January 2024

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I keep telling mom to prepare. Dad is going to wrap pipes in the next few days. Mom likes to wait for tv meteorologists to bring it up. also she’s of the she’ll believe it when she feels/sees it.

One of the neighboring farms, the guy is 72. He gets his news from the news channels. When I asked him if he needed help winterizing troughs he looked at me weird. Then I showed him a few sites and the multiple models and had a WTF look and said, yeah let’s go ahead.

[Cpv17]

The latest ICON model has temps at 88°F below normal in Montana.

That’s a first. Holy ****!

Just goes to show you that the models could still be underestimating the cold.

[Stratton20]

88 below normal, im not even sure any model run came even close to showing a value like that during the 2021 february outbreak, if the models are still underestimating the cold, this could get really ugly for those northern states

[Cpv17]

88 below normal, im not even sure any model run came even close to showing a value like that during the 2021 february outbreak, if the models are still underestimating the cold, this could get really ugly for those northern states

Yeah. All-time record lows wouldn’t surprise me in some areas at this point.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I’m feeling very confident based on trends and the cold pooling that I will see teens, easy…. Outside shot at singles depending on precip

[Cpv17]

I’m feeling very confident based on trends and the cold pooling that I will see teens, easy…. Outside shot at singles depending on precip

Also, ensembles keep the cold around. Even at the end of the ensemble runs, it still has a solidly cold look to it. Impressive signal for cold that far out.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I got another cell over me. This is great.

Atmosphere just doesn’t want to give up.

[Ptarmigan]

The latest ICON model has temps at 88°F below normal in Montana.

That is like December 1821, January 1886 or February 1899 level.

[Ptarmigan]

88 below normal, im not even sure any model run came even close to showing a value like that during the 2021 february outbreak, if the models are still underestimating the cold, this could get really ugly for those northern states

Yeah. All-time record lows wouldn’t surprise me in some areas at this point.

The coldest in the Lower 48 is in Rogers Pass, Montana at -69.7°F on January 20, 1954. However, that is disputed.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Colde ... tiguous-US

[MontgomeryCoWx]

The latest ICON model has temps at 88°F below normal in Montana.

That is like December 1821, January 1886 or February 1899 level.

I’ve read about Jane Long and December 1821. Galveston Bay froze over really thick.

[davidiowx]

Just had some pea size hail here in Richmond!

[spadilly]

Just had a small cell with hail come over us in Richmond/Sugar Land. Wow.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

It’s hailing again. Wow!

[Stratton20]

00z ICON is even colder, puts us in the meat locker and hints at some precipitation as well

[MontgomeryCoWx]

It is consistent and relentless.

I’m in the low teens Tuesday morning. Well my house is. I’ll be in KC.

[AtascocitaWX]

Just had a brief round of hail here in Atascocita.

[Cromagnum]

It's hailing again 3 hours after the front...what in the world?

[don]

It's hailing here also. Elevated thunderstorms,and cold air aloft.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

It’s time to winterize gents.

Models are going gangbusters.

[Stratton20]

CMC coming in colder, GFS has highs in the 20’s with some frozen precip down to the coast