October 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 11:39 am Getting a nice downpour now. I’d sent a radar snap but the image uploader is still broken.

I don’t waste my time with 3rd party sites because I can’t tell you how many of my old photo libraries and links eventually disappeared from Storm2K. So now I just upload them natively so they stay in the archives.
I've reached out to Andrew via text to check on the image upload problem. It isn't working for me either.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Stratton20
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Big fat goose egg up here, not a drop of rain, figures
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jasons2k
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srainhoutx wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 12:46 pm
jasons2k wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 11:39 am Getting a nice downpour now. I’d sent a radar snap but the image uploader is still broken.

I don’t waste my time with 3rd party sites because I can’t tell you how many of my old photo libraries and links eventually disappeared from Storm2K. So now I just upload them natively so they stay in the archives.
I've reached out to Andrew via text to check on the image upload problem. It isn't working for me either.
Thank you sir! It’s great to see you checking-in on us.

Approaching 3/4” for the day over here. Caught a glimpse of the puffy cloud tops in the approaching band - looks very tropical.
kyzsl51
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 12:45 pm Looks like I’m going to miss out on the rain again today. Still dry as a bone at my house.

And tomorrow doesn’t look all that promising for me either based on the HRRR. I might not get anything outta this. Hopefully something manages to make it here.
You must really love the rain lol...rainy days make me feel sad.
Cpv17
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kyzsl51 wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 3:54 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 12:45 pm Looks like I’m going to miss out on the rain again today. Still dry as a bone at my house.

And tomorrow doesn’t look all that promising for me either based on the HRRR. I might not get anything outta this. Hopefully something manages to make it here.
You must really love the rain lol...rainy days make me feel sad.
We need rain desperately where I live. Still in an exceptional drought.

And yes, I love the rain but mostly only heavy rain. Don’t care much for the light stuff. Heavy thunderstorms make me very happy and excited!
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 12:45 pm Looks like I’m going to miss out on the rain again today. Still dry as a bone at my house.

And tomorrow doesn’t look all that promising for me either based on the HRRR. I might not get anything outta this. Hopefully something manages to make it here.
Same here. Bust for today (a 70-80% heavy rain day). Only a tenth of rain yesterday.

Perhaps the EPAC moisture will come to the rescue early tomorrow am...but the arrival syncs with peak stability, so...
Stratton20
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Looks like the front arrives early in the morning, definitely not good if you are looking for heavy rain, stable air?
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 7:29 pm Looks like the front arrives early in the morning, definitely not good if you are looking for heavy rain, stable air?
Yep. That’s literally the worst possible time for rain.
Cromagnum
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May this be the start of a ridiculously long fall/winter that doesn't let up until June.
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jasons2k
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9:57 - The squall line with the front is pushing through the southern parts of the DFW metro area.

It’s still pretty intense with a tornado warning on the south side of Dallas, DeSoto, etc towards I-45. By the way, if anyone is from DFW you know that corridor by DeSoto, Ennis. etc. south of Dallas for some reason is a tornado magnet.

A lot of models showed it falling apart as it came into SE Texas. We’ll see.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:08 pm May this be the start of a ridiculously long fall/winter that doesn't let up until June.
I'll allow that. 8-)
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DoctorMu
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There's a chance - hopefully, the line won't split and we get a downpour not drizzle.

Image

Image
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don
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The HRRR has been consistently showing the line of storms holding together. And now most of the 0Z mesoscale models also agree with the HRRR.I'm personally not too concerned about the storm complex falling apart...

Image

Image
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DoctorMu
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Don - I was about to post meso pics. NAM has the weaker sauce, but the remainder show more consistent action. Either N or S of Hwy 1*5.

Image

Image


After this rain chances look low for a week with cooler, drier air filtering in.
Stratton20
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This was probably our last week in the 90’s, after this frontal passage and cool down, all i see is mid 80’s for highs for pretty much the long term barring anymore fronts, summer has officially met its demise!😁
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jasons2k
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FWIW I think we will get decent coverage from the line/MCS coming down. Much needed rainfall for those who missed out, especially up by B/CS.
Cromagnum
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What time are we thinking this hits Houston? Rush hour?
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sambucol
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 11:27 pm What time are we thinking this hits Houston? Rush hour?
That’s what I need to know!
Cpv17
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Well I’ve gotten .20” so far this week. Hoping I get 2” in the morning!
Pas_Bon
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 11:27 pm What time are we thinking this hits Houston? Rush hour?
Of course it will be rush hour. Lol
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