February 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Some of the long range guidancr ( euro weeklies and even the CFS suggest we stay below normal/ cold through even most of march
Cromagnum
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All the birds and garden reptiles over here are convinced that winter is done.
Stratton20
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Well thats simply not the case lol, winter is far from being done
user:null
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Well, whatever winter has left better get going within the window of the next ~2-3 weeks. Even in the context of cold snaps, things become increasingly gentler/milder going into late Feb, then into March.
user:null
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Cromagnum wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 10:05 am All the birds and garden reptiles over here are convinced that winter is done.
The fact that reptiles are showing up just ~2 weeks after a cold snap is a testament to the (overall) mild/warmth of the SETX winter climate. Even when factoring in the cold snaps, the (relatively) brief durations keep ground temps from getting too cold — this is likely what allows the reptile populations to persist (especially if they can burrow/take shelter in the ground), and it also seems instrumental in allowing a good percentage of tropical plant regrowth/recovery. The same cold snaps, but more prolonged with chillier temps would allow less recovery (although a chilly period prior to a cold snap would allow better survival for stuff like citrus due to slowdown/dormancy).
Last edited by user:null on Fri Feb 02, 2024 1:23 pm, edited 3 times in total.
user:null
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Forget spring, Wharton has now entered full-on summer mode. Look at it go with that heat index!

Hopefully @Cpv17 is doing okay...
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Stratton20
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75 here, absolutely atrocious weather🤮
jerryh421
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user:null wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 1:16 pm Forget spring, Wharton has now entered full-on summer mode. Look at it go with that heat index!

Hopefully @Cpv17 is doing okay...
This can't be right lol
user:null
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jerryh421 wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 3:21 pmThis can't be right lol
Looks like the afternoon peak was 122°F at 12:35pm! But in terms of the entire day, the late morning had an even higher peak: 127°F at 11:35AM!!!

Again, I hope @Cpv17 is okay after all that...
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Stratton20
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apparently those numbers are real, man thats just down right evil in february , that should be illegal to see temperatures anywhere close to that lol
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don
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Things are looking wet late tonight.

Screenshot 2024-02-02 at 18-10-03 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-02-02 at 18-10-24 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
Cpv17
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Man, that radar is looking fantastic for me tonight! Just started pouring here.
davidiowx
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Feb 02, 2024 10:51 pm Man, that radar is looking fantastic for me tonight! Just started pouring here.
To say the least! Looking forward to some thunder.

Tornado warning for southern Bastrop and Fayette counties.
Cromagnum
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It's bowing pretty crazy on radar near Yoakum, Shiner, and Cuero.
Cpv17
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Yeah I’m about to get slammed by that bow echo. Bring it!
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djmike
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1.60” Ground is very saturated.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
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2.9” here. Ditches and fields are flooded again.
Cpv17
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Looks like Thursday the rain comes back for a few days. Nice weather till then so enjoy it.
Cromagnum
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Just gonna be a prolonged spring moving forward I think. Maybe a cool front or two but am not expecting any more freezes.
Stratton20
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Cromagnum nope, its looking quite the opposite actually starting mid month and beyond, all of the teleconnections go negative
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