January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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biggerbyte
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Sunday has been the suggested day of reckoning since day one. I see no reason why that would not still hold true. However, we have had "same day" changes, better known as "now casting, many times in the past.

Many of you may have noticed today how the coverage for Texas has been pushing east and south.. We have three more days until the event is supposed to begin.

Here is to a positive outlook Sunday evening.
txsnowmaker
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I’ve lived in Houston 47 years, and in all my life I’ve never seen this much consensus among local pro mets about snow in the city. It’s coming, folks!
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christinac2016
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Herzog’s update talked about 1960 being last measurable snowfall, other than 2004. I remember in early 1970s a decent snow for Houston. I think it’s by profile picture.
biggerbyte
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NWS has raised my chances of winter precipitation to 90%. That sure sounds promising. Things appear to really be coming together this time.

However, I've lived here 62 years and have seen things bottom out the absolute day of the event. Remember the previous cold snap? Dallas got some snow. Oklahoma did as well. Kansas and points east got hit hard. We were nowhere near winter precipitation after all of the model runs and chatter.

Honestly, conditions are a bit different this time. It there ever were a time for current forecasts to come to pass...
biggerbyte
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I think we all deserve a payday after all of the disappointments.in the past.
Last edited by biggerbyte on Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:33 am, edited 2 times in total.
Cpv17
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My god, the 6z RGEM is a thing of beauty! :shock:
biggerbyte
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:28 am My god, the 6z RGEM is a thing of beauty! :shock:
Agreed
Tx2005
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:28 am My god, the 6z RGEM is a thing of beauty! :shock:
What does it show?
Goomba
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Tx2005 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:36 am
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:28 am My god, the 6z RGEM is a thing of beauty! :shock:
What does it show?
A lot of snow for SETX. It seems to start as sleet for areas SW of Houston and the immediate coast, but quickly changes to all snow. I'm not the greatest at reading the models. Maybe someone can post a totals map.
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tireman4
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Today's Forecast ( a cold and windy Houston Marathon)
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Nuby33
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tireman4 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 6:38 am Today's Forecast ( a cold and windy Houston Marathon)
A little windy but that's my perfect temperature range for running a race. Low 40s I'm shirtless
Brazoriatx979
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I'm assuming the watches will be upgraded to warnings today?
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snowman65
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anybody got graphics? Any changes for golden triangle overnight?
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Nuby33 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 6:51 am
tireman4 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 6:38 am Today's Forecast ( a cold and windy Houston Marathon)
A little windy but that's my perfect temperature range for running a race. Low 40s I'm shirtless
Yep! Yall enjoy.
Team #NeverSummer
Goomba
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wxman57 on s2k

Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:39 am

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!
Brazoriatx979
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Goomba wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:46 am wxman57 on s2k

Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:39 am

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!
Hmmm
Last edited by Brazoriatx979 on Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
Goomba
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:48 am
Goomba wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:46 am wxman57 on s2k

Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:39 am

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!
Is it still looking like a warm nose for angleton

wxman57 regarding Angleton...


It's there at the start around 6pm tomorrow but gone after sunrise Tuesday. In all my 45 years in Houston, I've never seen such good support for heavy snow. That includes the 2004 Christmas miracle snow.
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jasons2k
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Overnight trends look good. I need to lookup our local criteria for a blizzard warning….

Edit: we won’t make the wind criteria
Last edited by jasons2k on Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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snowman65
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Sounds similar to the Dec 8, 2017 event here. We picked up 3-4" that day.
Brazoriatx979
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Goomba wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:53 am
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:48 am
Goomba wrote: Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:46 am wxman57 on s2k

Sun Jan 19, 2025 7:39 am

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!
Is it still looking like a warm nose for angleton

wxman57 regarding Angleton...


It's there at the start around 6pm tomorrow but gone after sunrise Tuesday. In all my 45 years in Houston, I've never seen such good support for heavy snow. That includes the 2004 Christmas miracle snow.
Hopefully it trends away abc13 said all models were team snow and no warm nose except 1 model..let's hope it goes away completely

Anyone know what 1 model it is that is still showing the warm nose?
Last edited by Brazoriatx979 on Sun Jan 19, 2025 8:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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