December 2022

[DoctorMu]

I know all of the attention will be on the possibility of cold weather and frozen precipitation over the next few weeks over the state. But I just wanted to point out how we've had some close calls with severe weather/tornado potential here in SE Texas over the past several weeks. Tuesday appears yet another close call for the area, but it appears the forcing will be too far away from the region for this potential to manifest into reality. After Tuesday, all attention turns towards winter weather possibilities. However, at some point in late Winter or early Spring, depending on the overall weather pattern, we may have to revisit the possibility of severe weather in our region again. The below HRRR sounding is a good example of just how close we were to a more significant severe weather episode across the area.


HRRR 12.12.2012 00Z RUN - VALID AT 12.13.2022 16Z.png

Tuesday in LA and MS could be a problem

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I hope this isn’t true, but I’m reading reports Mike Leach has passed, or will shortly.

Really, really appreciated him and his humor.

[Stratton20]

Wait WHAT! I really hope thats not true at all about Leach, man had the funniest interviews ever

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Sounds like he has coded twice.

[869MB]

I know all of the attention will be on the possibility of cold weather and frozen precipitation over the next few weeks over the state. But I just wanted to point out how we've had some close calls with severe weather/tornado potential here in SE Texas over the past several weeks. Tuesday appears yet another close call for the area, but it appears the forcing will be too far away from the region for this potential to manifest into reality. After Tuesday, all attention turns towards winter weather possibilities. However, at some point in late Winter or early Spring, depending on the overall weather pattern, we may have to revisit the possibility of severe weather in our region again. The below HRRR sounding is a good example of just how close we were to a more significant severe weather episode across the area.


HRRR 12.12.2012 00Z RUN - VALID AT 12.13.2022 16Z.png

Tuesday in LA and MS could be a problem

Yes indeed. Hopefully, the storm mode remains more linear with fewer discrete cells over that region.

[Stratton20]

00z GFS has a stronger gulf low at hour 144 and is down right stupid cold on christmas lol

[Cpv17]

00z GFS has a stronger gulf low at hour 144 and is down right stupid cold on christmas lol

I don’t think the operationals are realizing the true potential of this yet. Maybe in about another 4-6 days we’ll get a better idea.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 I fully agree considering this cold air source is coming straight from Siberia

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 I fully agree considering this cold air source is coming straight from Siberia

Yeah, exactly. Siberia is one of, if not the coldest place in the world along with probably Greenland and Antartica. With the ridging extending poleward, I could definitely see the jet stream capturing a big piece of that air.

[sambucol]

Won’t be surprised if faucet covers and pipe insulation will be sold out by the end of this week in Texas!

[user:null]

I’ve been away for awhile. I’m back and enjoying the last bit of warm weather for awhile it seems. Christmas period could get interesting.

I haven't been active awhile, but noticed from the November thread that you shifted to the Hawaii option compared to the previous Florida.

[DoctorMu]

Sounds like he has coded twice.

I hope he makes it. The Pirate is a legend!

[brazoriatx]

Oh Joe b is teasing us...


Euro control run with an I-10 snow next week. Has not snowed before Christmas since 2004 in these areas ( Widespread coastal Texas White Christmas)

[vci_guy2003]

Next week? I thought the arctic dump was going to be Christmas Day and days after.

[Cpv17]

Next week? I thought the arctic dump was going to be Christmas Day and days after.

It’ll be cold before and after Christmas.

[brazoriatx]

Next week? I thought the arctic dump was going to be Christmas Day and days after.

It probably won't happen tho..so take it with a grain of salt

[Cpv17]

Next week? I thought the arctic dump was going to be Christmas Day and days after.

It probably won't happen tho..so take it with a grain of salt

That’s always the smart approach this far out. Get it within 5 days then it might be more likely.

[brazoriatx]

Thundersleet done called wxma 57 out...
Lol lawd have mercy

[Cpv17]

57 won’t change his tune till he’s 100% certain that cold is coming. He’s holding onto any hope that it’ll remain warm. He absolutely hates anything below 70°.

[Cromagnum]

I never understood that guy. People who love hot and humid weather year-round are not normal.