January 2025
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It wouldnt take much of a shift by that low to drag those really heavy snow totals right into the houston metro, someone could see a foot+ potentially, some bull-eyes of 15-18 inches on the global models, you just do not see that down here, could be an event for the ages potentially
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agreed, and it's GOING to change again today and tomorrow and probably Sunday. More bears watchingStratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:21 am It wouldnt take much of a shift by that low to drag those really heavy snow totals right into the houston metro, someone could see a foot+ potentially, some bull-eyes of 15-18 inches on the global models, you just do not see that down here, could be an event for the ages potentially
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We just dont want that low to be in the BOC or we would get robbed of precip
All about the track of that low IMO.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:24 am We just dont want that low to be in the BOC or we would get robbed of precip
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Actually, you’d see the most snow in that setup albeit not a ton.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:24 am We just dont want that low to be in the BOC or we would get robbed of precip
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Really? I saw Travis Herzog say if that happend it would rob usMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:28 amActually, you’d see the most snow in that setup albeit not a ton.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:24 am We just dont want that low to be in the BOC or we would get robbed of precip
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:29 amReally? I saw Travis Herzog say if that happend it would rob usMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:28 amActually, you’d see the most snow in that setup albeit not a ton.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:24 am We just dont want that low to be in the BOC or we would get robbed of precip
What he said was the qpf would drop for most and only places south of i10 would see snow, but it would be light.
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Coastal lows have produced good snows south of I-10 before. It can happen again.
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gotcha appreciate it!MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:44 amBrazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:29 amReally? I saw Travis Herzog say if that happend it would rob usMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:28 am
Actually, you’d see the most snow in that setup albeit not a ton.
What he said was the qpf would drop for most and only places south of i10 would see snow, but it would be light.
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NAM is much colder than the GFS and a bit colder than Euro.
Lol, right on cue, Globals are not handling temps well.
Lol, right on cue, Globals are not handling temps well.
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are we about to get "NAMMD"? Who use to say that on this forum? lol
One forecast has us 50-70% Mon/Tues and then 80% again on Friday, although that says rain/snow mix
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:58 am NAM is much colder than the GFS and a bit colder than Euro.
Lol, right on cue, Globals are not handling temps well.
I was wondering this morning about the NAM. It usually handles weather ( not so much Tropical) better, at times, than the GFS and Euro.
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NAM 6-10 degrees colder in our viewing area at 00z Tuesday
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How would this affect precip though?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:15 am NAM 6-10 degrees colder in our viewing area at 00z Tuesday
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My guess is everything would be snow.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:15 am NAM 6-10 degrees colder in our viewing area at 00z Tuesday
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probably freeze the entire column and have everything as snow...but i could be wrongCpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:19 amHow would this affect precip though?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:15 am NAM 6-10 degrees colder in our viewing area at 00z Tuesday
That’s what I was thinking too, but in Feb 21 I got sleet at 20°. Never saw snow.Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:22 amprobably freeze the entire column and have everything as snow...but i could be wrongCpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:19 amHow would this affect precip though?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:15 am NAM 6-10 degrees colder in our viewing area at 00z Tuesday
Snow instead of ice/sleet/frozen rain, which would be a Godsend for the power gridCpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:19 amHow would this affect precip though?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:15 am NAM 6-10 degrees colder in our viewing area at 00z Tuesday
Generally, the more snow, the better the transmission lines will hold up
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