January 2025

[Cromagnum]

More and more model runs are showing im somehow too north to get anything. Wild.

Where are you? It's not in your profile.

Georgetown. Just updated profile. Seeing lots of model runs showing the cutoff is Travis County and things are dry north and especially northwest of it.

[Brazoriatx979]

More and more model runs are showing im somehow too north to get anything. Wild.

Where are you? It's not in your profile.

hes in georgetown

[Goomba]

More and more model runs are showing im somehow too north to get anything. Wild.

Where are you? It's not in your profile.

Georgetown. Just updated profile. Seeing lots of model runs showing the cutoff is Travis County and things are dry north and especially northwest of it.

Ok, thanks. It's nice to know where people are when posting. I read a lot more than I post. And it's still pretty far out. Forecasts are likely to change so who knows?

[Goomba]

More and more model runs are showing im somehow too north to get anything. Wild.

Where are you? It's not in your profile.

hes in georgetown

Thanks.

[Samantha550]

More and more model runs are showing im somehow too north to get anything. Wild.

Where are you? It's not in your profile.

Georgetown. Just updated profile. Seeing lots of model runs showing the cutoff is Travis County and things are dry north and especially northwest of it.

Thanks for sharing from GTown. My daughter is a Junior at Southwestern and we are in the Golden Triangle. Helps me inform her.

[biggerbyte]

NWS has already raised the temp profile for Tueaday. GFS is still upchucking a no. CMC is backed off snow and sent it way north.

There will be more changes. It's not time to.dig out the fork again. My fork is about tired.

[tireman4]

NWS has already raised the temp profile for Tueaday. GFS is still upchucking a no. CMC is backed off snow and sent it way north.

There will be more changes. It's not time to.dig out the fork again. My fork is about tired.

Many many more runs to go....


The main takeaway is that we now have medium to high confidence (40-
50% chance) that wintry precipitation will occur over southeast
Texas during the first half of next week. All winter precipitation
types are still on the table right now, but broadly speaking
guidance and the NBM seem to still favor snow as the dominant precip
type. Areas north of the I-10 are more likely to see snow/mix of
sleet. Areas to the south may see a mix of snow/sleet/freezing rain
and potentially liquid rain right along the barrier
islands/nearshore waters. As for how much snow/sleet/ice,
uncertainty is too high to put a specific amount on it just yet.
Broadly speaking, it`s more snow to the north and more ice to the
south. We`ll have a better idea of "how much" over the next few
days, but for now we should prepare for some accumulating winter
precipitation.

[Brazoriatx979]

NWS has already raised the temp profile for Tueaday. GFS is still upchucking a no. CMC is backed off snow and sent it way north.

There will be more changes. It's not time to.dig out the fork again. My fork is about tired.

are you related to wxman57? Jesus christ nothing has really changed

[snowman65]

Where are you? It's not in your profile.

Georgetown. Just updated profile. Seeing lots of model runs showing the cutoff is Travis County and things are dry north and especially northwest of it.

Thanks for sharing from GTown. My daughter is a Junior at Southwestern and we are in the Golden Triangle. Helps me inform her.

Hey follow Triangler lol

[cperk]

NWS has already raised the temp profile for Tueaday. GFS is still upchucking a no. CMC is backed off snow and sent it way north.

There will be more changes. It's not time to.dig out the fork again. My fork is about tired.

What are you talking about nothing has changed.Are you looking at the same models everyone else on this forum are following.

[mcheer23]

The main message right now is that a significant winter storm is looking more likely.....

[Brazoriatx979]

NWS has already raised the temp profile for Tueaday. GFS is still upchucking a no. CMC is backed off snow and sent it way north.

There will be more changes. It's not time to.dig out the fork again. My fork is about tired.

What are you talking about nothing has changed.Are you looking at the same models everyone else on this forum are following.

[tireman4]

The main message right now is that a significant winter storm is looking more likely.....

Yes, I agree. More and more likely

[Cpv17]

The main message right now is that a significant winter storm is looking more likely.....

Seems like the models have trended a bit warmer since yesterday and have backed off some on snow and mainly showing ice now. That’s my takeaway from today so far.

[tireman4]

The main message right now is that a significant winter storm is looking more likely.....

Seems like the models have trended a bit warmer since yesterday and have backed off some on snow and mainly showing ice now. That’s my takeaway from today so far.

Remember, we have at least four if not five days until the event. They will flip flop many time since then. The trend is your friend, one way or another.

[Stormlover2020]

lol some of yall on here, snow pack= colder than normal and models struggle with artic air masses. It will be colder than what models shows always is

[Brazoriatx979]

Note "winter storm"...not one mention of "snow storm" we probably will get a mixed bag of stuff down here..we all need to chill lol

[Cromagnum]

So onto the real business. What is everyone grilling and barbecuing on Saturday before it's too nasty outside to do that for a bit?

[Brazoriatx979]

So onto the real business. What is everyone grilling and barbecuing on Saturday before it's too nasty outside to do that for a bit?

Beef ribs and a pork butt!

[Cpv17]

The main message right now is that a significant winter storm is looking more likely.....

Seems like the models have trended a bit warmer since yesterday and have backed off some on snow and mainly showing ice now. That’s my takeaway from today so far.

Remember, we have at least four if not five days until the event. They will flip flop many time since then. The trend is your friend, one way or another.

Trust me, I’m well aware lol just stating what’s happened today with the models so far IMO.