January 2025

[Tx2005]

We may have to start watching thursday as well. some of the guidance is hinting at a 2nd trough moving through the area bringing a chance for light snow from houston southward, just worth watching for now

What would the timing of that be on Thursday? Hopefully we wouldn’t be in for another day of limited travel outside of maybe overnight Thursday. Temps seem high enough to thaw things out during the day Thursday/Friday.

[Tx2005]

GFS, Canadian, and ICON trends from last several runs all moving in the direction of more snow further south into metro Houston.

Keep moving south!

Yes please. Anything to get less ice in the area.

[Cromagnum]

Just gonna hope for a surprise at this point. I think we miss out on the whole thing in Austin. Just cold.

[TexasBreeze]

The 12z gfs doesn't look bad for your Austin area and Houston either. There is still a great shot up there.

[Stratton20]

12z Euro definitely increased snowfall across se texas, 4-6 inches on 06z run to now 5–9 inches across a good majority of se texas, and that falls on top of ice and sleet

[jabcwb2]

12z Euro definitely increased snowfall across se texas, 4-6 inches on 06z run to now 5–9 inches across a good majority of se texas, and that falls on top of ice and sleet

Hi, do you have a graphic? This close to the event, do you think there will be significant changes?

[AtascocitaWX]

12z Euro definitely increased snowfall across se texas, 4-6 inches on 06z run to now 5–9 inches across a good majority of se texas, and that falls on top of ice and sleet

Let's see if this a trend.

[Stratton20]

12z euro

[Brazoriatx979]

12z euro

Looks like it is pushing snow totals further south

[Cpv17]

Still hoping it shifts back west, but looks doubtful right now.

[captainbarbossa19]

Euro shows temperatures around 9 degrees on Wednesday morning in Houston due to the snowpack. This is a legitimate possibility if 6 inches plus of snow falls and skies clear.

[snowman65]

12z euro

Talk to me!! lol

[DoctorMu]

The initial front has been long advertised as coming through here Midday Saturday. When I woke up the wind was already blowing out of the north.

If there was wind with the front, did it calm down after the front went through?

I have a steady 15mph NW wind with gusts to 25mph.

NW 17 G 31.

At this point you want the advection to bring cold into place. Keep in mind, the cold air is coming in in pulses or waves.

[DoctorMu]

Euro shows temperatures around 9 degrees on Wednesday morning in Houston due to the snowpack. This is a legitimate possibility if 6 inches plus of snow falls and skies clear.

Pack it in.

[Stratton20]

rgem looks similar to the euro precipitation wise, the euro keeps us below freezing on wednesday as well, heck the euro only gets us to about 36 degrees thrusday afternoon, that still not warm enough to melt things quickly, temps go below freezing thursday night so we may still have icing problems

[DoctorMu]

Snowpack attack:

[don]

I'm still not 100% sure where the heaviest corridor of snow will be. It could end up along I-10, or it could be north of Highway 105. Its going to depend on the placement of the Gulf low. Once we get in range of the HRRR and WRF models we will be able to better define where the transition line will setup. Whoever ends up in the deformation zone will get the heaviest accumulations of snow.

[Brazoriatx979]

I'm still not 100% sure where the heaviest corridor of snow will be. It could end up along I-10, or it could be north of Highway 105. Its going to depend on the placement of the Gulf low. Once we get in range of the HRRR and WRF models we will be able to better define where the transition line will setup. Whoever ends up in the deformation zone will get the heaviest accumulations of snow.

Where is the best case scenario for that low To set up at for us to avoid a warm nose and get the most out of this

[DoctorMu]

rgem looks similar to the euro precipitation wise, the euro keeps us below freezing on wednesday as well, heck the euro only gets us to about 36 degrees thrusday afternoon, that still not warm enough to melt things quickly, temps go below freezing thursday night so we may still have icing problems

A Gem of a run by CMC.

[DoctorMu]

I'm still not 100% sure where the heaviest corridor of snow will be. It could end up along I-10, or it could be north of Highway 105. Its going to depend on the placement of the Gulf low. Once we get in range of the HRRR and WRF models we will be able to better define where the transition line will setup. Whoever ends up in the deformation zone will get the heaviest accumulations of snow.

Yep - that is correct. It's pure NOWcasting and luck.