2023 Hurricane Season Discussion

[Stratton20]

Just jaw dropping to see those temps, someone could get rocked potentially

[Cpv17]

Just jaw dropping to see those temps, someones going to get rocked along the gulf coast

Some of those temps are already off the scale. They would literally have to make a new color and add 33°C to keep up. Under ideal conditions, you could get a 200mph storm with sub 900mb in there with those types of waters.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 thats like ultra doomsday scenario, i cant even imagine the damage that kind of a hurricane could do

[Stratton20]

Looks like the operational 00z Euro has a developing system in the caribbean in about 8-10 days, hmmm

[sambucol]

Just jaw dropping to see those temps, someones going to get rocked along the gulf coast

Some of those temps are already off the scale. They would literally have to make a new color and add 33°C to keep up. Under ideal conditions, you could get a 200mph storm with sub 900mb in there with those types of waters.

Let’s pray that does not happen.

[Stratton20]

Very interesting 12z Euro run, caribbean cruiser strengthening into a tropical storm and approaching the Yucatan channel, weakness in ridge over texas…

[Cpv17]

Very interesting 12z Euro run, caribbean cruiser strengthening into a tropical storm and approaching the Yucatan channel, weakness in ridge over texas…

It’s pretty weak on the Euro but being that the Euro actually has something to even begin with is interesting because it’s usually conservative. It does kinda look like it could just cross over into the EPAC instead of go towards the Gulf on that run, though. Maybe something to watch. I’m more interested in seeing the 12z EPS. Way more interested, actually.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 ive been noticing the EPS keeps trying to recurve this, not sure I buy it given it looks like the bermuda high will be strengthening

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 ive been noticing the EPS keeps trying to recurve this, not sure I buy it given it looks like the bermuda high will be strengthening

Bruh the EPS is literally trying to turn everything north as soon as it forms. It has a gazillion fish storms.

I’m just interested to see how many members actually develop this potential system.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 12z EPS, … less members recurving now, and even a strong signal at hour 192-216 for something else in the gulf

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 12z EPS, … less members recurving now, and even a strong signal at hour 192-216 for something else in the gulf

I haven’t seen it yet. The 12z EPS doesn’t usually finish running till about 5pm isshhh on Tropical Tidbits. Weather Nerds is ok but I prefer TT.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 I use weatherbell, but its definitely trended towards less recurving, more members south of the islands continuing west in caribbean

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 I use weatherbell, but its definitely trended towards less recurving, more members south of the islands continuing west in caribbean

Gotcha. Yeah I’m pretty sure that’s a paid site. I’ll pass lol

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 yeah its 26$ a month, definitely expensive but gives excess to all models, ensembles, weeklies, etc, its cery useful, but tropical tidbits is definitely great as well

[Stratton20]

Yikes im seeing a few 33 celcius readings starting to show up in the gulf thats about 91-92 degrees

[Cpv17]

Looks like the UKMET has joined the party.

[Scott747]

Yikes im seeing a few 33 celcius readings starting to show up in the gulf thats about 91-92 degrees

What does that mean?

[Stratton20]

Scott747 Just more fuel for a storm to work with, still incredible to see the gulf is still warming, 33 celsius is something else

[Cpv17]

Scott747 Just more fuel for a storm to work with, still incredible to see the gulf is still warming, 33 celsius is something else

Scott knows what it means. He has years upon years of experience with hurricanes. Probably knows more than anyone on this board about the tropics. I believe he’s just jacking with ya.

[sambucol]

Looks like the UKMET has joined the party.

Which party are you talking about? Inquiring minds want to know