January 2024

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Golfball sized hail reported on Hwy 90 west of Gonzales at 2:09pm
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I have quarter size in Weimar right now
Team #NeverSummer
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MontgomeryCoWx
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2 straight over performing storms in CoCo.

Bring on the over performing winter temps and precip!
Team #NeverSummer
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jasons2k
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At 2:35, a waterspout was reported over Lake Livingston
Cromagnum
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Looking like the discrete supercell threat's time is running out. That squall line is bulldozing this way.
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jasons2k
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3:56
Temp just dropped from 75 to 59. Front has outrun the squall line.
dp6
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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO...NORTH CENTRAL WHARTON...SOUTHEASTERN AUSTIN AND
WESTERN FORT BEND COUNTIES...

At 358 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Eagle Lake, moving northeast at 35 mph.

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx. ... n=-96.3056
Last edited by dp6 on Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:31 pm, edited 2 times in total.
TexasBreeze
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Yeah the front definitely undercut the line. That should end the severe threat once the cold air blows in.
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DoctorMu
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Too many NG power stations were off-line in 2021 due to repairs and prepping for the following summer. The Texas grid did or could not connect power coming from wind and solar from West Texas to the eastern part of the state. My wife's dad worked for Exxon for over 35 years. Her brother worked in O&G exploration for 25+ years. My neighbor was an O&G geologist.

Because we haven't had to ballz to upgrade and expand nuclear capabilities and never developed a viable biofuel industry, the transition will have to be fusion. With the superconductor magnets, we have the potential to build safe power plants in time (and generate helium which is running short in supply. However, without a Man on the Moon mission to upgrade our energy, it's going to be a 20-35 year transition to fusion from O&G. Solar and wind contributions will increase, but 2024 will be the first year they contribute more to the power grid than coal!

Ammonia isn't a bad option for powering shipping vessels. However, Ammonia does have the scale for power plants to support the grid.

I'm still looking at a Hybrid (probably CR-V as our next vehicle purchase. I drive 'em 'til they drop: 2009, 2012 Hondas. When the EV grid (and power plant grids) are ready, we'll transition our transportation.

There just isn't an overnight solution.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
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18z GFS is colder and brings some frozen precipitation into parts of houston
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 2:32 pm EURO onboard with snow next Monday.
Image
Image
Pick your poison. With Euro and CMC on board, there's likely some kind of wintry event. Stay tuned. 8-)
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don
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Yep both the EURO and GFS are showing an Ana Front. Looks like a similar setup to the 2018 sleet storm which also was from an Ana front.

18Z GFS

Image
Last edited by don on Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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DoctorMu
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brazoriatx wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 3:21 pm Those wind gust aint messing around
We had outside furniture tossed around when I arrived home.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:22 pm 3:56
Temp just dropped from 75 to 59. Front has outrun the squall line.
Yeah, we got out of jail quickly. Only 0.18 inches, but we had about 2.5 in from the last 2 events. Sun and blue skies have popped out here.
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DoctorMu
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THIS

Image

THEN THIS

Image


Sharpen your ice skates! ;)
Last edited by DoctorMu on Mon Jan 08, 2024 5:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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don
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vci_guy2003 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:57 pm What is ANA?
Basically, it's an overrunning setup. With the majority of precipitation being post-frontal.If you have a strong enough front like the one the models are showing next week. The post-frontal precip can transition to frozen precip.
An ana front is a frontal boundary in which the main shield of clouds and precipitation is located behind the actual frontal boundary.
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DoctorMu
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don wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 5:00 pm
vci_guy2003 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 4:57 pm What is ANA?
Basically, it's an overrunning setup. With the majority of precipitation being post-frontal.If you have a strong enough front like the one the models are showing next week. The post-frontal precip can transition to frozen precip.
An ana front is a frontal boundary in which the main shield of clouds and precipitation is located behind the actual frontal boundary.
This often means sleet or freezing rain for us as the STJ will have a warm nose layer.
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don
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The GFS shows light sleet and freezing rain all the way down to the Louisiana coast, interesting LOL.
dp6
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Note to Channel 11: Please teach your weather gal to stand to the far edge when showing the radar, not in the middle of the screen. I want to see the radar, not her.
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