August 2022

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:29 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:59 pm
jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:41 pm Looks like a collision of the boundaries will occur in my vicinity around 5:30-6.

The outflow up north is starting to outrun the convection. Always makes me nervous, especially here in Texas where literally every. Single. Ingredient. Must be 100% perfect for a storm to not go poof.
Welcome to the potential epicenter. ;)

Expecting the line to jump over my house. I wouldn't give up in the HOU area...
It is unfortunately not a true squall line. Just a blossoming of individual cells, like a boiling pot of water. There is a real potential for someone to quick up a quick 1/2 - 1" of rain and a couple of miles down the road it's still the Atacama Desert.
Gotta give some Lucy props to this broken line. She's putting up a good front. Expect an outflow breeze any second before the leap over us and reforming near Navasota.
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jasons2k
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Ugh this cell just to my north is now shrinking instead of expanding! Please don't do this now!
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jasons2k
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Why why why why?!??!

All the red is gone. Cell is dying. Big donut behind it too!! Ugh!
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DoctorMu
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There's the outflow. I see some clouds doing an end around...
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:50 pm There's the outflow. I see some clouds doing an end around...
Just what it did here. Outflow blew by and it blows up to my Southwest. I’d say “freakin’ unbelievable” but actually now it is…
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jasons2k
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Well, the storm is expanding now. It’s raining 🌧

Hopefully it will rain for more than 10 seconds!!
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DoctorMu
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Still nothing. The skies are getting lighter...
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djmike
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Annnnnnd flooded in.
B62C6E0A-37F5-488C-81F0-CA099E4E93F4.jpeg
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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jasons2k
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Better late than never but yes, finally, something more than a sprinkle!!
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DoctorMu
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Like 2 drops of rain. We'll see when the hop occurs

Props for a good show.
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DoctorMu
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Right on the edge of the donut hole. From Wundermap.
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DoctorMu
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Intense cells building to the south and east as expected. Still in the donut hole.

Unbelievable...
Cpv17
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Man El Campo is getting hit hard right now. It’s thundering like crazy at my house. I haven’t heard thunder like this all summer. It’s just going to miss me though a few miles to my south unless some new development pops.
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DoctorMu
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Shipley's strikes again.
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Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:57 am I know it’s trash but the rain chances on TWC app are no better than the last 2,3,4,5 heck I lost count the number of “moisture surges” promising rain this summer, starting with El Busto the last week of June.
This feels much different than other rain chances we’ve had this summer. I actually feel pretty confident that many of us are going to see some decent rains over the next few weeks. I know we’re all frustrated and don’t believe it’s going to rain but to me this feels much different and I’m pretty optimistic about it. I think we all just need to take a deep breath at this point. Rain is coming folks.
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 6:20 pm Shipley's strikes again.
Oh wow, that's a tough break. I was really hoping y'all would get some rain. Still have Thu-Sat though to look forward to.
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djmike
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Your turn Houston. Looks like your best solid line in a while. Maybe not Ft Bend but Houston eastward you will see some hefty rain. Neighborhood flooded here in Beaumont and feeder roads I10 just shy of flooding. Strongest rains Ive seen probably this year in Beaumont.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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jasons2k
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 6:24 pm
jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 7:57 am I know it’s trash but the rain chances on TWC app are no better than the last 2,3,4,5 heck I lost count the number of “moisture surges” promising rain this summer, starting with El Busto the last week of June.
This feels much different than other rain chances we’ve had this summer. I actually feel pretty confident that many of us are going to see some decent rains over the next few weeks. I know we’re all frustrated and don’t believe it’s going to rain but to me this feels much different and I’m pretty optimistic about it. I think we all just need to take a deep breath at this point. Rain is coming folks.
That post is almost 12 hours old and a bit out of context now. I'm up to 1/2" now and counting. Yes, my mood is much better now ;)
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 6:28 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Wed Aug 10, 2022 6:20 pm Shipley's strikes again.
Oh wow, that's a tough break. I was really hoping y'all would get some rain. Still have Thu-Sat though to look forward to.
As the rain moves over us the donut hole stays in the same place and grows bigger. I might as well just set fire to the lawn and trees...
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DoctorMu
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One of my neighbors just threw in the towel and started their sprinklers, while the outflow blew over their (fortunately empty) trash container. :lol:

Gotta laugh to keep from crying. So predictable...the AggieDome strikes again.

Pebble Creek and south look drenched.
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