October 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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The ensembles are looking decent for rain as we enter October.
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don
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brazoriatx
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I'm going to San Antonio from the 6th to the 8th...am I going to get rained out?
Stratton20
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Thats a great outlook, and models are coming into better agreement on our first real fall front of the season in the same time frame, the days with 90’s for highs are becoming limited😄its coming
davidiowx
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 4:00 pm the days with 90’s for highs are becoming limited😄its coming
Good riddance!
Stratton20
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I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Cpv17
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I just want some rain, personally. Don’t really care for too much cooler air to come in. 60’s and 80’s would be fine with me. Anything colder than that and I might start getting sick.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 ill take 80’s for highs all day given the hell like weather we had to deal with , but this winter is definitely looking pretty cold around here, hopefully we get some more opportunities for snow down the road with a strong el nino
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 8:15 pm Cpv17 ill take 80’s for highs all day given the hell like weather we had to deal with , but this winter is definitely looking pretty cold around here, hopefully we get some more opportunities for snow down the road with a strong el nino
Oh heck yeah. I’d take a full blown blizzard lol that’s my ultimate weather fantasy!
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Ptarmigan
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 8:00 pm I just want some rain, personally. Don’t really care for too much cooler air to come in. 60’s and 80’s would be fine with me. Anything colder than that and I might start getting sick.
I will take that too. Certainly better than 90s and 100s.
mcheer23
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Also drenches the Houston area with 10 plus inches of rain from a pacific tropical system lol
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sambucol
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mcheer23 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:41 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Also drenches the Houston area with 10 plus inches of rain from a pacific tropical system lol
When is that showing for our area?
Stratton20
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mcheer23 that would be nice, though its not too crazy usually october is when we start to get those recurving pacific systems spreading moisture into texas
Cpv17
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sambucol wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:44 pm
mcheer23 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:41 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 7:46 pm I like that 18z GEFS, keeps us cooler than normal for quite some time, changes are definitely coming
Also drenches the Houston area with 10 plus inches of rain from a pacific tropical system lol
When is that showing for our area?
Around October 12th. Beautiful sight! What I would give for that to happen lol
Cpv17
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Ensembles continue to look good for some rain! 🤞
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snowman65
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Are we getting an El Lucy around the 7th?? Sure looks like it this morning.
Cpv17
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snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 29, 2023 7:47 am Are we getting an El Lucy around the 7th?? Sure looks like it this morning.
I wouldn’t say that because there was never really any forecast that actually bit into that hype. Most forecasts have mid to upper 60’s lows and mid to upper 80’s highs during that timeframe.
Stratton20
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CMC is very bullish with our fall front, GFS decent as well, GFS also showing signs of pacific systems starting to recurve , which could spread moisture over the state in the coming weeks
Stratton20
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18z GFS has highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s on friday and also keeps rain lingering behind the frontal passage
Pas_Bon
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Forecast for next weekend keeps dropping the temps. 😍
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