No rain again, but at least the dewpoint has sunk into the upper 40s in CLL.
95°F and low humidity feels like the 80s! A very pleasant evening.
As for 95L - come north, baby!
June 2022
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Stratton20
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00z Tropical Models, most clustered around a landfall just to the west of matagorda bay late thursday which would be excellent news for SE Texas
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Stormlover2020
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Tvcn is the only one that matters
I’m in Angleton (Brazoria County) and we are days away from burning our well up out here in the country, trying to keep our property somewhat moist to keep EVERY acre from turning into hay…that sucker can come park in my living room for a few days if that’s what it takes to get some rain!!! 
I live out in the country too between Wharton and El Campo on 28 acres. I feel the same way you do.Rhodesk75 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 28, 2022 9:12 pm I’m in Angleton (Brazoria County) and we are days away from burning our well up out here in the country, trying to keep our property somewhat moist to keep EVERY acre from turning into hay…that sucker can come park in my living room for a few days if that’s what it takes to get some rain!!!
Yep, good consensus forming on track.
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Yep, we have 50 acres, but our house and the 4 acres it sits on is all we can “afford” to try to keep watered. Had a nice, dark, thundering rain cloud yesterday evening on the way home from work…seriously only blocks from our house…nope, skirted right on by without a drop. From what everyone is posting on social media, it looks like every town between Lake Jackson & Sweeny got some rain today. NOT ANGLETON. We’re too far from Dow to be in the “Dow bubble”, this is just bad luck I supposed.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 28, 2022 9:26 pmI live out in the country too between Wharton and El Campo on 28 acres. I feel the same way you do.Rhodesk75 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 28, 2022 9:12 pm I’m in Angleton (Brazoria County) and we are days away from burning our well up out here in the country, trying to keep our property somewhat moist to keep EVERY acre from turning into hay…that sucker can come park in my living room for a few days if that’s what it takes to get some rain!!!
Btw…I grew up in Boling/Wharton! My whole family still lives in El Campo, Ganada, Inez, Victoria, East Bernard! If my husband didn’t work in Freeport (BASF), we would move up that way too!
Yes, love that track, here on the east side...Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 28, 2022 8:15 pm 00z Tropical Models, most clustered around a landfall just to the west of matagorda bay late thursday which would be excellent news for SE Texas
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captainbarbossa19
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DMIN is doing its thing right now.
0Z HRWF shows a Depression or weak Tropical Storm making landfall around Matagorda Thursday Morning.Shows a lot of rain bands moving inland with even a rain core forming.
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Stratton20
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Don what are the rain totals looking like on that run?
Rain totals are not available for the tropical models,at least known that i know of. Just simulated radar and satellite.Definitely showing a TC on this run.
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From HGX (subject to change)
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Getting some good rain in Santa Fe right now too
Still nothing in Rosharon. Maybe 0.01" for the week so far.
6z models
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Slight correction...
This is 6z 'guidance' based off the 0z runs.
6z HWRF actually is further up the coast towards the Bay/Bolivar though there is no dominant center so both it and the HMON show some large jumps.
12z 'guidance' will likely move up the coast a bit.
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tireman4
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1. Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This
system is forecast to move slowly westward and approach the coast of
Texas today. The disturbance has not become any better organized
since yesterday, however some slow development is still possible and
it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast
before it moves inland tonight or early Thursday. Regardless of
development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas
coast for the next few days. For more information about the
potential for heavy rain, please see products issued by your
National Weather Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This
system is forecast to move slowly westward and approach the coast of
Texas today. The disturbance has not become any better organized
since yesterday, however some slow development is still possible and
it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast
before it moves inland tonight or early Thursday. Regardless of
development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas
coast for the next few days. For more information about the
potential for heavy rain, please see products issued by your
National Weather Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.