December 2022

[Cpv17]

Cpv17, yes. I know. Just wondering what the models were showing temp wise that Montgomery was talking about.

As of right now I would say with about 60% confidence that temps will be below average. How far below is anyone’s guess.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Cpv17, yes. I know. Just wondering what the models were showing temp wise that Montgomery was talking about.

From 240 hours onward (on the GFS) we are average to 15-20 below (during the day) and 10 below at night.

It’s impossible to project how cold Christmas week will end up.

[Cpv17]

18z GFS looks much better now at the 500mb level beginning in about 9-10 days.

The 18z GEFS still doesn’t look that great but it did improve from 12z.

The 12z EPS looks pretty good but could still improve.

[DoctorMu]

This would be nice in 10 days.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I’ll allow it

[Stratton20]

You love to see that bright purple! I need an excuse to break oit the hot chocolate again

[Cpv17]

You love to see that bright purple! I need an excuse to break oit the hot chocolate again

I prefer the pinkish white colors

Magenta is a beautiful color! Lol

[Stratton20]

00z Euro is amazing!

[Cpv17]

00z Euro is amazing!

0z EPS is looking pretty good too. Definitely better than the GEFS.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

12z Euro goes colder than 0z and unloads right down the middle of the country to us.

If the long range Euro were to verify, we would be (potentially) looking at THREE successive waves of colder and colder air. As of right now, the week before Christmas through New Years looks mighty delicious for cold weather lovers.

Hold on to your rears, because I'm sure this is going flip flop and spit out some clown maps here and there until it gets a good hold of it.

[Iceresistance]

S2K is about to get busy, someone named "ThunderSleetDreams" said it has been "Several Years since we've had double digit pages in the 1st Week of December".

[MontgomeryCoWx]

S2K is about to get busy, someone named "ThunderSleetDreams" said it has been "Several Years since we've had double digit pages in the 1st Week of December".

I am TSD. Only reason I don't have the same posting handle that I have here is due to the fact I only post on the Winter forum.

I know I don't post a ton here outside of Winter, but I still frequent here a lot outside of the Winter season if a wet pattern or storm is headed our way.

[Iceresistance]

S2K is about to get busy, someone named "ThunderSleetDreams" said it has been "Several Years since we've had double digit pages in the 1st Week of December".

I am TSD. Only reason I don't have the same posting handle that I have here is due to the fact I only post on the Winter forum.

I know I don't post a ton here outside of Winter, but I still frequent here a lot outside of the Winter season if a wet pattern or storm is headed our way.

Oh hi there! I did not expect you to be TSD!

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Ha.

Name comes from my first intense Winter experience in 1989. Got to see a Thunderstorm turn into Thunder Sleet turn into Thunder Snow in the span of a hour.

[Cromagnum]

What a depressing weather pattern right now I should not be running my AC and sweating when I go outside.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

What a depressing weather pattern right now I should not be running my AC and sweating when I go outside.

It will be gone soon.

[Stratton20]

I know the pattern change is coming, but the GFS is well on its way to winning the worst model of the year award, euro and CMC are in remarkable agreement but here we have the GFS which is still out to lunch, its crazy that its still not seeing this pattern flip

[Cpv17]

The CPC forecast is still quite blah. Looks like they’re weighing the GFS more than anything else.

[txsnowmaker]

What a depressing weather pattern right now I should not be running my AC and sweating when I go outside.

It will be gone soon.

It can’t come soon enough. ABC13 had been showing seasonal temps for Dec. 12 and low and behold, it now delays that another yet another day until the 13th. I’m tired of the humidity and the cockroaches.

[Iceresistance]

What kind of madness has the 18z GFS produced?