December 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
brazoriatx
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From Travis on fb

Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings.

It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be wintry precip on Christmas weekend.

More on that later.

Full Forecast: abc13.com/forecast

Dont know where is is getting his small but legit chance at precip...looking like it's dry
txsnowmaker
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:33 pm From Travis on fb

Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings.

It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be wintry precip on Christmas weekend.

More on that later.

Full Forecast: abc13.com/forecast

Dont know where is is getting his small but legit chance at precip...looking like it's dry
I don’t know either, but he’s a respected on-air met so it’s significant to me.
Cpv17
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I definitely wouldn’t give up on precip yet. Still about a week out. Things could and probably will change at this range.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:33 pm From Travis on fb

Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings.

It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be wintry precip on Christmas weekend.

More on that later.

Full Forecast: abc13.com/forecast

Dont know where is is getting his small but legit chance at precip...looking like it's dry
Vorticity maps are picking up on what could be a ULL when the cold is in place
Team #NeverSummer
brazoriatx
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What are the chances of us getting a warm nose with this? It almost usually happens and gives us ice instead of snow
Stratton20
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18z GFS has finally come to it senses and has trended colder, if we can get an ULL to develop we are in business
txsnowmaker
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brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:50 pm What are the chances of us getting a warm nose with this? It almost usually happens and gives us ice instead of snow
A lot less than usual with the cold air mass already here.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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850s are cold.
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sambucol
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:59 pm 850s are cold.
Teens?
Cpv17
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I wouldn’t be worried about ice with an ULL with a Siberian airmass in place.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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sambucol wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 5:01 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:59 pm 850s are cold.
Teens?
20s
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Stormlover2020
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Usually it’s always colder then what models show with these air masses
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:31 pm 14 inches in Charlotte. Holy Hell!
20-25 inches in RDU.
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DoctorMu
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:36 pm Just in from the CPC, HIGH risk includes all of SE Texas, winter is coming with a fury folks, buckle up🥶🥶🥶
That is VAST! The Siberian Express is on the way.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:38 pm The CPC has placed almost the entire state of Texas under a high risk for much below normal temps. The last time this happened was Feb 21. It’s going to get cold. Very cold. And the winds are supposed to be gusting 40-60mph. Imagine the wind chills.
Yes, I've seen the winds could be that high behind the front.

That would be single digit wind chills during the day. Be prepared to batten down the front yard X-mas decorations.

For CLL part of the cold conditions were a snow pack all the way from Canada to Navasota and Hwy 1*5.
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DoctorMu
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txsnowmaker wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:43 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:33 pm From Travis on fb

Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings.

It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be wintry precip on Christmas weekend.

More on that later.

Full Forecast: abc13.com/forecast

Dont know where is is getting his small but legit chance at precip...looking like it's dry
I don’t know either, but he’s a respected on-air met so it’s significant to me.
Huge. They usually wait until within 3-5 days.
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:48 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:33 pm From Travis on fb

Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings.

It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be wintry precip on Christmas weekend.

More on that later.

Full Forecast: abc13.com/forecast

Dont know where is is getting his small but legit chance at precip...looking like it's dry
Vorticity maps are picking up on what could be a ULL when the cold is in place
Yes - I posted that earlier.

To sleep, perchance to dream.

If it does snow with the 40+ mph wind, we'd have unbelievable blizzard conditions. The Christmas Eve snow in 2004 had barely a whisper of a breeze.
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DoctorMu
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DoctorMu wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 5:46 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:48 pm
brazoriatx wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:33 pm From Travis on fb

Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings.

It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be wintry precip on Christmas weekend.

More on that later.

Full Forecast: abc13.com/forecast

Dont know where is is getting his small but legit chance at precip...looking like it's dry
Vorticity maps are picking up on what could be a ULL when the cold is in place
Yes - I posted that earlier.

To sleep, perchance to dream.

If it does snow with the 40+ mph wind, we'd have unbelievable blizzard conditions. The Christmas Eve snow in 2004 had barely a whisper of a breeze.
EPS has picked up the 500mb vorticity as well.
Stratton20
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Travis herzog said they have a 20% chance of precipitation on christmas day due to a disturbance moving in behind the front, hmmmm👀👀❄️🤞
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Dec 15, 2022 5:51 pm Travis herzog said they have a 20% chance of precipitation on christmas day due to a disturbance moving in behind the front, hmmmm👀👀❄️🤞
Awesome! Also, there’s a lot of time for this to trend in the right direction!
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