November 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
brazoriatx
Posts: 415
Joined: Tue Nov 08, 2011 12:09 pm
Contact:
Contact brazoriatx

Looking like it is going east
Attachments
FB_IMG_1732485087726.jpg
FB_IMG_1732485087726.jpg (75.45 KiB) Viewed 9808 times
Top
Stratton20
Posts: 5386
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:
Contact Stratton20

Its not going too, models have been correcting back to the west today, that arctic air is coming down here ( modified) before going east
Top
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1185
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:
Contact sambucol

I’ll take it!
Top
kyzsl51
Posts: 66
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:10 pm
Contact:
Contact kyzsl51

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 4:34 pm Its not going too, models have been correcting back to the west today, that arctic air is coming down here ( modified) before going east
really which models? Def not on the gfs
Top
Stratton20
Posts: 5386
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:
Contact Stratton20

kyzs151 CMC, ICON, JMA, Euro AIFS, Euro starting to as well, the GFS is bad at seeing low level shallow cold air, so its definitely too warm, and arctic air in nature wants to sink south first before moving off to the east, alot more guidance is trending west compared to the gfs
Top
kyzsl51
Posts: 66
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:10 pm
Contact:
Contact kyzsl51

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 5:16 pm kyzs151 CMC, ICON, JMA, Euro AIFS, Euro starting to as well, the GFS is bad at seeing low level shallow cold air, so its definitely too warm, and arctic air in nature wants to sink south first before moving off to the east, alot more guidance is trending west compared to the gfs
Well i hope your right! This fall has sucked
Top
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7117
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:
Contact DoctorMu

kyzsl51 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 5:03 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 4:34 pm Its not going too, models have been correcting back to the west today, that arctic air is coming down here ( modified) before going east
really which models? Def not on the gfs
Correct. GFS sends the cooler air east. Canadian and the Euro are more aggressive with freezing temps penetrating Texas. The Ensembles split the difference.

We'll see. But I think we're in for a little below average temps for the beginning of Decamber. How long and how cold are not consistently progged yet.
Top
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7117
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:
Contact DoctorMu

JMA is sending the cold stuff east.

Still good news and consistent with the 6-10 day NWS forecast.
Attachments
jma_T850a_us_9.png
jma_T850a_us_9.png (100.1 KiB) Viewed 9704 times
Top
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6114
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact tireman4

This week
Attachments
small5.png
small5.png (227.84 KiB) Viewed 9627 times
Top
User avatar
don
Posts: 3078
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:
Contact don

Finally looks like the first freeze of the season will happen here tonight. And Thanksgiving night looks to be in the upper 20’s. Two weeks later than average but better late than never.
Attachments
IMG_0062.png
IMG_0062.png (41.42 KiB) Viewed 9622 times
Top
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4279
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:
Contact Ptarmigan

I will take any cooler weather.
Top
Cpv17
Posts: 6559
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:
Contact Cpv17

Yesterday it was this site that wasn’t working and now today I can’t access Storm2k .. damn.
Top
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6114
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact tireman4

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2024 12:12 pm Yesterday it was this site that wasn’t working and now today I can’t access Storm2k .. damn.


Looks like S2K is working now
Top
Cromagnum
Posts: 2965
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Location: Georgetown
Contact:
Contact Cromagnum

High getting all the way to 82 today. Blech.
Top
Cpv17
Posts: 6559
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:
Contact Cpv17

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2024 6:32 am High getting all the way to 82 today. Blech.
84 here and absolutely fine with me.
Top
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5895
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:
Contact jasons2k

Our planet is so screwed…
Attachments
IMG_6466.jpeg
IMG_6466.jpeg (261.05 KiB) Viewed 9086 times
IMG_6465.jpeg
IMG_6465.jpeg (296.07 KiB) Viewed 9086 times
Top
Cpv17
Posts: 6559
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:
Contact Cpv17

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2024 10:29 am Our planet is so screwed…
Is that large blob of above normal over Siberia? Kinda looks like it. Wonder what’s causing all this global warmth? Going to be really hard to ever get snow down here again in our lifetime it looks like.
Top
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6114
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact tireman4

Happy Thanksgiving to you all!
Top
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2618
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:
Contact MontgomeryCoWx

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2024 12:32 pm
jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2024 10:29 am Our planet is so screwed…
Is that large blob of above normal over Siberia? Kinda looks like it. Wonder what’s causing all this global warmth? Going to be really hard to ever get snow down here again in our lifetime it looks like.
I’ll take that bet on snow and give you 100-1 odds that it stays the same decadal wise.
Team #NeverSummer
Top
Cpv17
Posts: 6559
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:
Contact Cpv17

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Thu Nov 28, 2024 6:21 pm
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2024 12:32 pm
jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2024 10:29 am Our planet is so screwed…
Is that large blob of above normal over Siberia? Kinda looks like it. Wonder what’s causing all this global warmth? Going to be really hard to ever get snow down here again in our lifetime it looks like.
I’ll take that bet on snow and give you 100-1 odds that it stays the same decadal wise.
Spill the beans bro lol
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Weather Forum”

  • Information