In the Gulf.
June 2024
Where the Hell is the rain?
Yea this is looking more and more like a non event for us. Some rain, little wind, the cloud cover and breeze will be nice. Hope that changes overnight and into tomorrow, but so far, everything is trending away from our area.
That's exactly the way i want it.
I guess it’s expected to develop more than originally thought.
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Stratton20
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- Location: College Station, Texas
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HRRR says not so fast
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There's a reason why the flood watch doesn't start till 7pm tomorrow.....
The main event is not till tomorrow night-Wednesday,and that's been the forecast for several days now.I'm not sure why it seems like some expected today to be a washout..
Last edited by don on Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Looks like I should get dumped on pretty good down here in Wharton County!
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biggerbyte
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- Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
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Weather burgers can go from nothing to double meat around here. The best any of us can do is watch the trends. When it come to spring storms, summer hurricanes, and winter storms, we should all be prepared. Many folks don't understand that when a nothing burger pops up. We will see tomorrow, but don't shoot Ronald Mcdonald if he runs out of everything but the bun.
Exactly. I still wouldn’t be surprised to see the HRRR back down on totals over night and into tomorrow the further east you go in the HGX area. The HRRR is one of the better, if not best, publicly available short term models we have in my opinion.
There will be areas with some excessive totals and the further SW you go, the higher they will be. Many folks see precip output on models and don’t understand the logic behind it, unfortunately. Then social media does its thing.
Reality is - you could get nothing, some brief downpours or a train with hours of downpours. Wherever they set up.. the models aren’t going to tell anyone that.. but it’s likely for somewhere in our county watch area.
The forecast models do get rain amount correct, but not the location correct.
I’ll take this Gulf Breeze up in the Woodlands all day though.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KHGX/standard
Looks like some weather moving into SE Texas tonight.
Looks like some weather moving into SE Texas tonight.
NAM is easing back toward the 0z HRRR solution.
