January 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Dense fog advisories just issued.. oh joy :roll:
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Jan 18, 2024 9:49 pm Could easily be wrong, but I'm on board the Euro, which assumes the main firehose will be SE.

Image
I know that’s what you want :lol:

I’m hoping that shifts back west. I’ll take a deluge whenever I can get it!
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don
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Cpv17
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I like how the CMC hangs some higher totals further back west. GFS as usual is so far east. Hell, it’s beginning to look like a bigger event for Louisiana and Mississippi than Texas on the GFS.
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don
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Screenshot 2024-01-19 at 00-54-15 Models ECMWF Hi-Res — Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot 2024-01-19 at 00-53-55 Models ICON — Pivotal Weather.png
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don
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mcheer23
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GFS now has the heaviest rain to the north and west of Houston. We'll see what the ensembles say in about 30 minutes.
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don
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Shift west in the 12Z GFS and CMC

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don
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GEFS

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don
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EURO

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Cromagnum
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Looks like 3-5 inches is realistic based on average of models. Doesn't look like the 10+ inches like the GFS was doomcasting the other day.
mcheer23
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Cromagnum wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 1:41 pm Looks like 3-5 inches is realistic based on average of models. Doesn't look like the 10+ inches like the GFS was doomcasting the other day.
Some isolated spots will get 10+
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 1:28 pm EURO


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Still wagering on the Euro. 8-)
Cpv17
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Yeah, this doesn’t look to be as big of an event than I originally thought. Unless the mesos come in more aggressive.
Stormlover2020
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Euro has some spots 10-12 inches that’s alot
Cpv17
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 3:17 pm Euro has some spots 10-12 inches that’s alot
Maybe east of here. I think over the FL panhandle and Alabama it had some big totals. I still think the mesos will come in a lil more aggressive though.
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jasons2k
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It was 29 here this morning with a predicted low of 24.

I’ll take the bust. Onto the wetness…
Cpv17
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Today is what winter should be like. It’s a perfect winter day. Lows in the 20’s with highs in the 40’s with clear blue skies.
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don
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Cpv17
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don wrote: Sat Jan 20, 2024 1:42 pmimage7.png
This is funny cuz just last night David Tillman on channel 13 was saying he was most concerned for Wednesday.
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