezing line passage and precip. Personally, I look at models and use past experience to form an opinion. My opinion here is it will be colder and quicker than what’s modeled. It usually is 9 time out of 10.

Hell some 18z mesos are putting out .5 to .75 inches of freezing rain in Houston.

Long story short, think, and don’t look to be told by a graphic. My bet is that NWS forecast changes for the 4th time tonight. Icing events are almost always like this, for good or bad.

[txsnowmaker]

Interesting from Channel 13:

“There is a brief window late Sunday when it could change over to snow.”

https://abc13.com/post/houston-weather- ... ons/39346/

[christinac2016]

I’ve missed a lot today. Has anything changed for Montgomery county?

[noclueaboutweather]

If that message is really from Jeff Lindner rather than Jeff Linder then I think it speaks volumes about what is more than likely going to happen as opposed to the SCW Euro post from yesterday and model flippers that have been around the last 12-18 hours.

[tireman4]

Let me say this. As I alluded to before and I have learned the hard way..in class..sigh, forecasting is a tricky business. Trying to forecast frozen P Type events in SE Texas is rough. There is a fine line line between success and failure. I think you will see fluctuations in the forecasts up until the event starts. Now, I have a college class to go teach...Reconstruction

[Stratton20]

I think .05 to .20 of ice is a reasonable scenario for se texas, heaviest accumulations should stay to our north, roads will be impassable for sure, but dont think power outages will be as big of an issue down here compared to north texas

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Let me say this. As I alluded to before and I have learned the hard way..in class..sigh, forecasting is a tricky business. Trying to forecast frozen P Type events in SE Texas is rough. There is a fine line line between success and failure. I think you will see fluctuations in the forecasts up until the event starts. Now, I have a college class to go teach...Reconstruction

Hugging models with frozen precip is a guaranteed fail. I’ve seen events spring on us quickly, and many bust.

[Brazoriatx979]

If that message is really from Jeff Lindner rather than Jeff Linder then I think it speaks volumes about what is more than likely going to happen as opposed to the SCW Euro post from yesterday and model flippers that have been around the last 12-18 hours.

Here ya go..

[sambucol]

If that message is really from Jeff Lindner rather than Jeff Linder then I think it speaks volumes about what is more than likely going to happen as opposed to the SCW Euro post from yesterday and model flippers that have been around the last 12-18 hours.

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1JrTRX ... tid=wwXIfr