January 2024

[brazoriatx]

So Harris,ft bend,Wharton,Jackson, and Matagorda got added but brazoria didn't? What gives?

[Dls2010r]

Galveston county didn’t either. Maybe we’re just staying too warm.

[tireman4]

Remember, this forecast is ever changing. It will change as models come in and readjusting occurs

[brazoriatx]

Well I guess it's time to start watching the sky this evening to see if anything falls. I'll be watching in angleton to see if anything frozen or freezes here but judging by the advisory it will be all liquid

[MontgomeryCoWx]

NAM brings up to a quarter inch over me. Guessing some of that is sleet.

[jabcwb2]

NAM brings up to a quarter inch over me. Guessing some of that is sleet.

I'm in Magnolia. Does that measurement include all of Montgomery County?

[don]

As expected...Winter weather advisories in effect starting at 6 pm tonight.

[vci_guy2003]

its 23 degrees in Austin. That seems colder than was forecast. Are we trending colder?

[snowman65]

Looks like business as usual for us. Nothing really threatening. Few days of cold, no biggie. Cover the spigots and carry on.

[brazoriatx]

I'm going to be p***** if I wake up in brazoria county and have ice. And I wasn't included in the advisory lol

[don]

I'm going to be p***** if I wake up in brazoria county and have ice. And I wasn't included in the advisory lol

Still have the rest of the day to go, they may add you to the advisory later today.

[don]

12Z WRF.Freezing rain starts in the metro area around 6 pm this evening, lasting most of the day tomorrow. This is why I said it was important to wait till we got within 48 hours of the event. I've seen this scenario play out multiple times here when it comes to winter precip events.

[don]

12Z HRRR

[don]

From HGX this morning regarding wintry precip.

Winter weather conditions are expected tonight into at least
Monday with mixed precipitation and brisk conditions. The
aforementioned front will stall over the Gulf waters today,
developing a coastal sfc trough over the Upper TX coast. In
addition, quasi-zonal flow aloft will bring a few weak shortwaves
over the region during the same time frame. In terms of moisture,
PW values are progged to slowly increase from the coast and
isentropic lifting will get stronger around 290k, suggesting
decent lifting. With that being said, precipitation is expected
tonight and Monday. Forecast soundings suggest a well saturated
profile with a pronounced warm nose aloft gradually developing
from west to east. This will suggest a wintry mix at the sfc with
rain, freezing rain/drizzle and light sleet. By daybreak (Monday
morning), light precipitation should be confined across the entire
SE TX with all but coastal counties receiving a mix of
precipitation. Precipitation will continue on Monday, gradually
tapering off from northwest to southeast by late Monday
afternoon/early evening.

Elevated objects such as trees, power lines and bridges quickly
iced over once surface temperatures dropped below freezing.
Forecast ice amounts continue to range from a light glaze to one
tenth of an inch for most areas. With all of this in mind, Winter
Weather Advisory remains in effect and has been expanded further
south.

[brazoriatx]

"light precipitation should be confined across the entire
SE TX with all but coastal counties receiving a mix of
precipitation."

Well there it is....ugh I'm moving

[Cromagnum]

Looks like business as usual for us. Nothing really threatening. Few days of cold, no biggie. Cover the spigots and carry on.

We wont. It's suppose to be 39 tomorrow down here when the precipitation comes through. Big yawn.

[DoctorMu]

its 23 degrees in Austin. That seems colder than was forecast. Are we trending colder?

27°F IMFY. Colder than forecast. Not a surprise.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Looks like business as usual for us. Nothing really threatening. Few days of cold, no biggie. Cover the spigots and carry on.

Well that would be wrong for most of us.

I’ll be 72 hours below freezing

[Dls2010r]

We’re still gonna get rain guys. Let’s be glad we’re not part of the ice frenzy.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

"light precipitation should be confined across the entire
SE TX with all but coastal counties receiving a mix of
precipitation."

Well there it is....ugh I'm moving

Never understood coastal people expecting what inland counties get. That’s not the norm, at all. The chances of winter precip increase by factors as you go north from the coast.

This has always been the case. Yes, there are the rare storms that get ya, but I probably have 10x-20x the winter encounters over the last 20 years than Matagorda, Brazoria and Galveston have had.