December 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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This humid Summer/late Spring crap in the middle of December blows.

We're had an inch of rain...mostly slow, steady. Hope you all got some down in Houston. Rain chances are down through Wednesday.

Just give me 60s through the New Year - I'm not even bargaining any more for a freeze or wintry stuff.
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DoctorMu
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In a week, Gainesville, FL will be cooler than us. :(
Cromagnum
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Upper 70s and muggy as crap here. This blows.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 2:37 pm Upper 70s and muggy as crap here. This blows.
This is the latest I've ever had the A/C on. December 7th was the previous record.
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jasons2k
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No complaints here. Spent the day outside. I could do this all year.
Stratton20
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Cromagnum no kidding, this weather is garbage, anything above 60 is just miserable as it gets, AC on full blast in my house, not a good day to be outside lol
Cpv17
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Winter hasn’t even started yet.
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 3:36 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 2:37 pm Upper 70s and muggy as crap here. This blows.
This is the latest I've ever had the A/C on. December 7th was the previous record.
That’s odd. I remember it being in the 70’s and pushing 80 several times over the past 10-15 years even in mid to late December.
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 2:32 pm In a week, Gainesville, FL will be cooler than us. :(
It happens sometimes. It’s not that unusual. +PNA will do that.
Stratton20
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Brazoriatx979 lets slow down lol, , we have a long ways to go, dont listen to the clowns on social media saying winter is over and all that gloomy stuff, things will change, and i highly expect january is going to be a rollercoaster month
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tireman4
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069
FXUS64 KHGX 161140
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
540 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 406 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024

Happy Monday! Low clouds and patchy fog occurring across SE TX this
AM as a moderate LLJ, WAA, and moisture advection continue to occur.
Precipitation chances are low for today. Very light reflectivity
Passing over the Gulf Waters at this time. Isentropic ascent could
Yield isolated to scattered showers and storms through the day today.

Best chance for precipitation today appears to be in the areas N of
I10. Otherwise, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies & warm temps.
Record highs should remain untouched today; however, temps continue
To run well above normal for this time of year. Today we can expect
Highs to run about 10-15 degrees above normal...we promise that it`s
December. Lows for tonight will be in the 60s with increasing clouds
After midnight. Moisture in the surface layer and light winds will
Yield another round of fog for tonight.

Look for highs to run well above normal again on Tuesday. The City
Of Houston will continue to be approximately 10F above normal as a
Very warm and moist airmass continues to reign over the area. The
Excess moisture will keep foggy conditions over the area through the
morning hours Tuesday. PW values will remain in the 1.1"-1.4" range,
and with SE winds prevailing along a shortwave trough, could see
isolated showers again during the day Tuesday. Cloud cover Tuesday
night will inhibit efficient radiational cooling and will keep lows
in the low to mid 60s area wide.

Adams

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 406 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024

Warm, muggy conditions Wednesday morning will give way to some
showers and isolated tstms ahead of a cold front moving into the
area. Best rain chances should be situated across the northern
half of the CWA in the mid-late morning hours as the front moves
through. Precip will probably become more scattered in nature
further south as it encounters a slightly more stable environment.
The front is currently forecast to push off the coast in the late
afternoon hours. At this point, the potential exists for a moderate
temp bust if frontal timing changes much.

Drier, more seasonable airmass will filter in behind the front and
that should continue through Sunday as we see a reinforcing
front/airmass backdoor into the area early in the weekend. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 536 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024

Widespread LIFR conditions ongoing due to low CIGs and dense fog
creating low VSBYs. Expect conditions to persist through around
15Z, with VFR conditions prevailing this afternoon. MVFR CIGs
creep back into the area as the evening progresses (after 21Z).
Another round of widespread IFR/LIFR VSBYs/CIGs expected again
tonight into Tuesday morning. Winds generally light out of the SE,
becoming variable overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 406 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024

Into midweek, the primary marine hazard will be periods of sea
fog...dense at times. Always difficult to forecast the specifics
with fog, but should follow a trend of initiating off the coast
then spreading into the bays during the overnight hours. It`ll
then retreat from the northern bays back into the Gulf in the late
morning and afternoon hours. Water temps have warmed into the low
60s Galveston Bay and mid-upper 60s Matagorda Bay...which would
favor areas closer to Galveston Bay seeing the most favorable
environment for development and more prone to intermittent
navigational issues. Additional warming of the Galveston Bay
waters could to slightly lower fog chances and more patchy in
nature.

Fog threat will end with the next cold front expected to push off
the coast probably in the late afternoon hours Wednesday. Moderate
north winds in its wake may require the need for a brief period
of Small Craft Advisory or Caution flags. Winds/seas begin to
settle Thursday. A reinforcing front and drier airmass is
anticipated early in the weekend. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 77 63 76 64 / 20 20 20 20
Houston (IAH) 78 65 76 64 / 20 10 20 10
Galveston (GLS) 71 64 70 64 / 20 20 20 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ197-200-
210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for GMZ335-355.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....47
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...47
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 5:06 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 3:36 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sun Dec 15, 2024 2:37 pm Upper 70s and muggy as crap here. This blows.
This is the latest I've ever had the A/C on. December 7th was the previous record.
That’s odd. I remember it being in the 70’s and pushing 80 several times over the past 10-15 years even in mid to late December.
A few degrees cooler up here around Christmas.

But not today. 80°F+

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7ofnHmxE-I

Hot town, summer in the city
Back of my neck gettin' dirty and gritty
Been down, isn't it a pity?
Doesn't seem to be a shadow in the city
All around, people lookin' half dead
Walkin' on the sidewalk, hotter than a match head
biggerbyte
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Well I drove my camaro today thinking it would be dry. It 30% heavy rained all over it. I had just washed it.
Pas_Bon
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I already hate this Winter and it hasn’t even started yet.
biggerbyte
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I see no real cold weather in the foreseeable future.
Cpv17
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Pas_Bon wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 8:28 pm I already hate this Winter and it hasn’t even started yet.
Have to wait till the MJO gets in phase 7. We’ll have a better shot at cold then.
Cpv17
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biggerbyte wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:13 pm I see no real cold weather in the foreseeable future.
Probably the second week of January with the way it looks now. Just have to be patient.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 looks like around the 1st or so is when models expect the MJO to move into Phase 7, all i can say is i definitely expect big changes in january, how cold is obviously too be determined, but i have a feeling we are going to have an interesting month ahead of us
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Ptarmigan
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Christmas is suppose to be cold. 8-)
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Ptarmigan
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:21 pm
biggerbyte wrote: Mon Dec 16, 2024 9:13 pm I see no real cold weather in the foreseeable future.
Probably the second week of January with the way it looks now. Just have to be patient.
Most cold blasts tend to be in January and February.
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