January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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biggerbyte
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I hope everyone enjoyed our especial. February looks to warm up. What a gift. I personally needed to see that.

Blessings
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tireman4
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Snow totals
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GBinGrimes
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AtascocitaWX wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:11 pm Well that was fun. Kids and the whole Neighborhood enjoyed the snow. Kids were saying this felt like Xmas . Lol.

Glad we finally got our shot . So how long before this happens again? Any bets?
Kids and snow are such joy! So is Christmas. No x.
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jasons2k
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Ready for the cold. I hosed away most of the snow.
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captainbarbossa19
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:12 pm Probably next year, february is looking pretty warm
Maybe the first-half, but forecasting skill level beyond a week goes down tremendously. I wouldn't rule out more cold later although it likely won't be as severe.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 8:49 pm Ready for the cold. I hosed away most of the snow.
Snow can function as insulation for the roots if there is a hard freeze. I don't worry as much about plants if there is snow cover.
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DoctorMu
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captainbarbossa19 wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 9:40 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:12 pm Probably next year, february is looking pretty warm
Maybe the first-half, but forecasting skill level beyond a week goes down tremendously. I wouldn't rule out more cold later although it likely won't be as severe.
I suspect we may see a surprise or two later in February - a cold snap, maybe some early severe weather.
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captainbarbossa19
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DoctorMu wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 9:47 pm
captainbarbossa19 wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 9:40 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:12 pm Probably next year, february is looking pretty warm
Maybe the first-half, but forecasting skill level beyond a week goes down tremendously. I wouldn't rule out more cold later although it likely won't be as severe.
I suspect we may see a surprise or two later in February - a cold snap, maybe some early severe weather.
Hopefully nothing crazy like last month. That screaming eagle supercell was no joke and almost a disaster for Beaumont/Port Arthur. The storm track does seem to be pretty active over the South this season which makes me think that this spring could be very interesting.
rselby0654
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This was a cool aerial view of the Houston Snow 2025 ❄️🥶


https://www.instagram.com/reel/DFGPEI5J ... Jmd2pnaw==
Stratton20
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GFS is extremely wet
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djmike
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IMG_3486.jpeg

Im sure we have hit some type of temp record here in Beaumont. Lowest we got in the 2021 event was 13. Tonight? Right now? 10 degrees. (Possibly lower as sun hasn’t risen yet). Wont know if any burst pipes until we get above freezing. Roads are ice rinks. Today is the day many will find out if they have a water disaster or not. Fingers crossed.
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Mike
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djmike
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Actually 10 at my home currently but many are in single digits in the Golden Triangle. 8 degrees. Wow
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Rip76
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Lindner

Gulf Coast Snowstorm

Yesterday, January 21, 2025 resulted in one of the most significant and historic snow events along the US Gulf coast since 1895.

Heavy snow occurred from the Houston metro area along the entire Gulf coast to FL.

Data is still being complied to determine the historical context of this event but some areas in Louisiana and Florida have confirmed the exceedance of their all-time record snow amounts. In Addition to the snow, temperatures this morning across this snowpack have fallen to “all-time” records many of which were held from 1899. The numbers listed below are preliminary and subject to change when full data sets are examined.

The 1.2 inches of snow recorded at BUSH IAH did not break the record of 3.0 inches from 1960.

Note snowfall totals can varying greatly over short distances.

Southeast Texas Snowfall Totals:

LaPorte: 6.0
Baytown: 5.5
Beaumont: 5.2
Anahuac: 5.0
Dayton: 5.0
Stafford: 4.5
Crosby: 4.5
Cove: 4.5
Al Lago: 4.2
Deer Park: 4.0
Richmond: 4.0
Cleveland: 4.0
Spring Branch: 3.0
South Houston: 3.0
Bellaire: 3.0
Santa Fe: 3.0
Hobby Airport: 3.0
Santa Fe: 3.0
Pearland: 3.0
Dickinson: 3.2
West University: 3.3
Conroe: 2.5
Brookshire: 2.5
Jersey Village: 2.5
Bunker Hill Village: 2.9
Cat Spring: 2.0
Bellville: 2.0
Lake Jackson: 2.0
San Leon: 2.0
Livingston: 2.0
BUSH IAH: 1.2
Tomball: 1.5
Brenham: 1.0
Galveston Island: 1.0

Other Snowfall Totals:

Chalmette: 11.0
Metairie: 10.0
New Orleans: 9.8 (broke all-time record of 8.2 from 1895)
Lafayette: 9.5
Milton, FL: 8.8 (broke the FL state all-time record of 4.0 inches in 1954)
Biloxi: 7.8
Baton Rouge: 7.6
Mobil: 7.5
Orange Beach: 6.5
Lake Charles: 6.0
Pensacola: 5.0

Historic Low Temperatures (so far this morning):

New Iberia, LA: 1 (shatters all-time record of 9 from 1962)
Lafayette, LA: 4 (broke all-time record of 6 from 1899)
Lake Charles: 6 (all-time record is 3 from 1899)
Beaumont: 8 (broke all-time record of 10 from 1906)
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tireman4
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563
FXUS64 KHGX 221122
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
522 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 335 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

I`m writing this AFD around 2AM CST and have been in awe of the
temperature drops thus far. Snowpacked areas away from the coast and
outside Houston`s urban heat island have already dropped into the
upper 10s in some cases. Some of these areas fell dramatically
during the evening hours and have been dropping slower in recent
hours. But watching some of the insane temperature drop rates just
east of our region make me wonder if some of these areas could
experience another rapid drop in temperature between now and
sunrise. Regardless, pretty much everyone except a few coastal
locations will be well into Hard Freeze territory. I suspect most of
you will wake up to temperatures in the 10s (potentially in the
urban core too). One wild card in this morning`s forecast is the
prospect of freezing fog. Right now (as of 2AM), we are keeping it
out the forecast. But conditions will be marginally favorable for
fog development. Therefore, the nighttime satellite products and
surface obs will need to be monitored very closely.

Road conditions on Wednesday will improve. But travel conditions
could remain dangerous until midday. Sunshine and temperatures in
the 40s should in theory thaw the roads out by afternoon. But any
water left from the afternoon melting will refreeze Wednesday night
if it cannot evaporate. Therefore, it could be late morning Thursday
before we are able to return road conditions completely back to
normal. Speaking of Thursday, temperatures are expected to be "warm"
compared to recent days with highs around 50 degrees. But that`s
still a good 10-15 degrees colder than normal. Despite the warmer
afternoon, most inland areas are forecast to have another sub-
freezing night Thursday night. We do warm up more in the long term!
But I`ll leave that discussion to the long term desk.

Self

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 335 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

The main key points in the long term period are: warmer conditions
through the weekend and into next week and increasing rain chances
after Saturday.

Warmer conditions will finally make its entrance to SE TX towards
the end of the week as the surface high slowly moves overhead and
east of the area. Fair weather can be expected on Friday with highs
climbing in the 50s, which is actually pleasant for most, after
these past days of very cold conditions. Return flow from the
departing high is expected in the evening/overnight hours. As
result, overnight lows will finally be near to above freezing across
most locations Friday night into Saturday. The exception will be
across our far northern counties where lows in the upper 20s and low
30s are progged.

With the high to our east, moisture return paired with southerly
winds and daytime heating will lead to a few showers on Saturday.
The best rain/storm chances arrive late Saturday/early Sunday as a
surface trough moves through. Rain chances will continue into early
next week as the associated surface low drags a weak cold front in
the Monday-Tuesday time frame. The boundary will become almost
stationary along the coast or over the Gulf waters through mid-week.
Therefore, it will serve as a focus for periods of showers and
isolated storms. In fact, weak shortwaves embedded in the quasi-
zonal flow aloft along with increasing PWs (into the 1.3 - 1.7 inch
range) will keep the region with daily rain/storm chances. Near
seasonal temperatures return this weekend into the remainder of the
long term period with highs mainly the 60s with overnight lows in
the 40s and 50s.

JM

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 517 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

VFR conditions to prevail through the TAF period. Winds will pick
up late morning early afternoon, especially for our northern
terminals where sustained winds are expected to reach 10 to 15
knots. Winds will become light and variable again by this evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 335 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Early this morning, marine observations reported seas up to 7 ft
offshore; therefore, Small Craft Advisories remain in effect
through the morning hours. Conditions will gradually improve late
this morning with light winds and seas from 3 to 5 ft. North to
northeast winds will transition to the southeast this afternoon as
the high pressure moves eastward. Offshore winds return by early
Thursday as a weak boundary moves through. Caution flags can be
expected during this time-frame due to winds from 15 to 20 knots.
Onshore flow will resume by Friday night.

JM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 46 26 52 26 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 40 28 51 29 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 46 38 49 38 / 0 0 0 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ163-164-
176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-
436>439.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ370-375.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....JM
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...JM
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 9:46 pm
jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 8:49 pm Ready for the cold. I hosed away most of the snow.
Snow can function as insulation for the roots if there is a hard freeze. I don't worry as much about plants if there is snow cover.
It does, but the area behind the pool wall is somewhat enclosed, so I was trying to create a snow-free microclimate back there. The mule palms did fine. I only hit 18.5 so they would have been fine unprotected but I had a forecast low of 15, so I played it safe just in case that 15 busted.
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2025 9:41 amIt does, but the area behind the pool wall is somewhat enclosed, so I was trying to create a snow-free microclimate back there. The mule palms did fine. I only hit 18.5 so they would have been fine unprotected but I had a forecast low of 15, so I played it safe just in case that 15 busted.
Places to our east were not so fortunate. Single digit °F temps from South Louisiana through FL Panhandle. Parts of South Louisiana around Lafayette might even have seen sub-zero °F temps.
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captainbarbossa19
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Long-range Euro is hinting at another Arctic air outbreak towards early February. February on average is the coldest month and has featured some of the biggest snow events. I think it's highly unlikely that any record lows are challenged or broken like last night though unless we get another winter storm. It is important to note that the 1895 winter storm happened on Valentine's Day so we may not be finished with winter storm threats.
Cpv17
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captainbarbossa19 wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2025 1:45 pm Long-range Euro is hinting at another Arctic air outbreak towards early February. February on average is the coldest month and has featured some of the biggest snow events. I think it's highly unlikely that any record lows are challenged or broken like last night though unless we get another winter storm. It is important to note that the 1895 winter storm happened on Valentine's Day so we may not be finished with winter storm threats.
Sounds good, bring it on! This snow and cold was just a tease for me. Ended up with 1.5” and a low of 20°F this morning.
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DoctorMu
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djmike wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2025 5:55 am IMG_3486.jpeg


Im sure we have hit some type of temp record here in Beaumont. Lowest we got in the 2021 event was 13. Tonight? Right now? 10 degrees. (Possibly lower as sun hasn’t risen yet). Wont know if any burst pipes until we get above freezing. Roads are ice rinks. Today is the day many will find out if they have a water disaster or not. Fingers crossed.
Wow. 10°F in Beaumont. Double down record for snow in NOLA. All time record snow for FL.

We hit a low of 14.7°F IMFY. If we only had some snow cover left, we could have snuck into single digits. I had things wrapped up and faucets dripping last night. No problem.
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tireman4
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