July 2023

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
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Hope folks get lucky with the last 10-20% chance today. We may not get squat for awhile after this.
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tireman4
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 101133
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
633 AM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

Spotty convection over NTX is continuing to slowly build south this
morning and based on its current trajectory...some of this activity
could clip our northern counties (Houston/Trinity) through sunrise.
While model trends have been consistent with the idea of shortwaves
(and its associated convection) moving down the increasingly NW flow
aloft over the region, there have been discrepancies with the track
of this activity amd how much it could impact our CWA. As it stands
currently, SE TX appears to be just on the western edge of the best
track. As such, we can`t really rule out POPs for the NE/E parts of
our CWA today, tonight or even early tomorrow. But, while POPs will
be low (~20%), the associated cloud cover/outflows could have an im-
pact on heat index values this afternoon (see below).

Will be continuing with the Heat Advisory across much of SE TX to-
day. Heat indicies are forecast to range from 106-111F through the
afternoon...likely peaking just ahead of the seabreeze for coastal
and near coastal areas. Isolated activity remain possible with the
seabreeze and perhaps with lingering outflow boundaries from those
overnight storms to our north...but most locations will remain dry.
Any development should end by this evening with the loss of daytime
heating. Tomorrow is expected to be a near copy of today given this
pattern. 41

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

Center of strong mid-upper ridging over the Desert Southwest, West
Texas and northern Mexico will slowly migrate toward CA later in
the week...then drift back eastward over the weekend and early next
week. Problem is it`ll slightly strengthen with time and heights
& sensible wx should remain nearly unchanged locally. So...more
of the same heat and very low (if any) chances of rain. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

MVFR ceilings this morning should be lifting by mid/late morning. For
the northern terminals, have been watching the scattered activity try-
ing to move down from NTX. Not expecting much or any of this to reach
these sites at this time, but there`s an outside chance that outflows
from the overnight storms could have an impact this afternoon. Closer
to the coast, the seabreeze will be moving inland with isolated SHRA/
STRA possible through the afternoon. With very low confidence regard-
ing where/when precipitation will form, will keep the mention of this
out of the TAFs for now. Otherwise, VFR for much of the day. A return
of MVFR ceilings is expected tonight. 41

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 302 AM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

Typical summertime wx pattern with light to moderate onshore winds
(highest at night offshore & during the day in the bays) with
associated 2-4ft seas. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 100 79 101 77 / 10 10 10 10
Houston (IAH) 98 80 98 79 / 20 10 20 10
Galveston (GLS) 91 82 92 82 / 10 10 10 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ176-195>198-
210>212-226-227-235>237-335>337-436.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening
for TXZ199-200-213-214-238-300-313-338-438-439.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....47
AVIATION...41
MARINE...47
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MontgomeryCoWx
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 11:06 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 9:13 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 7:32 pm DoctorMu 48 days until we go 8-4 again lol😁😂
I’ll be at a few of yalls games this year. Yalls running back Rueben Owens is from my high school and I saw almost all of his high school games so I wanna watch him in college too. But I really don’t expect much from A&M as long as Dumbo remains the head coach there. Definitely need to buyout that contract.
One more 5-7 season would do that.

TAMU's best coach is leading Duke. Mike Elko wasn't that far from a 10 win season last year.

If by some miracle Clemson is asleep enough (another slow start) to let the Blue Devils take the opener in Durham, then why not run the table in a mediocre ACC? We're not just a basketball school any more. 8-)
If he proves his worth, we’ll just come take him back if Petrino isn’t the answer to the offense.
Team #NeverSummer
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:59 am
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 11:06 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 9:13 pm

I’ll be at a few of yalls games this year. Yalls running back Rueben Owens is from my high school and I saw almost all of his high school games so I wanna watch him in college too. But I really don’t expect much from A&M as long as Dumbo remains the head coach there. Definitely need to buyout that contract.
One more 5-7 season would do that.

TAMU's best coach is leading Duke. Mike Elko wasn't that far from a 10 win season last year.

If by some miracle Clemson is asleep enough (another slow start) to let the Blue Devils take the opener in Durham, then why not run the table in a mediocre ACC? We're not just a basketball school any more. 8-)
If he proves his worth, we’ll just come take him back if Petrino isn’t the answer to the offense.

If Duke wins the ACC this year and A&M hires Elko for next season, that would be the best of both worlds. Johns is a really good QB coach/OC. He's developed Riley Leonard into a potential first round NFL pick is just one season.

Elko is a great combination of old school and new school. Hard work. Stop the run first. But allows a lot of flexibility on offense.

Dumbo's offense is incredibly predictable. It's so...15-20 years ago. I'm not sure Petrino's lean toward a high octane offensive scheme can save it.

The irony is that Saban saw JFF twice and got it - he had to make a change on offense and did.
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DoctorMu
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The ridge will remain just to our south and weakens late in the 2 week prog period.
Stratton20
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Yep, definitely a more encouraging setup compared to june, ill take those daily chances for afternoon storms!
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DoctorMu
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
300 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

A mid to upper level ridge currently situated over Western
TX/Southern New Mexico should dominate the weather pattern over the
next several days. Onshore flow should provide a steady supply of
moisture across the region, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s
to lower 80s. 850mb temperatures should range from 20-24C, with
southwesterly flow aiming to further enhance afternoon heating. This
should put Tuesday`s highs in the upper 90s to lower 100s inland and
mid to lower 90s near the coast. Peak Heat indices for Tuesday
afternoon should range between 107-112 degrees. With this dangerous
heat expected to continue, all of southeast Texas will be under a
heat advisory until 9 PM Wednesday.

With Southeast Texas positioned on the peripheral of the
aforementioned upper level ridge, subsidence remains weak, reflected
in weak capping in forecast soundings. PWs still range between 1.5-
2.0" at times, which should be sufficient for developing scattered
to isolated storms. The sea breeze could initiate some showers/storm
development in areas along and south of I-10 Tuesday afternoon,
though CAMs are less optimistic on this prospect. However, high
resolution models do show a shortwave trough passing through our
northwestern counties Tuesday Afternoon/Evening, closer to the Lake
Livingston/Piney Woods area. This feature should provide a much more
substantial source of lift, allowing these storms to tap into the
ample instability present. MU CAPE is progged to exceed 2500 J/KG at
times with steep lapse rates present in the lower levels. With this
in mind, there is a marginal (level 1/5) risk of these storms
producing damaging wind gusts. This risk is still contingent on the
position of the aforementioned shortwave trough. If this feature
develops further NE than anticipated, then the risk of severe
weather would be substantially lessened.


With Heat Advisories in effect, heat safety should be practiced
whenever possible. Drink plenty of fluids and avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day. Wear
lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. Stay in an air-
conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and
neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended
in vehicles under any circumstances. Know the signs and symptoms of
heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Check with your local authorities
regarding the potential opening of any cooling centers in your area.

Heat is the #1 weather-related killer in the U.S. each year. Do not
underestimate the danger it poses.

03

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

The prevailing midlevel ridge will gradually shift to the west by
mid-week, but will also strengthen resulting in a slight increase
to 500mb height values by Wednesday. With the mid/upper pattern
overhead subsequently becoming more zonal and shortwave activity
in the area decreasing, rainfall chances will generally diminish
through at least the early part of the weekend. Diurnal convection
will concurrently be suppressed by the presence of a subsidence
inversion, and in in general PoP values remain near zero as a
result.

The main concern in the extended period continues to be the
potential for excessive heat, with a steady onshore moisture
transport continuing to contribute to elevated apparent
temperatures. The Heat Advisory previously in effect has been
extended through at least Wednesday, and will likely need to be
further extended moving forward through at least the end of the
week as peak Heat Index values reach up to 110. Temperatures
remain largely a persistence forecast with daily high temperature
values peaking in the upper 90s to near 100 and overnight lows in
the upper 70s to lower 80s. Heat safety precautions will remain
vital during this time.

Cady

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

Southwesterly winds will become southeasterly late this
afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop along
the sea breeze during this time frame, mainly near the I-10
corridor. Rain chances taper off this evening as winds become
southwesterly overnight. MVFR CIGS should develop across the
region during the early morning hours of Tuesday. CIGS should
scatter and lift by late Tuesday morning with VFR conditions
prevailing throughout the day.

03

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 213 PM CDT Mon Jul 10 2023

Little change is expected to the current pattern for the time
being, with light onshore flow and seas of 2-4 feet remaining in
the forecast through the end of the week and into the weekend.
There will be a chance for additional shower and storm development
through tomorrow evening, with rain chances diminishing
thereafter. Wind speeds may at time approach caution thresholds,
but are unlikely to exceed them for an extended period of time.

Cady

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 79 100 78 101 / 10 10 0 0
Houston (IAH) 80 99 80 99 / 10 20 10 0
Galveston (GLS) 82 92 82 92 / 10 10 0 10
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DoctorMu
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The models and mesos are picking up the s/w trough tomorrow afternoon/evening. It should be a feature that slides on the east side of I-45.

But hoping CLL gets lucky tomorrow before the sun sets... (meaning Beaumont will be blasted again ;) )
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jasons2k
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:59 am
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 11:06 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jul 09, 2023 9:13 pm

I’ll be at a few of yalls games this year. Yalls running back Rueben Owens is from my high school and I saw almost all of his high school games so I wanna watch him in college too. But I really don’t expect much from A&M as long as Dumbo remains the head coach there. Definitely need to buyout that contract.
One more 5-7 season would do that.

TAMU's best coach is leading Duke. Mike Elko wasn't that far from a 10 win season last year.

If by some miracle Clemson is asleep enough (another slow start) to let the Blue Devils take the opener in Durham, then why not run the table in a mediocre ACC? We're not just a basketball school any more. 8-)
If he proves his worth, we’ll just come take him back if Petrino isn’t the answer to the offense.
I’m glad I watered today. That’s all I can say.
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jasons2k
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Just an observation: I have seen hardly any crane flies this year. Practically zero.
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tireman4
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FXUS64 KHGX 111135
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
635 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 438 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

For the most part, dry hot weather will be continuing across SE TX
the next few days (and most likely through the rest of the week).

As such, will be keeping the Heat Advisory in place for the entire
CWA today and tomorrow...as heat index values approach 110F across
parts of the area. This pattern, courtesy of the strong broad mid/
upper ridge situated around Far West TX, is not progged to move a
lot from this general location these next several days. And due
to this, SE TX appears to remain just on the periphery of any/all
activity initiated by shortwaves moving down the NW flow aloft.
Short term guidance has not been handling this all too well with
some of the models indicating decent shots of rain while other
keep things dry. Based on the trends of the last couple of days,
we seem to be on the dry side of things and have kept the best
POPs (albeit 20%) along the our eastern borders for now. But,
still can`t rule out a shower or two with the seabreeze. 41

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 438 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

Surface high pressure over the Gulf will keep humid, hot air pumping
into the region while a midlevel ridge over West Texas will keep
subsidence and higher heights across the area. These two features
will work together to keep the hot, humid, mostly-rain free
conditions in place over SE Texas through the long term period. The
midlevel ridge will become more centered over the Great Basin period
by the start of next week, but looks to be strengthening at the same
time, so we likely will continue to see the dry conditions persist
(though maybe better chances for some afternoon coastal showers and
storms).

High temperatures through midweek next week will be in the upper 90s
into the lower 100s for most inland locations while coastal regions
will stay in the low to mid 90s. Overnight lows will be in the upper
70s to low 80s (mid 80s along the immediate coast). Afternoon heat
indices will be in the 107-111 range through the start of next week,
so Heat Advisories will likely continue.

Fowler

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

Not a lot of changes with the overall TAF trends with this package as
VFR conditions prevail during the day and MVFR ceilings overnight. We
could see an isolated storm or two along/near the seabreeze, but will
likely be sparse enough to not add any mention at this time. 41

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 438 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

Light onshore flow with occasionally more moderate speeds during the
overnight hours will continue through the weekend with seas
remaining between two to four feet. The persist onshore flow has
led to a high risk of strong rip currents along Gulf facing
beaches. There may be some isolated shower and thunderstorm
activity in the afternoon/evening hours through the end of the
week.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 101 78 101 79 / 10 10 0 0
Houston (IAH) 100 80 98 80 / 10 10 10 0
Galveston (GLS) 91 82 91 82 / 10 10 10 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ163-164-176>179-
195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...41
MARINE...Fowler
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DoctorMu
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Storms to our north are crashing and burning as they reach Hwy 70.

I watered last night big time.

I've just about given up on additional rain until late July, maybe late August. Ensembles and models are as nearly as bleak as an 1883 episode. 8-)

We could get a surprise, but the dog days are settling in.
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tireman4
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 112003
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
303 PM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

The short term forecast is, by in large, persistence based. A mid to
upper level ridge remains situated over Western TX/Southern New
Mexico. This feature will continue to dominate the weather pattern,
suppressing rain chances over the next several days. Onshore flow
should provide a steady supply of moisture across the region,
keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to lower 80s. 850mb
temperatures range between 20-24C, with southwesterly flow still
aiming to further enhance afternoon heating. Wednesday`s highs
should (once again) be in the upper 90s to lower 100s inland and mid
to lower 90s near the coast. Peak Heat indices for Wednesday
afternoon should range between 108-112 degrees. With this dangerous
heat expected to continue, all of southeast Texas will be under a
heat advisory until 9 PM Wednesday.

With Heat Advisories in effect, heat safety should be practiced
whenever possible. Drink plenty of fluids and avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day. Wear
lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. Stay in an air-
conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and
neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended
in vehicles under any circumstances. Know the signs and symptoms of
heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Check with your local authorities
regarding the potential opening of any cooling centers in your area.

Heat is the #1 weather-related killer in the U.S. each year. Do not
underestimate the danger it poses.

03

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

In general, we remain in a persistent pattern dominated by the
presence of a strong ridge aloft through the extended period which
will allow for the unseasonably hot and humid conditions of late
to continue for the foreseeable future. Global models remain in
good agreement in indicating a generally zonal midlevel flow
through the middle of the weekend, with a lack of large scale
forcing and a persistent subsidence inversion aloft inhibiting the
development of convection. Given this, along with a steady
southerly flow at the surface that will provide ample near-surface
moisture, elevated heat index values remain the primary forecast
concern.

High temperatures remain mostly a persistence forecast, with
daytime highs reaching the mid 90s to around 100 inland and the
lower to mid 90s along the immediate coast. This, combined with
elevated dew points in the mid to upper 70s, will produce daily
maximum heat index values as high as 112. Given this, heat safety
actions will remain highly important, particularly if your plans
involve any outdoor activities.

The emergence of a midlevel low over the northern CONUS, along
with a strengthening of the prevailing ridge in the Desert
Southwest, will open up the potential for some shortwaves to
approach the area by the early part of next week and potentially
trigger some scattered convection. That being said, it remains
quite early to say this confidently at this time.

Cady

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

Light southwesterly winds will become south/southeasterly late
this afternoon with the sea breeze. Thunderstorm chances will be
greatest in and around the Lake Livingston Area (near KUTS) this
afternoon, though activity will be isolated at most. Winds become
southwesterly again this evening with MVFR CIGS developing during
the early morning hours of Wednesday. CIGS should scatter and
lift late Wednesday morning with VFR conditions prevailing
throughout the day.

03

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 236 PM CDT Tue Jul 11 2023

The typical summertime pattern of late will prevail for the
foreseeable future, with light to moderate south winds and seas of
around 2-4 feet remaining in the forecast. Winds may potentially
reach caution thresholds for brief periods of time, but an
extended period of cautions and/or advisories is not anticipated
for now. An isolated storm or two is possible for the remainder of
the day and into tonight, but rain chances will diminish from
tomorrow forward through the rest of the week.

Cady

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 79 102 79 101 / 10 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 81 100 81 100 / 20 10 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 82 91 82 91 / 20 10 10 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ163-164-176>179-
195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....Cady
AVIATION...03
MARINE...Cady
Stratton20
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The rest of july is looking very dry, i have to concur with DoctorMu, i dont see any reasonable widespread rain opportunities in any guidance any time soon, probably wont be until the end of july and early august where things could change, but until then we are stuck with this miserable heat ridging pattern
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tireman4
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 121128
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
628 AM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

Mid to upper level ridge situated over New Mexico and Western
Texas will continue to dominate the weather pattern over
Southeast Texas. Rain chances will remain limited as subsidence
persists and temperatures will remain very hot. The high
temperatures for today will be in the upper 90s to low 100s inland
and in the low to mid 90s along the coasts. Heat indices this
afternoon will peak at 109 to 112 degrees F for much of Southeast
Texas, however, there are several locations along the central
regions of Southeast Texas that may experience heat indices of 113
to 115 degrees F. For that reason, some of our central counties
were upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning while the rest of
Southeast Texas remains under a Heat Advisory. Some locations may
have gusty winds and this is in response to an 850MB low level jet
that is to move across our local area today into tonight. Although
a little breezy, warm and muggy conditions expected tonight into
Thursday morning with lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Thursday`s
high temperatures will be similar to today`s...slightly drier air
is expected and may allow for heat indices to stay below
Excessive Heat Warning criteria. Thus, a Heat Advisory is in place
for all of Southeast Texas for Thursday.

These are dangerous heat conditions, thus, please continue to
practice heat safety. Make the appropriate adjustments if you plan
to work or spend time outdoors. Remember to hydrate often, wear
loose fitting and light clothing, stay in the shade or cool off in
an air conditioned building, and wear sunscreen. Never leave
children or pets unattended in vehicles. If the ground is too hot
for your hands, then it is too hot for their paws.

Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke.
Check with your local authorities regarding the potential opening
of any cooling centers in your area.

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 325 AM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

Southeast Texas will continue under the influence of high pressure
along the mid to upper levels. Unfortunately, it means that the
scorching heat will continue for us. From Friday through
Tuesday, the high temperatures will remain in the upper 90s to low
100s range inland and in the low to mid 90s along the coasts. Heat
indices of 106 to 112 degrees F can be expected each day, which
means that Heat Advisories could be in effect through at least
the end of the forecast period. Expect warm and humid conditions
at night with low temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Little to no rainfall is expected for the next several days.
There might be a chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms on
Sunday into Monday as a few weak upper level shortwaves move
across the region. We will have to see if it will be enough to
surpass the mid level subsidence. For now, continued with PoPs of
15-20% mainly for areas east of I-45 and locations near Galveston
Bay.

With the dangerous heat conditions persisting, please continue to
practice heat safety.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 619 AM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

VFR conditions expected today. Winds will be S-SW this morning and
S-SE this afternoon at 10-15 KTS with possible gusts of 20-25 KTS
in response to an 850MB llvl jet that is to move across SE TX
today into tonight. Winds will start to relax tonight but may stay
elevated and gusty for some sites through early Wed morning. Lower
cigs could develop early Wed morning, but are expected to stay
MVFR to VFR.

24

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 325 AM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

The summertime pattern will continue through much of the forecast
period with winds increasing to 10-15 knots at night and relaxing
to 5-10 knots during the afternoons. Seas will be at 2 to 4 feet.
Slight rain chances are possible Sunday into early next week.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 102 79 102 78 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 100 80 100 80 / 10 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 92 83 92 82 / 10 0 10 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 10 PM CDT Thursday for TXZ163-164-176>179-
195>199-335>337-436>439.

Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ200-
210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-338.

Heat Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 PM CDT Thursday for
TXZ200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-338.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...24
MARINE...24
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jasons2k
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Have to run at dawn or it’s too hot. Could have filled a bucket with my sweat this morning. Felt very cleansed after the re-hydration and cooldown, so not all bad. Better than freezing.
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DoctorMu
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Late in the month, I'm seeing signs of monsoon season beginning for AZ and NM. Good for them, not as much for us initially, as the ridge in the southwest breaks down, and on one of the ensembles and GFS the ridge in the Golf could dissipate. If that happens, we'll need to keep our eyes on the tropics during August, which is not unusual.

At this point Houston is seeing College Station's usually dog days, and CLL is seeing Dallas' dog days with temps > 100°F daily.

My main issue right now is that we haven't seen a reduction in DP temps from the mid 70s (high 70s in HOU), so that the heat index is ridiculous during the day, and just too humid in the am. I'm afraid I'd rather have freezing temps and layers.
brazoriatx
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Besides the boring weather. I have some kinda good news lol. My dad bought 20 acres in gore oklahoma! So I'll have a chance to see some snow..eventually when I inherite it lol..anyone know where I can find the snowfall totals for this place?
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tireman4
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.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023

Conditions will remain within VFR thresholds for the remainder of
the afternoon and into the early evening, with SSW winds of
around 10-15 knots shifting slightly to the S as the sea breeze
advances inland. Wind gusts as high as 25 knots may be possible
at all terminals. Tonight, we will likely see widespread MVFR cig
development after sunset as has been the case for the past several
nights. Winds will relax slightly, but should remain high enough
to inhibit fog development. VFR conditions return after sunrise
tomorrow morning.

Cady
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captainbarbossa19
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Location: Starkville, MS
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I wish I could send this rain in Mississippi to Texas. It has been raining here almost every day and rained several inches today alone.
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