January 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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don
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:19 pm Hey gang, we need your help. Andrew has been paying the bills to keep the Forum up and running for the past year due to no donations. Please take a moment and make a contribution to keep Weather Infinity up and running. A 5 or 10 Dollar donation will help, but please consider a monthly reoccurring contribution to keep the Forum up and running smoothly. Thanks Gang!!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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srainhoutx
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Thanks Gang! You all are awesome!!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:56 pm Thanks Gang! You all are awesome!!
Thanks for dropping in Srain!

Any thoughts on the upcoming week?
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snowman65
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:19 pm Hey gang, we need your help. Andrew has been paying the bills to keep the Forum up and running for the past year due to no donations. Please take a moment and make a contribution to keep Weather Infinity up and running. A 5 or 10 Dollar donation will help, but please consider a monthly reoccurring contribution to keep the Forum up and running smoothly. Thanks Gang!!
I tried to donate but could not get it to go through. I filled out everything correctly... ???
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srainhoutx
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:59 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:56 pm Thanks Gang! You all are awesome!!
Thanks for dropping in Srain!

Any thoughts on the upcoming week?
It's going to get cold and likely stay that way for a while. You folks certainly have a potential freezing rain/sleet event Sunday into early Monday. We know from past experience that models struggle with dense Artic airmasses. I believe we'll see a brief relaxation late January, and then plunge back into a very chilly February. Remember that early February is prime time for wintry mischief for SE Texas. Fingers crossed that heavy snow falls across the Lone Star State!
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jabcwb2
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I am on my android. What is the link to donate?. Thank you for all you do!
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Ptarmigan
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:22 pm Who was around here in '97 for the massive SE TX ice storm? That was about as bad as its gotten around here.
I remember that event. There was thunder during the ice storm.
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Ptarmigan
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srainhoutx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 10:07 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:59 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:56 pm Thanks Gang! You all are awesome!!
Thanks for dropping in Srain!

Any thoughts on the upcoming week?
It's going to get cold and likely stay that way for a while. You folks certainly have a potential freezing rain/sleet event Sunday into early Monday. We know from past experience that models struggle with dense Artic airmasses. I believe we'll see a brief relaxation late January, and then plunge back into a very chilly February. Remember that early February is prime time for wintry mischief for SE Texas. Fingers crossed that heavy snow falls across the Lone Star State!
I have seen forecast models struggle with freezes time and time again.
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Ptarmigan
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:49 pm I’ve heard stories of 73 and 77-78 winters. My father played a football playoff game in heavy snow in 1977. I kinda remember, vaguely, the ‘83 December and I certainly remember ‘85 and ‘89.
The 1970s winter were colder. Winter of 1972-1973 and 1977-1978 were El Nino winters. 1977-1978 is one of the colder winters on record. 1972-1973 was a strong Eastern Equatorial El Nino. 1977-1978 was a weak Modoki El Nino. 1983-1984 and 1984-1985 were weak to moderate La Nina. 1989-1990 was neutral.
Stratton20
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The 00z GFS and CMC are a good 15 degrees warmer than the NAM, no frozen precip here lol, seems like a good bet to just use the mesocale guidance from here on out
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:38 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:22 pm Who was around here in '97 for the massive SE TX ice storm? That was about as bad as its gotten around here.
I was visiting a close friend in CS that storm. What a storm.
Back then, few students and dudes with trucks would attempt to traverse the icy roads - nearly an inch thick. We had ice storms in NC every year, so I ventured out gingerly and was able to drive into A&M, and pick up a couple of groceries. The "incline" on Texas Ave between Holleman and Harvey Rd was a little tricky.

We're stocking up tomorrow, because if Monday (and Tuesday) resemble anything similar to '97 - I'm staying put. The town, university, and "confidence" of people driving without experience in these conditions has exploded.
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DoctorMu
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Ptarmigan wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 10:24 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:49 pm I’ve heard stories of 73 and 77-78 winters. My father played a football playoff game in heavy snow in 1977. I kinda remember, vaguely, the ‘83 December and I certainly remember ‘85 and ‘89.
The 1970s winter were colder. Winter of 1972-1973 and 1977-1978 were El Nino winters. 1977-1978 is one of the colder winters on record. 1972-1973 was a strong Eastern Equatorial El Nino. 1977-1978 was a weak Modoki El Nino. 1983-1984 and 1984-1985 were weak to moderate La Nina. 1989-1990 was neutral.
The Ohio River froze in 1977-1978. We had massive snow storms in NC (1 foot variety) two years in a row.
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 10:38 pm The 00z GFS and CMC are a good 15 degrees warmer than the NAM, no frozen precip here lol, seems like a good bet to just use the mesocale guidance from here on out
lol I'd hate to see the NAM for Wed am!

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don
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GFS brought the late week winter storm back. LOL. As far as Monday's system goes we will know a lot more tomorrow and Saturday when the system is in range of more mesoscale models.
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Cromagnum
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 10:40 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:38 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 8:22 pm Who was around here in '97 for the massive SE TX ice storm? That was about as bad as its gotten around here.
I was visiting a close friend in CS that storm. What a storm.
Back then, few students and dudes with trucks would attempt to traverse the icy roads - nearly an inch thick. We had ice storms in NC every year, so I ventured out gingerly and was able to drive into A&M, and pick up a couple of groceries. The "incline" on Texas Ave between Holleman and Harvey Rd was a little tricky.

We're stocking up tomorrow, because if Monday (and Tuesday) resemble anything similar to '97 - I'm staying put. The town, university, and "confidence" of people driving without experience in these conditions has exploded.
I used to live on Holleman right by Texas. There was an HEB across the street when I was a student, and Hastings / Freebies too. We had a really bad ice storm sometime in the early 2007 that completely froze everything over for a couple days.
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Rip76
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Ok fellas, how do I donate?
dp6
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The link that says "Donate" at the bottom of this page
davidiowx
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Rip76 wrote: Thu Jan 11, 2024 11:12 pm Ok fellas, how do I donate?
Press that big yella button at the bottom of each page :)
dp6
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Front went through Wichita Falls about an hour ago, gonna have to boogie to make it to down here in Sugar Land by the predicted 6 am.
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