January 2025

[snowman65]

looking beautiful for us.. hold the line!!

Seems Beaumont has better odds than anyone right now. Wow!

mums the word.. lol

[tsb2107]

Will be coming back from a cruise (Galveston) on Monday morning. Headed back home to Spring and looking forward to some winter weather. Any chance this event starts earlier?

[Cpv17]

Will be coming back from a cruise (Galveston) on Monday morning. Headed back home to Spring and looking forward to some winter weather. Any chance this event starts earlier?

As of right now, no, that doesn’t look likely, but that could still change. The earliest I’d say it could happen would be Monday evening as of right now.

[jasons2k]

It wouldnt take much of a shift by that low to drag those really heavy snow totals right into the houston metro, someone could see a foot+ potentially, some bull-eyes of 15-18 inches on the global models, you just do not see that down here, could be an event for the ages potentially

I think you’re conflating precipitation amounts with precipitation types. If Houston can manage a changeover to snow faster, you will see higher snowfall totals reflected further south. The precipitation will be there.

Everyone chill. The storm is coming. The models will continue to struggle with the tilt of the trough, the placement of the southern jet to the south and the vertical temperature profile.

I’ll give you one of the secret keys. Winter storms tilt just like tropical cyclones. They aren’t perfectly vertically stacked. It’s a gyre with many layers and those layers aren’t always spinning together like a perfect top. It’s usually wobbly.

The forecasters who don’t know to exaggerate that a notch with a quickly-forming gulf low interacting an incoming a trough a with negative tilt are going to bust the snow/ice forecast.

[DoctorMu]

The 700mb 0°F line moves offshore Sunday and stays offshore in SETX until Wednesday afternoon. No warm nose. We'll have a deep, dense layer of cold in place. GFS, CMC, Euro keep the low just offshore.

Mid January - It's a good setup for less freezing rain, more snow. Fingers crossed.

[mcheer23]

WPC tagged Houston in the Heavy Snow risk. That's a first.

[Stratton20]

WPC added a heavy snow risk for the majority of se texas, i dont recall even seeing that in 2021, this could possibly be a historic event

[tireman4]

ERCOT WEATHER WATCH ISSUED
ERCOT has issued a Weather Watch for January 20-23 due to extreme cold weather across the ERCOT region, higher electrical demand, and the potential for lower reserves. Winter precipitation is also expected across parts of the state. Grid conditions are expected to be normal. For more information, visit our TXANS webpage.

What is an ERCOT Weather Watch?
An ERCOT Weather Watch is an advance notification of forecasted significant weather with higher electrical demand and the potential for lower reserves. At this time, grid conditions are expected to be normal, and there is not a current expectation of an energy emergency. Texans should continue to monitor real-time and extended grid conditions at ercot.com.

What do I need to do?
No action is needed. You can monitor current and extended grid conditions on ercot.com.

Did you know?
Reducing electric use during peak demand times can help you save and lower demand on the grid. Energy-saving tips can be found at ercot.com/txans.

Stay Updated
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Subscribe to ERCOT Emergency Alerts or download the ERCOT Mobile App for additional notifications: iOS | Android.

[snowman65]

WPC added a heavy snow risk for the majority of se texas, i dont recall even seeing that in 2021, this could possibly be a historic event

Thats just crazy.. but a good crazy lol

[Brazoriatx979]

WPC added a heavy snow risk for the majority of se texas, i dont recall even seeing that in 2021, this could possibly be a historic event

Why wouldn't it be further south? I'm sure we're in the same postion to get some decent amounts also

[jasons2k]

The 700mb 0°F line moves offshore Sunday and stays offshore in SETX until Wednesday afternoon. No warm nose. We'll have a deep, dense layer of cold in place. GFS, CMC, Euro keep the low just offshore.

Mid January - It's a good setup for less freezing rain, more snow. Fingers crossed.

Folks just might get their wish with this one (especially up here). I would be very happy. Might even see thundersnow again.

[jasons2k]

Seems like this upcoming event has a much higher ceiling than others we’ve had.

It does. That’s why I’ve been both concerned and excited for over a week. A big snowstorm down here will be beautiful, amazing and awesome…but the power situation concerns me.

[ejburas]

I hope this pans out as we all hope it does. I'm gonna need pictures though since I'll be out of town beginning tomorrow until next Sunday. What timing, right?

[Brazoriatx979]

WPC added a heavy snow risk for the majority of se texas, i dont recall even seeing that in 2021, this could possibly be a historic event

Dumbass question here but I'll ask it anyway. If you are not in that circle for heavy snow does that mean you are not getting any?

[sambucol]

Seems like this upcoming event has a much higher ceiling than others we’ve had.

It does. That’s why I’ve been both concerned and excited for over a week. A big snowstorm down here will be beautiful, amazing and awesome…but the power situation concerns me.

I’m concerned about the power grid, too. Praying it does not have issues, and no one loses power.

[Stratton20]

Brazoriatx979 no you’re still gonna see a couple inches of snow , its just the zone for heavy snow risk in which travel impacts could be the most significant, or at least that how i interpret that

[MontgomeryCoWx]

WPC tagged Houston in the Heavy Snow risk. That's a first.

A first in history!

[tireman4]

Seems like this upcoming event has a much higher ceiling than others we’ve had.

It does. That’s why I’ve been both concerned and excited for over a week. A big snowstorm down here will be beautiful, amazing and awesome…but the power situation concerns me.

I’m concerned about the power grid, too. Praying it does not have issues, and no one loses power.

Well, ERCOT did issue a Weather Watch.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

The 700mb 0°F line moves offshore Sunday and stays offshore in SETX until Wednesday afternoon. No warm nose. We'll have a deep, dense layer of cold in place. GFS, CMC, Euro keep the low just offshore.

Mid January - It's a good setup for less freezing rain, more snow. Fingers crossed.

Folks just might get their wish with this one (especially up here). I would be very happy. Might even see thundersnow again.

I’m turning on my lightning detector on my app to possibly chase the bands depending on how far away they are.

[DoctorMu]

WPC added a heavy snow risk for the majority of se texas, i dont recall even seeing that in 2021, this could possibly be a historic event

Why wouldn't it be further south? I'm sure we're in the same postion to get some decent amounts also

Now, the snow risk was all north of Hwy 1*5 in 2021. Even on the CPC.

I've never seen the WPC weigh in with Heavy Snow before in CLL and SETX.