Bring it here - we still have DPs in the 70s and the heat index is 114°F.
July 2023
It could actually be worse - Heat Index in Wichita Falls of 120°F. We came back from a Colorado trip years ago and cleared the dry line before Wichita Falls. The hottest air (heat index) I can remember. It had to be > 120°F HI. It felt like a wet furnace.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4250
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
I dont see much relief from this heat wave anytime soon, with maybe the 21-23rd being the only window for rain as models showing a trough digging down from the northern. us, erroding the death ridge temporarily for a couple of days, i hope we get a tropical system or two in august, im done with this heat
-
captainbarbossa19
- Posts: 401
- Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:50 pm
- Location: Starkville, MS
- Contact:
More than likely, the models are not going to pick up well in advance of any pattern changes. They usually happen in the medium to short time range for models. Long-range is more likely to show a continuation of a stagnant pattern from model biases.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4250
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Ensembles and operational models are in agreement that around the 23rd or so we should finally begin to see some changes that may allow for more daily scattered storms and a little less heat, fingers massively crossed this pattern change verifies
Yep. That has been my target date for the past couple days.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jul 15, 2023 12:37 am Ensembles and operational models are in agreement that around the 23rd or so we should finally begin to see some changes that may allow for more daily scattered storms and a little less heat, fingers massively crossed this pattern change verifies
12z GFS looks good for rain on the 23rd and 24th.
-
captainbarbossa19
- Posts: 401
- Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:50 pm
- Location: Starkville, MS
- Contact:
It would be interesting if we start seeing troughing heading into August. The door could potentially open up if the ridge starts shifting away/breaking down. Sometimes the "death ridge" is nowhere around when tropical trouble threatens. For example, temperatures were quite hot prior to Galveston 1900.
Been seeing this for a while. The weakness in the ridge. The DR tries to restrengthen after the 23-25th, but remains to our south as not as strong. Still, more suckitude.
The good news today is that the DP has sagged into the upper 60s in CLL. It's still over 100°F, but the heat Index is 105°F instead of 115°F. So we have that going for us.
I have some gigantic bur oak trees and they are losing some leaves now. Think this heat is getting to them 
I just watered and vitaminized our trees in the front. It's twice a week - 10 gal apiece + normal sprinkler action until it rains - which usually means Football Season in Aggieland!
42 days - can we make it?
The ridge starts breaking down late in the month and the GOM is open for business. Be careful what we wish for.
GFS is starting the bidding early as usual.
GFS is starting the bidding early as usual.
Today could be the hottest day of the year so far. 103°F yesterday.
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Sat Jul 15, 2023 4:43 pmBeen seeing this for a while. The weakness in the ridge. The DR tries to restrengthen after the 23-25th, but remains to our south as not as strong. Still, more suckitude.
The good news today is that the DP has sagged into the upper 60s in CLL. It's still over 100°F, but the heat Index is 105°F instead of 115°F. So we have that going for us.
What does CLL stand for, please?
102 actual imby right now.
103°F here for the high today. By far the hottest day of the year.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 4250
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
101 here
fingers crossed for some relief soon!
fingers crossed for some relief soon!